Just two races left in 2019, and the folks at DFSArmy are going to end STRONG. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.
Top Plays
Denny Hamlin – Hamlin has the best car and I don’t think it is particularly close. He isn’t in a must win situation, but a win would obviously make things a lot easier. I think Hamlin is going to take control of this race in the second stage and may not relinquish control. His form is out of this world and though Phoenix has been hit or miss for him, this has all the makings of a hit.
Kyle Busch – I’m a little iffy on this pick, and if he didn’t qualify on the pole I probably wouldn’t recommend Kyle since he is priced so high, and his form isn’t great. However, he is going to lead a ton of laps and compete for a win – as he has almost every time at Phoenix over the last couple race. The rest of your lineup will suffer greatly by putting in Kyle at this price, but it may well be worth it.
Aric Almirola – Phoenix is Almirolas best track and he has sneaky speed this weekend. He has four top tens in a row here, and at just $8100 he is a great midtier play. He starts 11th, but I think a top five is very likely for Aric, who has been strong the last few weeks.
Ryan Blaney- Blaney needs a really good run to make it to the final four next weekend, but I think he has a real shot at making it there off the back of a win this weekend. Blaney looked really good at Phoenix in the spring. He has been the fastest Penske driver as of late and that trend appears to be continuing. He starts 10th, which means we needs some fast laps or laps led, but given his practice speed that is a real possibility.
Fades
I don’t see any super clear fades this week given how by the book qualifying was.
Value
Ty Dillon – Dillon has been a stud at Phoenix for most of his career. It is safe to ignore his practice times. Dillon should stay out of trouble and improve greatly on his 29th starting spot.
Ryan Newman – I will never not tout Newman at Phoenix, a track the he consistently outruns his equipment. He starts 20th, but should roll into the top ten at some point. Top 12 has been the move for Newman at Phoenix over the last couple years, I expect more of the same here.
Austin Dillon – Austin has really impressed me on short tracks this year, and though Phoenix has never been a standout track for him, his equipment seems to be pretty sharp this weekend. He will start 28th but his long run speed is way better than that. I expect Austin to work his way into the top 15.
David Ragan – The closest I can get to a “punt of the week”. I think Ragan has a floor of about 25th and a ceiling around 20th. Not bad against a 30th place starting effort.
So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.