Full Court Press Breakdown for NBA DFS 8/21:

Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets

Vegas Total: 220.5

Vegas Spread: Tor -10.5

Starting with the Nets, Caris LeVert is racking up stats in every category in his first two playoff games while playing 35 and 39 minutes in each of them. He’s priced fairly and should have some GPP value left on that tag, I like him here. Jarrett Allen has looked much better than I was expecting in this series, it’s not a great matchup for big men but he’s playing all the minutes he can handle right now and is really pretty cheap. Outside of these two players, it’s really a crapshoot. Joe Harris left the bubble and will not be available for the next two games at least. This should open up shots and opportunities for guys like Garrett Temple and Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot who both average more than one fantasy point per minute with Harris off the court this season. From the Raptors, I was all over Pascal Siakam and his price tag last time out, and, well, he really hasn’t been all that impressive for what I hoped for him in this series. His price has gone down even further and makes sense for cash games but he just hasn’t shown a ceiling in a while. Kyle Lowry is playing massive minutes right now and averaging 42.9 DraftKings points per game against the Nets this season, he’s a solid option in all formats. Fred VanVleet continues to just ball out, coming off of a 49 point and 60 point DraftKings outing. He’s playing huge minutes and at this price makes a ton of sense in all formats. Lastly, OG Anunoby and Serge Ibaka make for solid GPP and secondary cash options in a good matchup.

5-star play: Caris LeVert, Jarrett Allen

4-star play: Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet, Serge Ibaka, Pascal Siakam

Deeper Value: Marc Gasol

GPP Sleeper: OG Anunoby

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Denver Nuggets @ Utah Jazz

Vegas Total: 218.5

Vegas Spread: Den -1.5

Starting with the Jazz, Mike Conley will be available to play her which takes some of the shine off of Jordan Clarkson especially at a newly elevated price tag. Conley being back also takes some usage away from the rest of the starters, particularly Joe Ingles. We know Mitchell and Gobert will get their shots but Ingles will take the biggest blow in my opinion, as he has just a 0.74 fantasy point per minute with Conley on the floor this year. Donovan Mitchell came back down to Earth last game but still came close to a 50 burger, that said, I still can’t stomach the price on him, he’s near a full fade for me. Rudy Gobert looked pretty much how I expected him to look in a tough matchup, he did his job and walked away with a decent day. We were all over Royce O’Neale on Tuesday night and he went for 10x, his price has come up but I still don’t think it’s anywhere near high enough, I like going right back to him here. From the Nuggets, Nikola Jokic continues to own Rudy Gobert, which is odd if you ask me, but true nonetheless. He’s averaging, 60 DraftKings points per game in five games against the Jazz this season, I love Jokic at this price tag. Michael Porter bounced back nicely last game going for 40 fantasy points, the only issue with him is he’s a liability on defense when the game gets tight. Jamaal Murray threw up a bit of a dud last game after going crazy in game one, he’s a very volatile player and more fit for GPPs than anything else, but I don’t hate the price tag.

5-star play: Nikola Jokic,

4-star play: Rudy Gobert, Joe Ingles, Donovan Mitchell, Michal Porter Jr., Paul Millsap, Jamaal Murray

Deeper Value: Royce O’Neale

GPP Sleeper: Joe Ingles, Jerami Grant, Michael Porter Jr.

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Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers

