Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC Smith vs. Clark. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off! Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper
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Anticipated GPP Exposures
These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.
- 9.2k – Kai Kamaka – 30%
- 9.1k – Su Muaerji – 50%
- 9.0k – Josh Parisian – 50%
- 8.9k – Spike Carlyle – 50%
- 8.8k – Martin Day – FADE
- 8.7k – Miguel Baeza – 65%
- 8.6k – Gina Mazany – FADE
- 8.5k – Anthony Smith – 55%
- 8.4k – Luke Sanders – 30%
- 8.3k – Ashlee Evans Smith – 15%
- 7.9k – Norma Dumont – 10%
- 7.8k – Nate Maness – FADE
- 7.7k – Devin Clark – 35%
- 7.6k – Rachel Ostovich – 25%
- 7.5k – Takashi Sato – 30%
- 7.4k – Anderson Dos Santos – 50%
- 7.3k – Bill Algeo – 45%
- 7.2k – Parker Porter – 40%
- 7.1k – Malcolm Gordon – 20%
- 7.0k – Jonathan Pearce – FADE
Dec 1, 2017; Las Vegas, NV, USA; Rachel Ostovich celebrates after defeating Karine Gevorgyan (not pictured) during The Ultimate Fighter Finale at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 18, 2019; Boston, MA, USA; Brendan Allen (red) fights Kevin Holland (blue) in a heavyweight bout during UFC Fight Night at the TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports
Cash Game Rankings
I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.
Green:
- 9.2k – Kai Kamaka
- 9.1k – Su Muaerji
- 8.5k – Anthony Smith
- 8.4k – Luke Sanders
- 7.7k – Devin Clark
- 7.4k – Anderson Dos Santos
Yellow:
- 9.0k – Josh Parisian
- 8.9k – Spike Carlyle
- 8.7k – Miguel Baeza
- 8.3k – Ashlee Evans Smith
- 7.9k – Norma Dumont
- 7.6k – Rachel Ostovich
- 7.3k – Bill Algeo
Red:
- 8.8k – Martin Day
- 8.6k – Gina Mazany
- 7.8k – Nate Maness
- 7.5k – Takashi Sato
- 7.2k – Parker Porter
- 7.1k – Malcolm Gordon
- 7.0k – Jonathan Pearce