Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC Vegas 11. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off! Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper
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Anticipated GPP Exposures
These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.
- 9.5k – Mirsad Bektic – 20%
- 9.4k – Khamzat Chimaev – 45%
- 9.3k – Colby Covington – 80%
- 9.2k – TJ Laramie – 30%
- 9.1k – Kevin Holland – 10%
- 9.0k – Mayra Bueno Silva – 10%
- 8.9k – Jessica-Rose Clark – FADE
- 8.8k – Andre Ewell – FADE
- 8.7k – Mackenzie Dern – 20%
- 8.6k – Tyson Nam – 20%
- 8.5k – Niko Price – 50%
- 8.4k – Journey Newson – 10%
- 8.3k – Johnny Walker – 50%
- 8.2k – David Dvorak – 15%
- 8.0k – Jordan Espinosa – 5%
- 7.9k – Ryan Spann – 40%
- 7.8k – Randy Costa – 40%
- 7.7k – Donald Cerrone – 50%
- 7.6k – Jerome Rivera – 5%
- 7.5k – Randa Markos – 10%
- 7.4k – Irwin Rivera – FADE
- 7.3k – Sarah Alpar – 10%
- 7.2k – Mara Romero Borella – 10%
- 7.1k – Darren Stewart – 5%
- 7.0k – Darrick Minner – 15%
- 6.9k – Tyron Woodley – 5%
- 6.8k – Gerald Meerschaert – 20%
- ?? – Damon Jackson – FADE
Aug 3, 2019; Newark, NJ, USA; Colby Covington (red gloves) fights Robbie Lawler (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Prudential Center. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
Cash Game Rankings
I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.
Green:
- 9.5k – Mirsad Bektic
- 9.4k – Khamzat Chimaev
- 9.3k – Colby Covington
- 9.2k – TJ Laramie
- 8.7k – Mackenzie Dern
- 8.6k – Tyson Nam
- 7.3k – Sarah Alpar
- 7.1k – Darren Stewart
- 6.9k – Tyron Woodley
Yellow:
- 9.0k – Mayra Bueno Silva
- 8.5k – Niko Price
- 8.4k – Journey Newson
- 8.2k – David Dvorak
- 8.0k – Jordan Espinosa
- 7.8k – Randy Costa
- 7.5k – Randa Markos
- 7.4k – Irwin Rivera
- 7.2k – Mara Romero Borella
- 6.8k – Gerald Meerschaert
Red:
- 9.1k – Kevin Holland
- 8.9k – Jessica-Rose Clark
- 8.8k – Andre Ewell
- 8.3k – Johnny Walker
- 7.9k – Ryan Spann
- 7.7k – Donald Cerrone
- 7.6k – Jerome Rivera
- 7.0k – Darrick Minner
- ?? – Damon Jackson