Full Court Press Breakdown for NBA DFS 1/25:
Welcome to another year of the DFS Army NBA Full Court Press! Members had a ton of success using the Full Court Press along with various articles and tools that DFS Army provides last season, so we are glad to be back with another year of the all-inclusive article. You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Michael aka @MadnessDFS on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article. But, you’ll mostly find me in our VIP coaching forums where I provide detailed lineup maneuvers and answer all lineup questions. With that said, let’s get it started!
The winning has come early and often this season! Congrats to VIP Member – “Fatherofthree” on his $150k NBA win!! Adding to the list of winners already this season!
Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons
Vegas Total: 215
Vegas Spread: Phi -7.0
We start the slate off with a game we saw a few days ago, so we have something to work off here. Starting with the Sixers, Joel Embiid is currently questionable but I’ll proceed under the assumption that he plays. If he gets ruled out, jump in our VIP Coaching forum on who sees the biggest impact. He has at least 58 DraftKings points in three straight games and should be able to do whatever he wants against a bad Pistons frontcourt. The price on him really isn’t all that bad either, I like him here. Ben Simmons has finally seen his price come down to a more playable range at $8.4k on DraftKings. He’s going to see around 35 minutes as long as they don’t seriously blow them out, he’s a triple-double threat every time he steps on the court. Tobias Harris had a bad game last time out but still saw the minutes, so I don’t hate going back to him here if people will be off him due to that game. Seth Curry has played at least 27 minutes in both games since returning from Covid, so I assume he doesn’t have a minute restriction, he’s a fine GPP option. Lastly, Curry being back gets me off Shake Milton on a big slate so you can avoid him here. From the Pistons, Jerami Grant continues to be the model of consistency. He shot just 3-19 last game and 4-15 two games ago and was able to get over 30 fantasy points in both of them, if that’s the floor you’re getting with him it’s hard to ignore at this price tag. Blake Griffin, on the other hand, is the complete opposite. He’s going to be volatile and I’m never able to get him right… but you can get to him in tournaments if you’re feeling frisky. They will likely need Mason Plumlee’s size in this one so I like the chances of him getting some full run. We’ve seen him get those extended minutes against teams with solidified bigs like Atlanta, Miami, Phoenix, and Utah. However he got just 19 minutes in this matchup last time out but was due to foul trouble, he’s now fouled out in four straight games… which is kind of impressive. If he can keep his hands to himself he should see nice minutes.
5-star play: Joel Embiid, Jerami Grant
4-star play: Ben Simmons, Tobias Harris, Blake Griffin, Mason Plumlee
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Seth Curry, Blake Griffin,
Toronto Raptors @ Indiana Pacers
Vegas Total: NA
Vegas Spread: Ind -2.5
This is another matchup we just saw, so we can work off this game from yesterday! Starting with the Raptors, Kyle Lowry missed the last game which opened up some usage and opportunities for Norman Powell to slide into the starting lineup. Lowry is currently questionable, if he sits we can go right back to Powell here who has at least 31 DraftKings points in two straight games. Fred VanVleet would become an awesome play as well, he shot poorly last game but would handle a lot of the usage in this offense and is going to play a ton of minutes regardless. Pascal Siakam ended up sitting yesterday as well, but if he plays here I don’t see myself getting much interest. It’s not the greatest matchup and he’s priced higher than I would like on a big slate. Lastly, Chris Boucher has seen his minutes go all over the place as of late, even with Siakam out yesterday he only saw 21 minutes. Other than Siakam, he’s their best frontcourt piece so I wish they’d play him more, but he’s in play for tournaments nonetheless. From the Pacers, we get Domantas Sabonis has played at least 40 minutes in three straight games, it’s hard to ignore that type of playing time so I’ll go right back to him here. Malcolm Brogdon’s production has come down a bit but the minutes are still going to be there and the floor is always nice on him even at an elevated price tag. Myles Turner has looked really good as of late, racking up blocks like they’re going out of style. The price tag is up but so are the minutes, he has at least 40 minutes in two of his last four. Lastly, Doug McDermott and Justin Holiday are fine ancillary pieces, but I would rather just save your money and go down to Jeremy Lamb who has looked good since returning from injury.
