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MME Playbook Strategy for FanDuel and DraftKings MLB DFS

Donuts to Dollars

The GPP/MME playbook is more or less a foundation to build upon for your Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) tournament strategy and mass-multi entry (MME) adventures. I personally am a full-time MME player across all major platforms each night. The strategy I have laid out for you is where I personally am with how I plan on attacking the slate with my own pool, teams to target, and suggest exposures for your stacks on FanDuel and DraftKings.

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Hit me up on Twitter  @DFSnDONUTS and you can also find me on YouTube | Twitch  | iTunes with supplemental commentary and teaching. You’ll really find me in our VIP coaching forums inside coaching and detailing plays and strategic concepts from contest selection to lineup construction across all our main sports.

MLB DFS Pitching Pool Strategy for MME

Chris Sale belongs in your player pool because of his massive ceiling. I won’t be outright targeting him though so he just gets tossed into our pool but without a minimum exposure setting on him. His ceiling is evidenced by his 67.00, 70.00, and 73.00 point FanDuel scores in 3 out of his last 5 starts. However, on a slate where I think hitting stacks will win the night (as they always do, hint hint), I am not overly comfortable paying an arm and a leg for a pitcher.

Mike Minor has not hit his ceiling over his last several starts and has regressed quite a bit over the last month. However, the price tag on him is affordable and he should be a 3-5% owned type option against the perceived difficult matchup of the Boston Red Sox. However, the Red Sox are ice cold right now and J.D. Martinez potentially could miss this game. The top half of the lineup poses a serious threat but the bottom half is wretched right now. Minor does have 15 K’s in his last 10.2 IP so the upside is there.

German Marquez is not someone I want to target but I do think he’s a viable option on both FanDuel and DraftKings due to his price tag. He has high upside and is always low-owned when pitching at home. The Chicago Cubs make me nervous and the hitting conditions in Coors Field tonight looks delectable.

MME Pitchers I’ll give a minimum 3-5%

Jason Vargas may or may not even be a suitable option due to a decent amount of rain falling in the Bronx on Monday. Pay attention to Mark’s weather report in our member chat as we get closer to lock. If weather permits, Vargas will be a 1-3% owned type play and has surprisingly allowed just 1 ER or less in 6 of his last 7 appearances. The Yankees will be popular, too, so you leverage their ownership by rolling out Vargas.

Charlie Morton has been in the zone as of late, racking up 24 K’s in his last 20 IP and accumulating three quality starts and wins in each game. He has 55.00, 43.00, and 55.00 FanDuel points over his last three starts. He is also allowing just an 89 MPH exit velocity and 29% hard hit rate in 2019. He’s an affordable high floor and high ceiling option on Monday.

Hyun-Jin Ryu has been phenomenal this season and offers a very high floor and ceiling. While he doesn’t always rack up the strikeouts, he keeps the base paths clean. He has given up just 2 ER over his last 27.2 IP and walked just 2 batters. His control is unmatched on this slate.

Michael Wacha is getting a spot start after being shunned to the bullpen after being a shell of himself to start the season. Wacha has been a decent pitcher for most of his career and I am hoping he takes advantage of the opportunity to claw his way back into the rotation. He does have a 0.289 xwOBA in 62 plate appearances against the Marlins hitters. I will be hedging this investment with some Marlins stack exposure though because I think the probability of him righting the ship is low.

Sandy Alcantara is the epitome of an MME target. He’s super volatile, he is mid-tier priced, he has high upside, and he’s always low-owned because of the fear factor. He’s everything I like out of pitcher for 20-max and 150-max CSV builds. Embrace the volatility and hedge your investment with some Cardinals exposure. Saint Louis hits pitchers very well who throw fastballs as their primary go to pitch. Alcantara has a laser beam so something has to give here one way or another.

Joe Musgrove is not in play on FanDuel but he’s an elite option on DraftKings. I don’t care that the Atlanta Braves have a 5.5 implied run total (IRT), Musgrove is a much better pitcher than a $5,200 arm. Those guys are usually just warm bodies that go out there and throw batting practice for the opposing team. Musgrove certainly can and will get shelled at times but he has scored 27.95, 17.25, and 24.40 DraftKings points in 3 out of his last 5 starts. He also has given up 5 HRs in his last 14 IP along with 8 ERs. This is another spot that we will hedge with some Braves stack exposure.

Griffin Canning is going to be low-owned due to his matchup against the overrated Los Angeles Dodgers. Yes, I just typed that and you just read that. They can go cold in a hurry and although they have immense power up and down that lineup, they have struggled to put it together for those big 10 plus run games. Canning has 23 Ks in his last 24 IP and has allowed just 20 men to reach base. A volatile outcome is likely but my money is on Canning to control this lineup.

Single Entry GPP Pitchers

With the Chicago Cubs in town, German Marquez is going to be very low-owned in Coors Field on Monday. Expect a volatile outcome in either direction but Marquez has slate winning upside and is just mid-7k priced on FanDuel. He’s an excellent option.

