Welcome everyone to the NASCAR Cup Series DFS Preview. For this edition, we will take a look at the upcoming NASCAR Cup Series race at Charlotte Motor Speedway. This article is brought to you by DFSArmy.com and written by Ryan Larkin. Become a VIP member!! Sign up and use code LARKIN to save 20%!! You can catch up with Ryan on twitter or in the DFSA VIP slack @Larkin8
Charlotte Motor Speedway – Coke 600
This week the Cup Series makes its way to Charlotte Motor Speedway for two races. The first race we will see is the traditional Coke 600. The Coke 600 is the longest race on the NASCAR schedule and starts in the last afternoon and goes until late at night. Due to its length it has three stage breaks instead of the normal two. Charlotte is the most temperature sensitive track in NASCAR which can lead to a big swing from who is good early versus who is good late. Unlike last week at Darlington, we will see qualifying for this race. Qualifying will be the same day as the race and will leave roughly 2.5-3 hours to make lineups. Long run speed is incredibly important here and we will lean heavily on 2020 speed ranks to see who the best cars are since there will be no practice sessions.
Quick Race Facts
Quick Facts
Date: May 24th
Qualifying: Sunday 2:00 pm ET.
Race: Sunday 6:00 pm ET.
Laps: 400 Stages: 100/200/300/400
Drivers: 40
Defending Champion: Martin Truex Jr.
AVG. # of Cautions: 7.3 excluding stage breaks
AVG DNF’s: 6 per race
Pit stall selection will be based off how teams finished the last race at Darlington. This means Denny Hamlin will have pit stall #1 and have the best advantage on pit road.
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DFS Outlook
Dominators
This race generally has ultra long green flag runs leading to one driver dominating huge chucks of the race. I expect 2-3 dominators for this race with an off chance of four dominators. This race is 400 miles long, with transitioning track and a package that seems to make it tough to pass the leader. There are a few obvious place to look for the doms this week. We will start with the Gibbs cars who’s drivers have won the last three Coke 600’s in dominating fashion. We will also look at Harvick who has incredible 1.5 mile speed always, and lastly the HMS cars. Chase Elliott and Alex Bowman have had elite speed all year especially on these intermediate, high speed tracks.
Mid to Low Tier
Given that we will likely see multiple top tier priced drivers needed for an optimal lineup, we will need to be very smart about our picks in this area. We will likely be looking to save salary meaning we will be looking for drivers priced under $7,500 priced on DK and FD who can score some great place differential and/or score a top 10. Drivers like Dibenedetto, Chastain, Buescher, Newman and Bell all jump out as good potential plays. In the lower tier Ryan Preece, Ty Dillon and Michael McDowell could offer some great value. I believe this will be the most important group of the slate as the top dominator plays should be relatively high owned.
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Punts
Traditionally we have an incredibly long race with long runs and few DNF’s. This makes things very difficult for punts plays to be of good value as they will likely be several laps down. If we end up with 3-4 high priced dominators needed then you will have to look into this group for those lineups to work. This is something that can definitely come into play this week and I would recommend not writing any driver off for DK. On FD it is a bit different and you can focus more on top finishers and probably fade this area.
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This will conclude this edition of NASCAR Cup Series Preview. If you would like to reach out and talk NASCAR Follow me on twitter @Larkin8 or of course Become a VIP member and join me as well as our other DFS Army NASCAR contributors (Brady Miller, Taco, and NillyJay) in the NASCAR coaching channels.