Vegas Total: 216.0

Vegas Spread: Bos -5.0

Starting with the Sixers, Ben Simmons will continue to be out here which opens the road for Joel Embiid to lead the way. Embiid has dropped back to back 53 point DraftKings outings and in a matchup with a weak Celtics frontcourt, it’s hard not to like the big man here. Tobias Harris hasn’t shown me anything real impressive in the first two games but he is filling the box scores so if he can run into a double-double that would be big for his fantasy production. Al Horford is a complete fade for me while Brett Brown can’t figure out how to use him. Shake Milton and Alec Burks are big question marks here as it’s hard to get a grasp on what Brett Brown is going to do with his rotations, Burks is the GPP guy while Milton is the cash guy but we need to look out for a starting lineup here just in case he decides to make a switch. Lastly, Josh Richardson makes sense as a secondary option as well after playing pretty decent in the first two games. From the Celtics, just as everyone was getting healthy, Gordon Hayward leaves in crutches and will be out for around four weeks. The rest of the offense will see a boost due to this, the biggest boost going to Jayson Tatum who averages a 31.6% usage rate and 1.23 fantasy points per minute with Hayward off the court on the season. Tatum has at least 50 fantasy points in three of his last four games and seems to have found a rhythm. Kemba Walker did just fine in his 26 minutes of work in game two, but I really would like to see more minutes out of him. It was intriguing after he saw 35 in game one, he’s not on a minute limit so I have no issue going right back to him here. As far as Jaylen Brown and Marcus Smart go, they both see a nice boost with Hayward out. Brown is the guy you want if you’re looking for upside but the price tag on Marcus Smart is pretty nice and makes sense in cash games. Lastly, Daniel Theis and Enes Kanter are splitting minutes right now and if I had to choose one it would be Kanter, he’s proven to be the better per-minute producer.

5-star play: Joel Embiid, Jayson Tatum

4-star play: Tobias Harris, Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart, Kemba Walker

Deeper Value: Daniel Theis, Enes Kanter

GPP Sleeper: Al Horford, Josh Richardson, Alec Burks, Shake Milton

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Los Angeles Clippers @ Dallas Mavericks

Vegas Total: 232.5

Vegas Spread: Lac -5.0

This game leads the slate with an implied total of 232.5 and should be a fun one to watch. We’ll start with the Mavericks, as much as I love Kristaps Porzingis, this whole knee thing worries me. He hasn’t looked overly great in either of the first two games, I may take a wait-and-see approach on him and prove me wrong before I go back to him. Luka Doncic has at least 50 DraftKings points in both games against the Clippers so worrying about George or Kawhi defense seems like a waste of time with him. After those two there is a steep drop off to guys like Tim Hardaway Jr. and Seth Curry who are GPP options here. I do like the price tag on Curry who should see around 30 minutes. From the Clippers, we know how good Kawhi Leonard can be in the playoffs and in a great matchup against the Mavericks at under $10k, sign me up. He has at least 50 DraftKings points in three of his last four games. Paul George is averaging 40.2 DraftKings points per game against the Mavs on the season in four games, he’s priced about right here but I’ll go right back to him in cash games. Lou Williams makes sense here as well as he basically runs the second unit and isn’t overly priced here, he’s coming off a 39 point DraftKings outing. He played over 30 minutes last game which is intriguing after he had issues getting consistent minutes in the seeding games. Lastly, Montrezl Harrell isn’t in play for me until he’s back up to his full minutes; he only played 14 in game one and 22 minutes in game two, so the minutes are getting there but not quite yet. Ivica Zubac didn’t do a whole lot last game, I’ll leave him for GPPs only.

5-star play: Luka Doncic, Kawhi Leonard, Paul George

4-star play: Tim Hardaway Jr., Kristaps Porzingis, Lou Williams

Deeper Value: Ivica Zubac, Seth Curry

GPP Sleeper: Tim Hardaway Jr., Ivica Zubac, Lou Williams

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NBA Lock of the Day: Royce O’Neale (DK – $4.1k; FD – $4.8k)

Eric Gordon came through as the lock of the day yesterday going for 6.4x his price tag on 30 DraftKings points. That makes a few days in a row of crushing, so let’s keep it up! I’m going right back to the Royce O’Neale well here. I do like him more on DraftKings but that PF position on FanDuel can be a beast so he’s definitely playable over there as well. O’Neale is simply too cheap right now and the sites haven’t caught up. Even with Conley back he’s going to play 30+ minutes and fill up the box score. If he didn’t get in foul trouble in game one I think he’d be closer to $5k right now than $4k, this is pretty much a pricing play for me due to the value he provides and what he allows you to do with the rest of your lineup. Tweet me (@MadnessDFS) your lock predictions and if your player gets over 6.5x I’ll give you a shoutout on Twitter, let’s have some fun with this!

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