5-star play: Norman Powell (If starting), Domantas Sabonis
4-star play: Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet, Malcolm Brogdon, Myles Turner
Deeper Value: Jeremy Lamb
GPP Sleeper: Pascal Siakam, OG Anunoby, Aron Baynes, Doug McDermott, Justin Holiday, Chris Boucher, Jeremy Lamb
Miami Heat @ Brooklyn Nets
Vegas Total: 234.0
Vegas Spread: Bkn -8.0
We saw this matchup last time out as well and has a huge total here at 234 which is going to be the case with Nets games going forward. Starting with the Heat, it sounds like Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro are going to continue to be out here meaning we can go right back to Goran Dragic and Kendrick Nunn in this backcourt. It’s a pace up spot for the Heat and even though these two guys have gotten price increase, I’m okay with paying these asking prices due to the matchup. Bam Adebayo is an elite option as well, the Nets biggest weak spot is going to be guarding the center position if they’re not able to acquire help. Adebayo scored 62 DraftKings points in this spot last time out and is an awesome play again here at the same price point. Kelly Olynyk feels mispriced, he’s a fade, while b is always going to be in play in tournaments due to his ability to get hot from behind the arch. From Brooklyn, I just don’t think I’m going to have interest in these three stars while they’re all in the lineup. It’s going to be too difficult to predict who’s going to have the big night on a nightly basis and that’s too much to risk at their price tags. I am okay with Joe Harris and DeAndre Jordan though if you’re looking to spend down here, but otherwise, the rest of this team is just GPP options for me.
5-star play: Bam Adebayo
4-star play: Goran Dragic, Kendrick Nunn, Kevin Durant, James Harden, Kyrie Irving
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Duncan Robinson, Kevin Durant, James Harden, Kyrie Irving, DeAndre Jordan, Joe Harris
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
Vegas Total: 213.5
Vegas Spread: Orl -2.5
Another game that we just saw yesterday! Starting with the Hornets, Gordon Hayward has at least 50 DraftKings points in two straight games, there’s a chance he’s finally getting back to the Hayward we saw with the Jazz a few injuries ago. I love this price tag for him in a decent matchup. LaMelo Ball saw his minutes come up yesterday, but is still probably a bit overpriced if they’re going to be playing the hot hand in this frontcourt. I would rather target these other guards who are much cheaper than him and getting better minutes in Devonte’ Graham and Terry Rozier. PJ Washington had a down game last night and is a guy I can never seem to get right, he’s a fine GPP option here, but I hate the price tag. Lastly, Cody Zeller got his minutes up to 15 last game, but he’s not in play for me until he starts getting those minutes back, he’s been out for about a month now. From Orlando, this is an elite spot for Nikola Vucevic, the Hornets have struggled with big men all season long and I love the price tag on him which came down overnight. Aaron Gordon is questionable here after missing yesterday’s game so keep an eye on that VIP Coaching forum for updates on him, but he is on a tear right now going for at least 40 DraftKings points in three straight and playing huge minutes, I love the price tag on him. Evan Fournier has at least 35 DraftKings points in two straight games, I don’t love the price tag on him, however. Terrence Ross hasn’t been as productive as he was earlier this season but he’s always in play for GPPs due to his ability to put up points in a hurry. Outside of these guys, there isn’t much that interests me from the Magic.
5-star play: Nikola Vucevic, Aaron Gordon, Gordon Hayward
4-star play: Terry Rozier, Devonte’ Graham, PJ Washington
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: LaMelo Ball, PJ Washington, Evan Fournier, Terrence Ross
Los Angeles Lakers @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Vegas Total: 215.0
Vegas Spread: Lal -10.0
Starting with the Lakers, LeBron James is questionable… tell me if you’ve heard that before, while Anthony Davis is listed as probable. I’ll operate under the assumption that they’re both playing here. They’re both still underpriced at under $9.5k on DraftKings and coming off solid games against the Bulls. Both should be able to do whatever they please against a bad Cavs defense. Other than them, I never love getting to these ancillary guys on the Lakers just due to the usage that Davis and LeBron command but you can make a case for Montrezl Harrell and Dennis Schroder in tournaments. From the Cavaliers, Andre Drummond saw just 18 minutes yesterday… this frontcourt is going to be a disaster until they unload some of these pieces. I do think you can make a case for Drummond here due to the size the Lakers have in the frontcourt, but man I don’t like it one bit. Collin Sexton laid an egg yesterday, along with the rest of the team, but I’m okay with getting back to him here in tournaments. Larry Nance always seems to be priced right, I’m pretty meh on him with no real lean on loving or hating him in this spot. Cedi Osman is a fine option as well but really needs to get big minutes for him to get you there. Jarrett Allen saw the most minutes of anyone in the frontcourt with 26, and under $6k on DraftKings is the most playable big man on this team in terms of DFS. Lastly, Darius Garland has played 22 and 23 minutes since returning from injury, he’s a fade until he gets back up to his usual minutes.
5-star play: LeBron James, Anthony Davis
4-star play: Dennis Schroder, Montrezl Harrell, Collin Sexton, Larry Nance
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Andre Drummond, Jarrett Allen, Cedi Osman, Dennis Schroder, Montrezl Harrell
Our NBA Domination Station lineup optimizer is Powered by DFS Army proprietary projections. The Domination Station will help you create 150 of the highest projected lineups in a matter of minutes. With features that allow you to Like Love or Dislike a player, you can create a fully unique pool of players to generate your lineups from every day. Combine the power of the Domination Station with our VIP Only Articles and the NBA Research Station to really take your game to the next level.
