Hello and Welcome to the Truck Series Setup. For this week we will be looking ahead to the Truck race at ISM Raceway. For more info and other NASCAR coverage you can follow me on twitter @Larkin8. If you are just finding the DFS Army and are not a VIP member sign up and use code LARKIN to save 20%!! Our DFS Army VIP members get access to the Domination Station and Research Station. Also, VIP members get access to our VIP Slack and direct contact to the NASCAR coaches. Come join the best team in NASCAR DFS!
Race Info
The Truck Series is making its way to ISM Raceway for the second to last race of the season. ISM is a low banked, one mile race track with distinctly different corners. Some teams will look to be good in turns 1 & 2 and sacrifice a little speed in turns 3 & 4 or vice versa. This track races a bit like a short track and can be compared a bit to Gateway earlier this year. This race usually dominated by drivers starting at the front. Short run speed carries over very well so pay close attention to trucks with good single lap and 5 lap speed. All eyes will be on who will advance in the championship race in Homestead and fight for a title.
There are 34 trucks on the entry list meaning TWO trucks will fail to qualify for the race.
Title Implications
With back to back surprise winners in the Truck Series no driver is locked into the final just yet. Defending race winner Brett Moffitt is in the best position and is in good shape points wise. Stewart Friesen is also in a comfortable spot and Ross Chastain has a decent buffer as well. The other three drivers Hill, Crafton and Ankrum are looking to find a way into the championship race. This is important because all six drivers will have strategies based on how they can get to the championship race. Drivers will look to grab as many stage points as possible and ultimately if need be risk it all for a win at any cost. For DFS this important to consider as we may see a more conservative or risk approach from any of these 6 drivers.
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Quick Facts
Date: November 8th
First Practice: Friday 10:05 am ET.
Second Practice: Friday 11:35 am ET
Qualifying: Friday 5:05 pm ET
Race: Friday 8:30 pm ET.
Laps: 150 Stages: 40/90/150
Drivers: 32
Defending Champion: Brett Moffitt
AVG. # of Cautions: 6..5 excluding stage cautions
AVG DNF’s: 6.5 per race
Lineup Building
Dominator/Top Plays
For this race we will look to play 1-2 dominators. The first person on your list to watch for is the pole sitter. The pole sitter has led at least 43 laps here in the last six races. In four of those races they have led 90+ laps or 60% of the laps available. While it is not a given that this will happen there is a very strong likelihood of it. Once the sun starts setting we do see handling change which can led to another driver taking over late. Brett Moffitt is our defending race winner here and should be looked at as a front runner to do so again. Ross Chastain would be considered a dom threat but with only a 20 point cushion to make the championship race we may see a more conservative effort from him. Either way we will want to look at practice speeds and qualifying to detemine who the best plays are. 7 of the last 10 races have been won by drivers starting 3rd or better.
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Mid Tier/Low Tier
The mid tier is full of change this week and is a great area to attack. We see Brandon Jones return to the #51 and Chandler Smith to the #46 for KBM. Derek Kraus is back with his #19 team. Dylan Lupton will be in the #5, Tanner Gray in the #7 and our favorite Anthony Alfredo is finally back driving the #15 for DGR. DGR will have FIVE trucks in this race. Sam Mayer is running the #21 for GMS this week. Jesse Little returns with his #97 truck as well. Ty Majeski is also making a NASCAR return driving the #44 for Niece Motorsports. This is perhaps the deepest field this year and we will have lots of options from this area this week.
Punts
With the depth of the field being so good it will be hard for any punts to do well unless we have a large amount of DNFs. This is possible of course as we saw in 2017 when we had 18 DNFs including 13 trucks wrecking within a 15 lap period. This field is filled with inexperience as well so we could be in for an exciting night. That being said I would try to stay away from this group in general as they simply won’t have the speed to contend for good days. Carson Hocevar in the #56 is an interesting play as is Joe Nemechek if we can feel comfortable about him running the full race.
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This will conclude this edition of The Truck Series Setup. If you would like to reach out and talk NASCAR Follow me on twitter @Larkin8 and join me as well as our other DFS Army NASCAR contributors (Brady Miller, Taco, and NillyJay) in the NASCAR coaching channels.