Welcome everyone to the NASCAR Cup Series DFS Preview. For this edition, we will take a quick look at the upcoming Cup Series race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. This article is brought to you by DFSArmy.com and written by Ryan Larkin. You can catch up with Ryan on Twitter or in the DFSA VIP slack @Larkin8
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Las Vegas Motor Speedway
LVMS is a 1.5-mile intermediate track with progressive banking in the corners. The Cup Series runs very close to wide open here for a lot of a green flag run. This is due to the low HP, high downforce package. Vegas in particular is greatly impacted by the weather as a result of this. When it is cooler and/or cloudy then we see the more trimmed out cars have a big advantage. When I think of trimmed-out cars I instantly think of Kevin Harvick. If the track is hotter like in the late summer race, the higher downforce teams like Truex and Hamlin do better. Paying attention to the weather for this race is important. Currently, it appears that temps will be in the low 70s with mostly cloudy skies. This should favor the Stewart-Haas and Penske cars the most. HMS also should be strong this week. Long runs are extremely like this week and unless we get the weird late caution that breeds more cautions, this race is normally carnage free.
Quick Race Facts
3:30pm/et, Sunday, March 7
Green flag: 3:48pm/et
(Stage: 80/160/267 = 400.5 miles)
Defending Champion: Kurt Busch
For DraftKings, I really like running at least two dominators but I would also be willing to play a three dominator strategy. If a car gets out front it can be very hard to pass them… See Kurt Busch winning here last year with about a 15th place car as an example. If we see a couple of strategy shakeups this could lead to multiple dominators and as long as they finish well then having 3 of them might be the key to the optimal. As for FanDuel, I believe you focus on getting one main dominator and add a second only if it makes sense salary-wise. There are numerous place differential plays we need to make sure to take advantage of this week on FD. Due to the conditions and his track history here, I believe Harvick is in a prime position to dominate. The races where trimmed out cars have an advantage he is king at. I also really like all 3 Penske cars this week if they can get out front.
We are definitely going to start every lineup by focusing on our top dominator plays. You will then start picking out the best place differential plays for this week. Matt Dibenedetto is going to be an obvious one but we also have many other great options like Almirola, Blaney, and Briscoe. These are the main four drivers that I would recommend getting a decent amount of on both sites. From there you will have to do your best to round out lineups with whatever salary you have left. On FanDuel I expect making good 5 driver lineups to be rather easy, however, on DK you might run into trouble depending on how much salary you spend on dominators.
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Aric Almirola: Almirola very well might end up as my most owned driver on both sites. Since joining Stewart-Haas, AA has an average finish of 12th. He starts 28th and if he can match his average then he will score really well. Top 10 upside
Joey Logano: Logano is simply too cheap. He has finished top 5 in 5 of his last 8 races here and has won the last two spring races at Vegas. Joey starts 15th so reasonably he just needs a top 5 finish to score really well. He has led 44 or more laps in 7 of the last 10 races here as well. Good value with really good upside.
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This will conclude this edition of NASCAR Cup Series Preview. If you would like to reach out and talk NASCAR Follow me on Twitter @Larkin8 or of course Become a VIP member and join me as well as our other DFS Army NASCAR contributors (Brady Miller and Taco) in the NASCAR coaching channels.