Donuts to Dollars
The GPP/MME playbook is more or less a foundation to build upon for your Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) tournament strategy and mass-multi entry (MME) adventures. I personally am a full-time MME player across all major platforms each night. The strategy I have laid out for you is where I personally am with how I plan on attacking the slate with my own pool, teams to target, and suggest exposures for your stacks on FanDuel and DraftKings.
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MLB DFS Pitching Pool Strategy for MME
Tyler Skaggs doesn’t have the greatest matchup but he is a mid-tier priced arm that I think is about $1,000 underpriced on both FanDuel and DraftKings. MME is more about pitching value and upside rather than consistency and floor. Skaggs is volatile but has 31 Ks in his last 27.1 IP.
MME Pitchers I’ll give a minimum 5-10% to ensure that they are used
Jack Flaherty is way too cheap on both FanDuel and DraftKings. He has strong strikeout upside and can grab both the quality start and win against the New York Mets. The Cardinals do have just a 3.3 IRT but the Mets have a 3.7 IRT and are just -126 favorites.
In the same game, Jacob deGrom is clearly in play as well. He’s looked great in the last two outings against the Diamondbacks and Rockies. In those 12.2 IP, he struck out 17 batters and allowed just 3 ERs. He actually has given up just 6 ER in his last 4 starts and 23.2 IP, so the strikeouts only strengthen his floor and ceiling.
Adrian Sampson is underpriced on DraftKings and should be lower owned today against the Boston Red Sox. They have a 5.5 IRT and are -213 favorites. Honestly, I am all over Sampson in this spot. He has scored 21.60, 15.85, 39.95 and 35.75 DraftKings points in his last four starts. He also has given up just 1 ER in 4 out of his last 5 starts. Capitalize on the misnomer that the Red Sox are smashing pitchers right now and Rangers arms stink. This is completely backwards today.
J.A. Happ is cheaper than David Price and I think his floor and ceiling combination is identical. Embrace the volatility and roll out Happ and his 19 K’s in his last 20 IP. What I like about him most is the fact that he’s given up just 11 hits in the last 20 IP. He’s clearly regaining his form as an upper-tier pitcher that can service as the Yankees #2 or #3 arm.
Jon Gray is really cheap on both sites and he has strong upside anytime he takes the mound. Over his last two starts, Gray has limited opposing hitters to a 183 foot batted ball distance and has increased his own pitcher velocity by 1.1 MPH. He has 15 Ks across those 12.1 IP and the Padres are much better against lefties than righties. Gray should be very low owned today in this matchup with the other decent options available.
Single Entry GPP Pitchers
Adrian Sampson is going to be so low-owned and his current form is impressive while the Red Sox current form is pretty weak. They are struggling up and down the lineup while Sampson is absolutely in the zone. We have 55 point upside on FanDuel and 35 point upside on DraftKings at an ownership rate that likely will be around 3-5% today due to the matchup and perception of difficulty. He’s everything I like in a GPP target.
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Specific Daily Fantasy MLB Stacks and Teams to Target for Stacking for GPPs and MME
When I select my stacks I like to run through the trending tab, batter matchups tab, top-10 lists for a bunch of different stats, pricing differential, and the top rated players within the Research Station. I set the FanDuel stacks to 4-3 and the DraftKings stacks to 5-2 in the DFS Army optimizer.
Tier 1 MLB Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings
These are the teams I want to stack with my highest exposure. Whether you decide to use the controlled stacks (example below) or the randomized stack exposure (as I do, the example provided), I’ll have my highest percentage on the Tier 1 teams). Daily fantasy sports are not just about being contrarian. A key strategy is to also have contrarian exposure to your plays.
Colorado Rockies 50-75%
Matthew Strahm has given up 2 HRs in 3 straight starts. Heading into Coors Field where it’s going to be 80 degrees and facing a handful of very strong right-handed hitters is not good. Strahm is not a bad pitcher by any means, but I don’t see any other offenses I trust with supreme confidence. The Rockies simply are the highest upside lineup that I think has the highest probability of reaching their ceiling on this Thursday slate.