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Specific Daily Fantasy MLB Stacks and Teams to Target for Stacking for GPPs and MME

When I select my stacks I like to run through the trending tab, batter matchups tab, top-10 lists for a bunch of different stats, pricing differential, and the top rated players within the Research Station. I set the FanDuel stacks to 4-3 and the DraftKings stacks to 5-2 in the DFS Army optimizer.

Tier 1 MLB Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings

These are the teams I want to stack with my highest exposure. Whether you decide to use the controlled stacks (example below) or the randomized stack exposure (as I do, the example provided), I’ll have my highest percentage on the Tier 1 teams). Daily fantasy sports are not just about being contrarian. A key strategy is to also have contrarian exposure to your plays.

Colorado Rockies 40-60%

While Yu Darvish has not really been roughed up as of late, the Rockies have a 0.343 xwOBA in 86 plate appearances. The Rockies also have looked last at the plate as of late and I think their is a chance we get them at a lower ownership than normal for a Coors Field showdown.

Washington Nationals 40-60%

Early reports are that Odrisamer Despaigne is going to start for the Chicago White Sox on Monday. This is great news for the Nationals and their IRT opened at 5.9 runs. That’s the same amount that the Rockies have at home. In 33 IP in 2018, Odrisamer put 63 men on base and gave up 25 ERs. The Nationals can manufacture runs and have speed on the base paths with power at the plate. This one could get ugly.

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Tier 2 MLB Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings

These are the teams I am generally using to hedge my pitcher investment and/or don’t have a clear read on what might happen but understand extreme outcomes are possible. My strategy is to have the volatile stacks paired with the Tier 1 stacks that have a higher success rate.

New York Yankees 20-40%

If this game does play, we need to hedge our Vargas investment. The Yankees have dominated him in their 85 plate appearances against him in his career. They have a massive .400 xwOBA and .320 xBA against him. Elite upside for the Yankees tonight.

Saint Louis Cardinals 10-30%

Alcantara is going to make the Cardinals look silly or he’s going to implode early and give up multiple home runs before he’s yanked. I think the Cards are in a spot where they can break the slate and score double-digits like they have multiple times this season.

Miami Marlins 10-20%

While their upside is not as high as others they likely have the best matchup tonight due to the horrendous form that Michael Wacha is in right now. Starlin Castro is a BvP monster against Wacha as well and I would not be surprised to see him get a hold of one against him even if Wacha does alright for himself through 5 or 6 innings.

Atlanta Braves 10-30%

Musgrove has given up 5 HRs in his last two starts. The guy can give up the long ball with the best of them and this Braves team can give right-handed pitchers fits at times. It’s going to be Freddie Freeman leading the charge for the Braves and if they get to him early then he’s in trouble. If not, then the Braves are going to disappoint.

Pittsburgh Pirates 10-30%

Kevin Gascan, err – Gausman, looks broken again. The Pirates hitters are heating up at the plate and have a strong left-handed lineup that can take advantage of HR prone right-handed pitchers. It’s a match made for DFS and the 4.7 IRT of the Pirates is overshadowed by other offenses today. They have slate breaking potential in this spot.

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This is my personal strategy to use the DFS Army Domination Station optimizer for MLB MME

  1. Cut all pitchers out of my player pool that I know I 100% DO NOT WANT

    1. Add in all the pitchers I am okay with the optimizer using and then put 3-5% minimum exposure on my favorite pitchers (the above pitching pool). This ensures that they show up in at least 7-10 out of my 150 lineups.
  2. Identify all teams I want to stack

    1. If using controlled stacks then create my player pool of hitters for MME
    2. If using the randomized stacks (which I do) then I begin to create percentages for all my favorite teams to target adding up to 160-180%
    3. Leave 20-40% stack exposure to allow the optimizer to fill in some random optimized stacks according to your pitcher pool to have some unbiased lineups
  3. Prepare my 150 entry settings

    1. 3 uniques
    2. optimal mode
    3. DFS Army points
    4. Make sure allow opposing pitchers is unchecked
    5. Maximum exposure cap of 60% is how I roll with it. The higher the exposure cap the more “all-in” you will be on a player or two (which I am not a fan of for MLB right now)
    6. Set random stack setting to 4-3 for FanDuel and 5-2 for DraftKings
  4. Run the optimizer
    1. Look at the batters used in the stacks. Did I create 100 Houston lineups and only get 5 George Springers? Okay, use the like/love/adore buttons or boost his projection until I get more of him. Did I get 50 out of 50 Boston stacks with Jackie Bradley and no J.D. Martinez? Boost Martinez and potentially use the dislike buttons on Bradley until he’s a bit lower and Martinez is involved.
    2. You have to tinker a bit to get the higher upside guys sometimes ^^^
  5. Re-run the optimizer until you get what you’re looking for
    1. Go watch Netflix until the games are over and your daily fantasy sports entries are final
    2. Make a plate of chips and salsa, too

What’s Next?

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Closing

I really hope this helps you get your feet under you at the beginning of this MLB season for Daily Fantasy. Please subscribe to me on the following platforms and I would love to hear from you on Twitter or in our member service in my #Donut-Shop coaching channel!

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