I will be offline when inspection happens, but these could change DRASTICALLY. Keep an eye on the Slack for the latest.
There is nothing better than a little Saturday night short track racing! As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.
Top Plays
Joey Logano – Joey seems to have pretty decent long run speed this weekend, but his short run speed is abysmal. As such, he starts 28th at one of his better tracks. You would have to go all the way back to 2013 to find a Richmond race where he finished outside the top 15. Joey is a tremendous play with a very high chance of hitting the optimal, regardless of what happens in tech.
Kevin Harvick – Harvick is too damn consistant at Richmond not to mark as a top play. He needs to lead some laps to hit the optimal and had better overall speed then polesitter Brad Keselowski. I think he can get out front in the first stage and click off a good number of laps lead before competing for a win.
Clint Bowyer – Bowyer was absolutely terrible in in practice, but I am hoping that only serves to push his ownership down. Richmond is an okay track for him, and he starts way back in 21st. A top ten should be very attainable and if he gets some institutional help setup wise, he could compete for a top five.
Brad Keslowski – This is a bit of a risky play, because if Brad doesn’t lead a bunch of laps we are in trouble. That said, there is a version of this race were Brad dominates flag to flag and scores 200 pts (see fall 2014). He is priced low enough that you can fit another heavy hitter in with him, so I think he is a worthwhile play. I wouldn’t play him with Harvick though.
Fades
When practice is during the day and the race is at night, it is impossible to mark fades. Everyone is in play.
Value
Ryan Newman – This is barely a value play since Newman has been priced up to $8000. It is still a good play though. He has legit speed this weekend from short run to long run. Richmond is a great track for him, and I think a top five is very realistic.
Austin Dillon – Another risky play, but one I have a lot of faith in. Dillon has had two top six finishes in a row here, and has really good short run speed here. I think he can hang around in the middle of the pack for most of the day, and hopefully take advantage of a couple late race restarts to poke into the top ten against a 19th starting effort.
Ty Dillon – Brother Ty is in a similar boat as Austin, expect this play is way less risky. Ty starts 31st, but should finish way ahead of that barring any trouble. He would need a worst career effort to not end up positive here. I think a top 20 is much more likely.
Landon Cassill – Ehhhh if you are dying for a punt play, here it is. I dont have much faith in it but its your best option.
So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.