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The Sniper Scope: UFC 251

Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC 251. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off!  Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper

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Anticipated GPP Exposures

These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.

  • 9.5k – Amanda Ribas – 40%
  • 9.3k – Petr Yan – 15%
  • 9.2k – Karol Rosa – 5%
  • 9.1k – Alexander Volkanovski – 40%
  • 9.0k – Rose Namajunas – 25%
  • 8.9k – Kamaru Usman – 80%
  • 8.8k – Leonardo Santos – 15%
  • 8.7k – Raulian Paiva – 5%
  • 8.6k – Makwan Amirkhani – 25%
  • 8.5k – Martin Day – 30%
  • 8.4k  – Volkan Oezdemir – 35%
  • 8.2k – Muslim Salikhov – 10%
  • 8.1k – Maxim Grishin – 15%
  • 8.0k – Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos – 15%
  • 7.9k – Marcin Tybura – 20%
  • 7.8k – Jiri Prochazka – 15%
  • 7.7k – Davey Grant – FADE
  • 7.6k – Danny Henry – FADE
  • 7.5k – Zhalgas Zhamagulov – 20%
  • 7.4k – Roman Bogatov – 30%
  • 7.3k – Jorge Masvidal – 20%
  • 7.2k – Jessica Andrade – 40%
  • 7.1k – Max Holloway – 60%
  • 7.0k – Vanessa Melo – 5%
  • 6.9k – Jose Aldo – 35%
  • 6.7k – Paige VanZant – FADE

Jun 29, 2019; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Emily Whitmire (red gloves) fights Amanda Ribas (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: David Berding-USA TODAY Sports

Cash Game Rankings

I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.

Green:

  • 9.5k Amanda Ribas
  • 9.1k – Alexander Volkanovski
  • 8.9k – Kamaru Usman
  • 8.6k – Makwan Amirkhani
  • 8.5k – Martin Day
  • 7.3k – Jorge Masvidal
  • 7.2k – Jessica Andrade
  • 7.1k – Max Holloway
  • 6.9k – Jose Aldo

Yellow: 

  • 9.3k – Petr Yan
  • 9.2k – Karol Rosa
  • 9.0k – Rose Namajunas
  • 8.8k – Leonardo Santos
  • 8.0k – Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
  • 7.5k – Zhalgas Zhamagulov
  • 7.4k – Roman Bogatov
  • 7.0k – Vanessa Melo

Red: 

  • 8.7k – Raulian Paiva
  • 8.4k  – Volkan Oezdemir
  • 8.2k – Muslim Salikhov
  • 8.1k – Maxim Grishin
  • 7.9k – Marcin Tybura
  • 7.8k – Jiri Prochazka
  • 7.7k – Davey Grant
  • 7.6k – Danny Henry
  • 6.7k – Paige VanZant