NFL Going Back
For all of this NFL madness to make sense, we have to go back to to 2018 as this is when the first domino fell. Does anyone else remember looking at ESPN around this time of year and seeing “Kirk Cousins signs with Vikings for 84 million guaranteed”. Um, what?! 84 million?!
Again, 84 Million..
Forecasting
I still remember getting a call from a pissed off friend of mine who happened to work in the NFL. Why was he mad? He was mad because he knew that contract would lead to the next deadly question to be asked…Chiefs: Well, should we make sure we pay Patty boy before someone else does? 10 years, $455 million was the result!
Back to NFL Wide Receivers
This brings us back to the current market of wide receivers, which in many ways mirrors the progression mentioned above. Likewise, who would have guessed Christian Kirk would get a 72 million dollar deal?! Well it happened, and it was the first domino of many to fall. This is proven as Davante Adams immediately followed this deal with a 5 year 141.5 million dollar deal then further elevated by the now highest paid wide receiver in the NFL, Tyreek hill ( 4-year 120 million).
What’s next?
My theory is that the next market to become elevated will be the running back market, however contracts will be more compact. For example, a top running back may get a high paying 1-2 year deal as their shelf life is much shorter. Unfortunately, this concept of inflation will most likely continue to happen from position to position.
Welcome to the NBA
My secondary theory is that the NFL will begin to mirror the NBA in terms of off-season moves, and this crazy off-season is the first of many..
What are your thoughts on the player market in the NFL?
Shoot me a message on discord or twitter and we can discuss where the market is headed. Also, we can talk a little DFS!
Twitter: @geno_casas
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