Welcome fellow Degenerates! My name is Steve, a.k.a. Mutt18 (mutt_18 on Twitter) and I’m breaking ground on a brand new article this week that is a growing trend over here at DFS Army and SportsBet Army which is Player Props. For those of you not familiar with a Player Prop, basically, a sports betting website/bookie will give odds on how likely a player is going to achieve, in this case we’ll say, receiving yards, so they can put the odds at -112 that player X will get over or under 57.5 receiving yards, so if you bet the over, you think that player will score 58+ receiving yards and if you bet the under, you’re betting that they will have less. It can actually be very profitable as well as we can get on hot streaks like we did last week and win tons of $$$. First, we’ll take a look at what happened last week with my these picks, follow me fellow DeGens!
Week 6:
Sunday 1pm Games: 1-5
Sunday 4pm Games: 2-0 as of publishing this
Total: 14-9 +5 units
Tough start to the day, but we got back on track with the 4pm games, and now it’s time to bounce back and make some money here.
Before I dig into this, let’s take a look at where I start my research every week, in our Research Station, which has all our stats, projections, and literally any thing else you need to not only dominate Daily Fantasy Sports, but is a very useful tool for betting as well! Also, sign up for access to our brand new Research Lab as well, which kicks things up an extra notch!
Alright, enough with the intros, for this week, this article will be FREE! And I will give you 3 of my favorite picks and 2 fun picks as well that can really lead to big payoffs if they hit as they are longshot odds. All of these are current as of me writing this article on DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s dig in:
Deebo Samuel Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-112) to Win 1 Unit
Samuel missed the first few weeks with an injury, and has been being eased back into the offense. That ended last week where he saw 8 targets and played 90% of the snaps, but with how bad the QB play was last week he couldn’t do much. I don’t see Ramsey getting on him too much here as the 49ers move him around a lot and he has great ability to rack up yards after the catch especially if they get him involved in the screen game, plus I think that the Rams will focus on shutting down Kittle here.
Deebo Samuel Over 3.5 Receptions (-122) to Win 1 Unit
Doubling up on the Deebo love here, as I think he sees 7-8 targets in this game and they’ll look to get him the ball underneath for some easy catches and get him the ball in space with room to run. Garoppolo appears to be healthy as well and had a great week of practice so I’d expect Deebo to be heavily involved and early as well. After the dud the 49ers put up last game I think they come to play here as well and give the Rams a run for their money.
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DeGen Special
This last section of the article will be what I like to call my DeGen specials, which are basically bets that have high odds that aren’t likely to happen, but if they do, the payoffs are massive. Here’s one that I like in this game:
Jared Goff to Score (+375) .2 Units
This Rams backfield is going to be tough to predict with Akers back now as well and all of them have pretty decent odds to score, so I’m going to zag here. We all know that McVay is an analytics guy, and he knows that when you get on the 1 yard line the best way to score if with a QB sneak. We saw the Rams do it last week as well and given the odds it’s not that far fetched that Goff runs one in here tonight.
Those are some of my favorite plays for tonight’s game, and with a great catch phrase… PITTER PATTER, LETS GET AT ER’
That’s all I have for you in the FREE article, for access to all of my picks for this game, join me in the coaching channels over at Sports Bet Army.