Denver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks
Vegas Total: 221.0
Vegas Spread: Dal -2.0
Starting with the Nuggets, I don’t see why Nikola Jokic is under $11k on DraftKings but I’ll take it! The Mavs frontcourt isn’t something to be afraid of either. He has at least 60 DraftKings points in four of his last five games and is a guy I love in this one. Jamal Murray seems to have found his footing, he has at least 40 DraftKings points in four of his last five games and is priced really nice at just over $7k. Michael Porter Jr. surprisingly got 35 minutes last game on his way to 33 DraftKings points. It appears his minute’s restriction is now gone and is a solid tournament play at this price tag. Will Barton saw his minutes come crashing down with Porter scooping up a lot of them, he’s out of play for me now that Porter is back in the rotation. From the Mavericks, Luka Doncic continues to see around 35 minutes per game and producing nicely in those minutes. He was held under 30 minutes last time out due to blowout, but I’m willing to go right back to the well on him here. Kristaps Porzingis should return here and is a solid option, they’ll need his size against this Denver frontcourt, and we know when he’s in there he’s going to look to score. I suppose you can make a case for Tim Hardaway Jr. and Trey Burke but I just won’t get there on a big slate. Jalen Brunson has carved himself out a role in this starting lineup but is price right where he should be, I won’t be getting to any of him on a big slate.
5-star play: Nikola Jokic, Luka Doncic
4-star play: Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Kristaps Porzingis
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Michael Porter Jr., Tim Hardaway Jr.
Boston Celtics @ Chicago Bulls
Vegas Total: NA
Vegas Spread: Bos -8.0
Starting with the Celtics, Jayson Tatum is expected back here so I think we can safely avoid Jaylen Brown at $8.5k on DraftKings. I’m not sure if we see a minutes restriction on Tatum or not, so keep an eye on the VIP Coaching forums for updates. Below is an example of what we provide in our Breaking News channel in that coaching forum, setting you up for success with the latest news that is dropped:
Kemba Walker will be rested here, so we can go back to how this lineup was played earlier on in the season. I never really get a whole lot of Marcus Smart but he has at least 37 DraftKings points in three straight games, he’s a fine tournament option. Then we close this team out with the frontcourt, which is a disaster right now. Daniel Theis and Tristan Thompson haven’t been great, I wish they’d just run Robert Williams out there 30 minutes so we can lock him up, but that’s me speaking from a DFS perspective, they won’t do that lol. Theis and Williams performed well yesterday but just not getting enough minutes for me to feel comfortable playing them on a ten-game slate. From the Bulls, Zach LaVine has seen his price come way down and is still getting massive minutes. He has at least 50 DraftKings points in two of his last three and is shooting a ton, I like him for tournaments. It sounds like Wendell Carter Jr. is doubtful for this one. We saw Daniel Gafford get the start in the past two games but played just 18/19 minutes in both of them and dropping just 4 DraftKings points last time out, at near min price he’s a fine value option but someone I’m seeking out. Coby White is more of a GPP option due to his volatility as of late, but they’ll need his scoring if they have any interest in keeping this one close. Lauri Markkanen hasn’t been all that great the last two times out with Carter off the court, but you can beat the Celtics in the frontcourt so I like going right back to the well here. Lastly, you could see some more Thad Young tonight, he has at least 25 minutes in two straight and with Carter out, he could slide in and help grab some big man minutes at a cheap price tag.
5-star play: Jayson Tatum (If not limited), Zach LaVine
4-star play: Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart, Lauri Markkanen, Coby White
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Jaylen Brown, Daniel Theis, Thad Young, Coby White
San Antonio Spurs @ New Orleans Pelicans
Vegas Total: NA
Vegas Spread: Nop -3.0
Starting with the Spurs, DeMar DeRozan is coming off a dud last night and is kind of meh for me, I don’t love the price or matchup so if you want to get to him you can, but I won’t be forcing him in at all. Dejounte Murray dropped 46 DraftKings points last night and is going to carry a nice ceiling all season long, I like him in GPPs. I hope the Spurs trade LaMarcus Aldrige and Rudy Gay at the deadline and just hand the keys to guys like Keldon Johnson and Lonnie Walker. Aldridge is a fine option but I’ll take the upside on Johnson in this spot. From the Pelicans, Brandon Ingram has just been down from a production standpoint as of late. He has scored under 40 DraftKings points in six straight games. That being said, this is a nice matchup for the Pelicans in this one so I don’t mind taking a GPP stab at him. I would much rather take the savings on Zion Williamson however, he’s been the more consistent option this season and should be able to do what he wants down low in this one. The same can be said for Steven Adams, he should grab all the rebounds in this one if you’re looking for a mid-range center option even though he’s coming off a brutal game against the Wolves last time out. Lonzo Ball got his minutes up to 30 last game and was able to get 33 DraftKings points in them, if he’s off his minutes limit here I’ll get quite a bit of him at this price tag. Eric Bledsoe is going to be a tournament play here, as usual, if he’s playing well he’ll see good minutes but he has a knack of running himself off the court. We saw the good side of him last game going for 41.75 DraftKings points.
