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UFC DFS Strategy | UFC 268 Usman vs Covington 2 Cash Picks | DraftKings & Fanduel (FREE)

UFC 268 DFS MMA cash picks and strategy for Usman vs Covington 2 on November 6th starts here!  This time we have a 14-fight card taking place in New York City, New York.  There are several very close matches on this card which will make for some interesting choices in your tournament builds.  But, that’s not what this article is about.  My goal is to help navigate you through this interesting card and find some solid fighters to begin your cash game construction with.

For you 1st time readers, welcome and I hope you enjoy the article.  For all you regular readers, you will notice a change.  Moving forward I am going to gear this article for cash games.  If you want my full thoughts on the entire card, you can find them in our MMA coaches notes Yes, I know everyone wants to win that big tournament win!  But a major point we make here at DFS Army is proper bankroll management.  A major part of that is, of course, cash games.  It may not be the sexiest way to build your bankroll but, over time it can be the most consistent.  I would love to hear any feedback on this new format, and I look forward to helping everyone learn the art of creating a solid cash game lineup.

We have been on a huge run in all sports at DFS Army!  Plus the 2020 NBA season has started off right where we left off last season.  We just had a huge win by a member last Saturday in MMA!   You name the sport from NBA to MMA, and we cover it!  If you want to join in on the winning use promo code “FORSLUND” to save 20% on your membership.

As always have some fun in tournaments this week.  Just remember the Golden Rule!  While chasing after the big payout is enticing always remember bankroll management.  I am a firm believer in the 80-20 rule.  Which is 80% of your allocated bankroll for the night in cash games and 20% in tournaments.  Remember to take advantage of our Research Station and Domination Station.  Plus check out the podcast, and follow me on Twitter (@MMACashAssassin) for the latest MMA and DFS Army news!

MMA UFC Cash Game Basics for DFS 

In cash games, unlike tournaments, we are trying to build a solid floor with our lineups.  Many times that may mean using a fighter with great odds to win a match or taking someone who is severely mispriced in a solid spot.  Cash games are often times card dependent.  For example, if a fighter is expected to be chalky in cash games and I feel they are in a good spot I have no problem eating the chalk and just rostering him.  After all, he’s chalky for a solid reason.  One major difference between cash and tournament play is getting past your aversion to play the chalk.  Often times, the chalk makes a lot of sense.  (I’m going to use the word “chalk” a lot, if new, chalk is slang for “popular player.”)  If you ever have any questions pertaining to cash games feel free to reach out to me on Twitter, or if you are a VIP shoot me a dm.

Apr 24, 2021; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Kamaru Usman (Red Gloves) fights Jorge Masvidal (Blue Gloves) during UFC 261 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

DFS MMA UFC 268 Cash Core Plays

Ian Garry (-360) 9.5k

Ian finds himself the biggest favorite on the card and priced as the most expensive on the entire card as well.  He is one of my favorite cash plays in this 9k range when you take into account his Inside The Distance (ITD) line (-155).  Add in the factor that he can accumulate points in a variety of ways, either through grappling or striking.  To sum this up I like his floor and his ceiling is even higher.  I think he is a solid play to start your cash lineup builds with and I personally have him in mine.

Kamaru Usman (-300) 9.3k vs Colby Covington (+245) 6.9k

For those of you new to the sport of MMA and cash games in particular, often times we are looking to target a fight to stack in cash games because the fight has a high likelihood of producing a solid score from the winner.  The problem is you don’t want to pick a side and get the winner wrong.  All you have to do is look at the DraftKings scores of both fighters in their previous wins, Usman has scored 103.7+ DraftKings points in 9 of his 10 UFC wins and Covington 115.9+ in 7 of his 8 wins.  In their previous meeting Usman scored 130.3 DK points in a win and Covington scored 57.2 in a loss.  Bottom line the winner of this fight is going to post a decent score alone and both fighters are good enough strikers that I could see them getting at least 30-40 in a loss (if not more).  To sum this all up, the stack should produce a 125+ score.  No need to overthink your cash games on this card, just lock this stack (and win) into your builds and move on.   

Frankie Edgar (+130) 7.4k

In order to fit the higher-priced favorites on this card you are going to have to punt with an underdog or 2 on this card.  Frankie is my favorite cash punt on the entire card.  This fight is expected to go to the later rounds with Fight Starts Round 3 prop at -210.  I see no reason Edgar doesn’t reach 30-40 DraftKings points in a later round loss and I wouldn’t be shocked if he got the win.  That’s all we need from him at this salary and by using Allan in your cash builds it allows more flexibility with the rest of your lineup construction.  This is the route I am taking on this card and I think you should entertain the thought as well. 

Sure, these are MY favorite cash game plays, but maybe you play GPPs or like others.  That’s fine…..you need tools, though.  Our MMA UFC Research Station is locked and loaded with every related statistic in an easy to read, color coded fashion that cuts your research time down.  It allows several fighters, like the ones I mentioned, to really pop at you and make DFS life easier.  But, to access this beast, you need to become a member at DFSA…

And, if you are already a member, we have podcasts related to this UFC MMA card, as well as premium articles breaking down strategy and advice even further to #RaiseYourEdge over your competition.  I’m sure you’ve seen our army helmets all over the leaderboards.  We have not one, not two, but THREE of the top-ranked MMA players in the world coaching our members up on a weekly basis and helping them become better MMA DFS players.  See Marley’s UFC Breakdown article here.

MMA UFC Fight To Target In Hybrids/Tournaments

Now that we covered some cash plays.  Let’s breakdown 1 fight I really think you should get exposure to in your hybrid and tournament lineups.

Justin Gaethje (-200) 8.9k vs Michael Chandler (+185) 7.3k

This fight carries a Fight Ends Inside The Distance Prop of -265.  Both fighters have paths to putting up strong DFS scores and the winner of this fight has a strong chance to be on the optimal lineup.  I will personally have a good amount of exposure to this fight in tournaments (north of 60%).  Overall this fight will score well for DraftKings purposes.  My preferred play is Gaethje because he is the better striker and lands just under 8 Significant Strikes per minute.  Having said that, be sure to hedge with some Chandler exposure though because in a win he would be inline for a great DFS score as an underdog.  If you plan on playing multiple lineups in tournaments this is a great fight to target both sides of in my opinion.

DFS MMA UFC Standing 8-Count

Ok, that was a boxing reference to make sure you are still paying attention.  I hope you all enjoyed the new format and I look forward to hearing your feedback. Be sure you check out our VIP Podcast!  If you are new to the sport of MMA, let us teach you the fundamentals to go along with this be sure you check out our new tutorial on how to MME for MMA by our CEO Geek.  Become a VIP at DFS Army right now!!  Our mixture of content, tools, and coaching can take the best NBA player and teach him MMA like a boss in a very short time.  We have NFL guys learning Nascar, and we even have people learning how to dominate the silent sport of tennis!  That’s right…..major edge in tennis, and I help out there, too.

If you are still on the fence, remember, my code FORSLUND knocks 10% off the cover price for VIP and Core4 as long as you remain a member.  It’s not a one-month code….it’s permanent.

Good Luck Army!