Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC 238. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off! Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper
Anticipated GPP Exposures
These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.
- 9600 – Valentina Shevchenko – FADE (Go read my coaches notes before you have a stroke)
- 9500 – Tatiana Suarez – 80%
- 9300 – Petr Yan – 15%
- 9100 – Yan Xiaonan – FADE
- 9000 – Bevon Lewis – 30%
- 8800 – Calvin Kattar – FADE
- 8700 – Tai Tuivasa – 50%
- 8600 – Tony Ferguson – 60%
- 8500 – Aljamain Sterling – 15%
- 8400 – Karolina Kowalkiewicz – FADE
- 8300 – Marlon Moraes – 50%
- 8200 – Eddie Wineland – 45%
- 8100 – Joanne Calderwood – FADE
- 8100 – Katlyn Chookagian – FADE
- 8000 – Grigorri Popov – 15%
- 7900 – Henry Cejudo – 50%
- 7800 – Alexa Grasso – 25%
- 7700 – Pedro Munhoz – 35%
- 7600 – Donald Cerrone – 40%
- 7500 – Blagoy Ivanov – FADE
- 7400 – Ricardo Lamas – 30%
- 7200 – Darren Stewart –10% (Underweight as ownership play, I think Stewart is going to be very popular)
- 7100 – Angela Hill – 20%
- 6900 – Jimmee Rivera – 25%
- 6700 – Nina Ansaroff – FADE
- 6600 – Jessica Eye – 5%
Cash Game Rankings
I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.
Green:
- 9600 – Valentina Shevchenko
- 9500 – Tatiana Suarez
- 8600 – Tony Ferguson
- 8300 – Marlon Moraes
- 8200 – Eddie Wineland
- 7900 – Henry Cejudo
- 7800 – Alexa Grasso
- 7100 – Angela Hill
- 6900 – Jimmee Rivera
Yellow:
- 9300 – Petr Yan
- 9000 – Bevon Lewis
- 8400 – Karolina Kowalkiewicz
- 8100 – Joanne Calderwood
- 7700 – Pedro Munhoz
- 7600 – Donald Cerrone
- 7400 – Ricardo Lamas
- 7200 – Darren Stewart
- 6600 – Jessica Eye
Red:
- 9100 – Yan Xiaonan
- 8800 – Calvin Kattar
- 8700 – Tai Tuivasa
- 8500 – Aljamain Sterling
- 8100 – Katlyn Chookagian
- 8000 – Grigorri Popov
- 7700 – Blagoy Ivanov
- 6700 – Nina Ansaroff