The Sway Bar: NASCAR DFS Fades and Values for Kentucky 2019


The chaos has settled and we are on to Kentucky – where the winners tend to, well – win. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

 Top Plays

Denny Hamlin – Denny rolls off 18th, but hes much faster than that. His fastest lap in final practice was the last lap he ran. He has had a string of bad luck on 1.5 mile tracks the last little while, but I expect that will only serve to push down his ownership. The Toyota’s are lightning fast and I expect Hamlin to compete inside the top 5.

Joey Logano – Logano has been the model of consistency at 1.5 milers, and his poor practice doesn’t tell the whole story. He had super consistent lap times, and didnt fall off much at all. I expect Joey is a lock for top 5.

Martin Truex Jr – MTJ, the defending winner at Kentucky, will roll of 8th tonight. I can’t imagine he doesn’t lead laps tonight, and compete for a win. An easy play for me.

Kyle Busch -Kyle Busch is one of the best Kentucky drivers in the field. He has solid short and long run speed and rarely runs outside of the top 5 at Kentucky. You will likely have to chose between MTJ and Kyle Busch, as they are both super expensive.


My fades have been near useless this year, so I am going to refrain from giving them out for a while. Everyone is in play.


Daniel Suarez – Suarez is lighting fast and his single lap speed is absurd. I expect he can lead most of the first stage, and at a $7600 dollars, a load of fast laps, lead laps, and a top ten finish is good enough to be in the optimal.

Chris Buescher – Buescher has been damn near a must play this year. He rolls off 26th tonight and one of his best tracks. His speed isnt that impressive, but I anticipate the nightfall will serve him well.

David Ragan – Ragan is sneaky good at Kentucky, and has been super solid on 1.5 milers in 2019. His speed is good, and his 25th place starting spot should be far back enough to give him decent place differential. Ragan is a great play tonight.

Landon Cassill – Punt of the week. Cassill should run all the laps.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.