Forslund’s Full Mount – UFC On ESPN+ 22 Cash Game Winning Picks Advice For Draftkings – Nov 16

Welcome again fellow fight fans to a Saturday night of UFC action.  This time we have a 12-fight card taking place in Sao Paulo, Brazil.  There are several very close matches on this card which will make for some interesting choices in your tournament builds.  But, that’s not what this article is about.  My goal is to help navigate you through this interesting card and find some solid fighters to begin your cash game construction with. 

For you 1st time readers, welcome and I hope you enjoy the article.  For all you regular readers, you will notice a change.  Moving forward I am  going to gear this article for cash games.  If you want my full thoughts on the entire card, you can find them in our MMA coaches notes Yes, I know everyone wants to win that big tournament win!  But a major point we make here at DFS Army is proper bankroll management.  A major part of that is, of course, cash games.  It may not be the sexiest way to build your bankroll but, over time it can be the most consistent.  I would love to hear any feedback on this new format, and I look forward to helping everyone learn the art of creating a solid cash game lineup.

We have been on a huge run in all sports at DFS Army!  Plus the new NASCAR season has started off right where we left off last season.  We just had a huge win by a member last Saturday in MMA!   You name the sport we cover it!  If you want to join in on the winning use promo code “FORSLUND” to save 20% on your membership.

As always have some fun in tournaments this week.  Just remember the Golden Rule!  While chasing after the big payout is enticing always remember bankroll management.  I am a firm believer in the 80-20 rule.  Which is 80% of your allocated bankroll for the night in cash games and 20% in tournaments.  Remember to take advantage of our Research Station and Domination Station.  Plus check out the podcast, and follow me on Twitter (@MMACashAssassin) for the latest MMA and DFS Army news!

dfs mma

For those of you new to MMA here is a breakdown of the scoring used on Draftkings.

MMA Cash Game Basics for DFS 

In cash games, unlike tournaments, we are trying to build a solid floor with our lineups.  Many times that may mean using a fighter with great odds to win a match or taking someone who is severely mispriced in a solid spot.  Cash games are often times card dependent.  For example, if a fighter is expected to be chalky in cash games and I feel they are in a good spot I have no problem eating the chalk and just rostering him.  After all, he’s chalky for a solid reason.  One major difference between cash and tournament play is getting past your aversion to play the chalk.  Often times, the chalk makes a lot of sense.  (I’m going to use the word “chalk” a lot, if new, chalk is slang for “popular player.”)  If, you ever have any questions pertaining to cash games feel free to reach out to me on Twitter or if you are a VIP shoot me a dm.

DFS MMA UFC On ESPN+ 22 Cash Core Plays

Charles Oliveira (-410) 9.4k

Oliveira not only finds himself as the highest priced fighter on Draftkings, but also the biggest favorite on the entire card.  He is a good striker (3.18 Significant Strikers Per Minute) and a solid grappler as well (2.8 Takedowns per fight).  All this bodes well for him from a dratkings scoring standpoint, especially when you add in the fact that Vegas likes this fight to end Inside The Distance (-280) and with Oliveira being the victor (-195 to win ITD).  To put it blunt Oliveira is a strong cash game play and one I will be personally locking into my cash game builds.

Jan Blachowicz (-165) 8.9k vs Jacare Souza (+145) 7.3k

This is the main event on the card and with Vegas having the opinion that this ends via stoppage (-265).  Both fighters land at a solid rate (Blachowicz 3.54 and Souza 3.16 Significant Strikes per minute) and can also produce scoring via the ground (Blachowicz 1.39 and Souza 1.91 TD’s per fight).  I see no reason this stack doesn’t produce a score of 125+ Draftkings points.  Don’t get cute here trying to pick a side in cash!  Make the smart cash lineup choice and lock them both into your builds and move on.

Ariane Lipski (-115) 7.7

Lipski is priced as the dog in this fight and is now the favorite.  She will most likely be chalky in cash games, but that is chalk I am going to be eating.  She has shown in previous fights to be a solid output striker (3.53  SS’s per minute), add to the fact that this fight has a high Fight Goes to Decision prop (-240).  I see no reason for her not to produce a score of 75-80 DK points in a win and she has a solid floor of 40 points in a lose.  That’s all I need to hear to consider her a solid cash game punt. 

Sure, these are MY favorite cash game plays, but maybe you play GPPs or like others.  That’s fine…..you need tools, though.  Our MMA Research Station is locked and loaded with every related statistic in an easy to read, color coded fashion that cuts your research time down.  It allows several fighters, like the ones I mentioned, to really pop at you and make DFS life easier.  But, to access this beast, you need to become a member at DFSA…

And, if you are already a member, we have podcasts related to this UFC MMA card, as well as premium articles breaking down strategy and advice even further to #RaiseYourEdge over your competition.  I’m sure you’ve seen our army helmets all over the leaderboards.  We have not one, not two, but THREE of the top-ranked MMA players in the world coaching our members up on a weekly basis and helping them become better MMA DFS players.  See Marley’s UFC Breakdown article here.

Fight To Target In Hybrids/Tournaments

Now that we covered some cash plays.  Let’s breakdown 1 fight I really think you should get exposure to in your hybrid and tournament lineups.

Andre Muniz (-120) 8.2k vs Antonio Arroyo (+100) 8k

This fight carries a -140 Fight Ends ITD prop.  Both fighters have paths to victory in this fight.  It just depends on which scenario plays out.  Muniz is the better grappler and his opponent has been submitted numerous times in the past and Arroyo is the better striker and his opponent  has shown to have a suspect chin. Both fighters are priced right at the mid-range and I think it’s a good idea to get exposure to both because the winner has a strong chance to be on the optimal lineup.  My preferred play is Muniz.

DFS MMA Standing 8-Count

Ok, that was a boxing reference to make sure you are still paying attention.  I hope you all enjoyed the new format and I look forward to hearing your feedback. Be sure you check out our VIP Podcast!  If you are new to the sport of MMA, let us teach you the fundamentals to go along with this be sure you check out our new tutorial on how to MME for MMA by our CEO Geek.  Become a VIP at DFS Army right now!!  Our mixture of content, tools, and coaching can take the best NBA player and teach him MMA like a boss in a very short time.  We have NFL guys learning Nascar, and we even have people learning how to dominate the silent sport of tennis!  That’s right…..major edge in tennis, and I help out there, too.

If you are still on the fence, remember, my code FORSLUND knocks 20% off the cover price as long as you remain a member.  It’s not a one month code….it’s permanent.  And, are a couple quick notes from our members….

Good Luck Army!