5-star play: Zion Williamson
4-star play: DeMar DeRozan, Dejounte Murray, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Dejounte Murray, Keldon Johnson, Lonnie Walker, Eric Bledsoe
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors
Vegas Total: 225
Vegas Spread: GSW -7.5
Starting with the Timberwolves, D’Angelo Russell is listed as questionable here so this is another case where you’ll have to keep an eye on that VIP Coaching forum for news and updates on him and all players impacted. Malik Beasley isn’t a guy I get to all that much, he always feels priced pretty correctly, so he’s in play for GPPs but not someone I’m prioritizing. Both Naz Reid and Jarred Vanderbilt have looked good over their past couple of games. The Warriors can be attacked in their frontcourt so I don’t hate taking a shot on either one of them in this spot. From the Warriors, Steph Curry has a really nice price tag here. He should be able to do whatever he wants against a pretty bad Timberwolves defense. Andrew Wiggins gets a revenge game here but always feels priced about right, I don’t see myself getting much of him on this slate. Kelly Oubre is coming off a real stinker last time out going for just 8 DraftKings points, he’s a fine tournament option if you’re looking for another piece in this game. I like this spot for James Wiseman with Towns out of the lineup, he’s been good as of late and has 25 minutes in three straight games. Lastly, we know what we’re getting from Draymond Green, he’s not a big usage guy but if he can rack up those ancillary stats, he’ll get there, so he’s in play for tournaments.
5-star play: Steph Curry
4-star play: D’Angelo Russell, Malik Beasley, Naz Reid, Jarred Vanderbilt, Andrew Wiggins
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Naz Reid, Jarred Vanderbilt, Andrew Wiggins, Kelly Oubre, Draymond Green
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trailblazers
Vegas Total: 222
Vegas Spread: Por -6.5
Starting with the Thunder, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has at least 40 DraftKings points in two straight games and is a guy I like getting to hear in a great matchup against a bad defensive unit. Al Horford feels like he’s on the doubtful side of questionable as he’s out due to personal reasons. If he’s out again we can go back to the Isaiah Roby train. Roby has at least 30 DraftKings points in two of his last three games and looks good out there. Darius Bazley has been pretty disappointing, I thought he would really shine with Horford out but he’s just not producing. That said, he does have a nice ceiling when he puts it all together and has a nice price tag here. Lastly, George Hill and Mike Muscala are fine tournament options if you need some roster fillers. From the Blazers, I’ll go right back to Damian Lillard here even in a pace down spot. With CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic out he’ll get all the usage in this offense. Enes Kanter has seen his price come up, but for good reason, he’s in play again here while his minutes are secured. Outside of these guys, the only other guy I’ll have interest in is Rodney Hood if he gets the start for McCollum again. He’s still underpriced if he’s going to keep getting that role for this team. Robert Covington, Carmelo Anthony, and Gary Trent are all fine GPP options if you happen to fall on them as a last piece in.
5-star play: Damian Lillard
4-star play: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Roby, Darius Bazley, Enes Kanter
Deeper Value: Rodney Hood
GPP Sleeper: Darius Bazley, Robert Covington, Carmelo Anthony, Gary Trent
NBA Lock of the Day: TBD
As we wait on a good deal of news, I’m going to hold off on the lock of the day until mid-day on Monday, so check back then for an update. Also, take a look at our cheat sheets and core plays while you’re at it! Tweet me (@MadnessDFS) your lock predictions and if your player gets over 5x tonight I’ll give you a shoutout on Twitter, let’s have some fun with this!
The only thing you are missing at this point is the key to unlock the next level of your game. Come inside and check us out!! We have experts sharing their secrets and experience on a daily basis. Combine that with the actual ability to ask them questions and get quick answers in return gives you a recipe for success that puts our army hats on leaderboards all over the face of DFS.
When you sign up, don’t forget to use promo code MADNESS to save 10% on your membership each and every month!
Editor’s Note – However, if you are more interested in simply betting the games, NBA is full of crazy action. And, our dynamic modeling over at SportsBetArmy adjusts in real time to help identify Vegas inaccuracies you can exploit. Follow Ryan, Anthony, and Statsational for models and coaching advice that help you build any bankroll for any sport…