Inspection is finishing up. Not much has changed, but in an effort to get this out ASAP this will be a condensed article. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.
Top Plays
Denny Hamlin – Every weekend, I do driver rankings pre on-track activity, post on-track activity, and post xFinity race(if there is one). This weekend, Hamlin has topped those rankings every step of the way. His track history, speed and form I’ll point to a potential domination type weekend.
Kyle Busch – I was really hoping Kyle Busch would be priced down a little this week, given his lackluster form. Alas, he was not – but he is still a great play. He has rattled of a staggering eight straight top fives at Martinsville. He has very good long run speed this weekend, and should push forward against his 13th place starting spot with ease.
Kurt Busch – It’s not really showing up on the practice sheet, but if you look at Kurts lap by lap practice times, he has a lot of speed. His short run speed leaves a little to be desired, but I think Kurt Busch easily competes for a top ten this weekend.
Kevin Harvick – I would be remiss if I didn’t recommend playing Harvick when he is starting 22nd. He has been off-form as of late, and Martinsiville is by no means his best track. His average running position is top ten though, and that should be enough for him to hit value.
Worth Noting
Brad Keselowski dominated this race in March. He starts 15th and is absolutely a good play. However, the car he ran in March is no longer legal, so he is running a brand new car. His speed seems a little off, which makes me nervous to recommend him. I suspect they will find some of that speed over the course of the day though, and he could easily compete for a win.
Value
Ryan Newman – Newman will start at the back due to a failed inspection. Newmans aggressive no nonsense driving style makes him a beast at Martinsville, even though his speed isn’t great. Save for a couple outlier performances, Newman has been a top-20 lock over the last four years. Expect more of the same here.
Corey Lajoie – Lajoie failed inspection and will start at the back aswell. He has some pretty legit top 25 speed and should do well against a 40th or 39th starting spot. This is both a Punt of the Week and a good value play.
Ty Dillon – Martinsville is a great track for Ty, boasting a 20th place average finish. In a race where we are struggling to find value, I will take that all day. His short run speed is a lot better than his long run speed, so there is a risk of getting trapped a few laps down – so don’t go overboard here.
Austin Dillon – This is a bit of a risky play, because AD is very boom or bust at Martinsville. That said, he was SO SO impressive on restarts here in the spring. If this race devolves into chaos, Austin could easily end up in the top ten.
So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.