New York Yankees 50-75%
They are the only other team that I have high confidence in, thus I want 100-150% total exposure combined between the Rockies and the Yankees. Opposing right-handed pitcher, Ivan Nova, is a +167 underdog and the Yankees have an implied run total of 5.8 as of 9 AM EST. I actually expect this number to drop a little which is fine. The lineup is getting healthy and some of these bats are waking up.
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Tier 2 MLB Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings
These are the teams I am generally using to hedge my pitcher investment and/or don’t have a clear read on what might happen but understand extreme outcomes are possible. My strategy is to have the volatile stacks paired with the Tier 1 stacks that have a higher success rate.
Arizona Diamondbacks 20-40%
Simply due to their upside and current form, I want to target this team with plenty of left-handed bats. In fact, they appear to have 4 left-handed hitters in the top 5 spots of their projected lineup. Erick Fedde could be in trouble in a moderately warm and humid night in Washington D.C.
Toronto Blue Jays 20-40%
Here we go again, targeting a bad team that is super volatile. Their IRT is just 4.9 runs but they face Gabriel Ynoa to start the night and then the Orioles bullpen (which threw 5 innings last night) will take over. Ynoa has not been bad and pretty much has just limited damage each time he takes the mound. However, he has just 10 Ks in his last 15 IP and the Blue Jays are much better when facing a contact pitcher.
Texas Rangers 20-40%
David Price might be a strong -213 favorite but the Rangers bats can pour on the runs in a hurry. In a stadium built for home runs, I think the bats here could explode even though they have just a 3.7 IRT. While the probability is moderately low, I think the upside is worth the investment. We also leverage any David Price ownership by rolling out the Rangers offense.
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This is my personal strategy to use the DFS Army Domination Station optimizer for MLB MME
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Cut all pitchers out of my player pool that I know I 100% DO NOT WANT
- Add in all the pitchers I am okay with the optimizer using and then put 3-5% minimum exposure on my favorite pitchers (the above pitching pool). This ensures that they show up in at least 7-10 out of my 150 lineups.
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Identify all teams I want to stack
- If using controlled stacks then create my player pool of hitters for MME
- If using the randomized stacks (which I do) then I begin to create percentages for all my favorite teams to target adding up to 160-180%
- Leave 20-40% stack exposure to allow the optimizer to fill in some random optimized stacks according to your pitcher pool to have some unbiased lineups
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Prepare my 150 entry settings
- 3 uniques
- optimal mode
- DFS Army points
- Make sure allow opposing pitchers is unchecked
- Maximum exposure cap of 60% is how I roll with it. The higher the exposure cap the more “all-in” you will be on a player or two (which I am not a fan of for MLB right now)
- Set random stack setting to 4-3 for FanDuel and 5-2 for DraftKings
- Run the optimizer
- Look at the batters used in the stacks. Did I create 100 Houston lineups and only get 5 George Springers? Okay, use the like/love/adore buttons or boost his projection until I get more of him. Did I get 50 out of 50 Boston stacks with Jackie Bradley and no J.D. Martinez? Boost Martinez and potentially use the dislike buttons on Bradley until he’s a bit lower and Martinez is involved.
- You have to tinker a bit to get the higher upside guys sometimes ^^^
- Re-run the optimizer until you get what you’re looking for
- Go watch Netflix until the games are over and your daily fantasy sports entries are final
- Make a plate of chips and salsa, too
What’s Next?
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Closing
I really hope this helps you get your feet under you at the beginning of this MLB season for Daily Fantasy. Please subscribe to me on the following platforms and I would love to hear from you on Twitter or in our member service in my #Donut-Shop coaching channel!
Fortune favors the bold, go make your own luck!
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