What’s up everyone?! Ryan Larkin aka @Larkin8 here and welcome to the Xfinity Series Setup. This week we will be looking ahead to the Xfinity Series race at Indianapolis. If you are just finding the DFS Army and are not a VIP member sign up and use code LARKIN to save 20%!! Our DFS Army VIP members get access to the Domination Station and Research Station post qualifying. Also, VIP members get access to our VIP Slack with direct contact to the NASCAR coaches. Come join the best team in NASCAR DFS!
Race Notes
Only two races remain before the start of the Xfinity Series playoffs. The first of those races is this week at the hallowed Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Indy or IMS is a massive 2.5 mile track with four individual corners. Elite teams dominate here. Generally, there are few cautions which leads to long runs. Unlike a lot of tracks tires are not as important as other tracks. While four tires is always optimal we will at times see teams take risk with tire strategy to gain track position. The current rules package offers decent drafting ability for the Xfinity cars which does lead to decent amounts of passing. The leaders, especially if they are from the same organization, can team up and prevent any lead changes from happening. We saw this the last couple years with the JRM cars being able to maintain the lead for large portions of the race. Strategy will be a massive part of this race between teams getting inside fuel window and short pitting as well as the tire strategy teams will play through out.
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Available articles include:
Larkin8’s – Truck Series Driver Breakdown
Larkin8’s – Xfinity Series Driver Breakdown
NillyJay’s – Calming the Chaos: Exceptional slate breakdown
BradyMillerDFS’s – The Sway Bar: Top plays for Drafkings
Larkin8’s – Cup Series Setup: Top Plays for FanDuel
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Quick Facts
Date: Sept. 7th
Practice 1: Friday 2:05 pm ET.
Practice 2: Friday 4:05 pm
Qualifying: Saturday 12:05 pm ET.
Race: Saturday 3:00 pm ET.
Laps: 100 Stages: 30/60/100
Drivers: 38
Defending Champion: Justin Allgaier
AVG. # of Cautions: 4 excluding stage breaks
AVG DNF’s: 9 per race (however, last years race saw 16 skewing this number)
Lineup Building
Dominator / Top Tier
For this race we will look to play 0-2 dominantors. Not too many laps available plus fast laps being spread out due to drafting does limit the overall ability of any one driver to truly rack up the points. We also will see pit strategy around the stages likely shake up who leads even for just for a few laps. Kyle Busch is, of course, unbelievable here winning 3 of his last 5 with a runner up finish. In 2017 we saw him have the best car and lead 44 laps but that was limited massively by pit strategy around stage breaks. In that 2017 race Kyle also finished 12th which offset his dom points. With fast laps likely to be spread out and laps led to be split between three or four drivers it wouldn’t shocking for a scenario where place differential is more important than pick the main dominator. Especially when it comes to the ultra top tier. Drivers like Bell, Custer, Reddick and Allgaier are of course going to be threats to win much like every week.
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Mid Tier
Some really strong plays in the mid range this week. We see Austin Dillon jump into the #10 for Kaulig Racing again. He averaged $10,000 his first three races this year but comes in at $8,600 for this week. Jeb Burton returns to the #8 for JRM which has been a top car all year no matter who is driving. Drivers like Annett, Jones and Nemechek will carry top 10 upside as well at decent prices. Another driver to pay close attention to is Austin Hill who will be driving the #61 for MBM. This team and sponsorship combo were together for Timmy Hill’s 7th place a Bristol. Place differential is going to be key and given the draft and pit strategies available the drivers who can pair it with a high finishing position are going to be vital.
Low Tier/Punts
For the most part this group will struggle to keep pace with the leaders but given the size of the track and leaders likely short pitting it is possible for these teams to stay on the lead lap or close to it. 2017 saw 19 cars on the lead lap and 29 cars within 1 lap of the leader. Last years race saw so many DNFs that the drivers who simply finished the race were able to score well. This week those who can potentially stay on the lead lap thus adding to their finishing position upside are going to be the best plays.
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This will conclude this edition of The Xfinity Series Setup. If you would like to reach out and talk NASCAR Follow me on twitter @Larkin8 or of course Become a VIP member and join me as well as our other DFS Army NASCAR contributors (Brady Miller, Taco, and NillyJay) in the NASCAR coaching channels.