TRUEX WILL START ATLEAST AT THE BACK DUE TO FAILING INSPECTION TWICE. HE IS NO LONGER A TOP PLAY.
High banks and concrete set the scene as the Monster Mile looks to make victims of 36 professional drivers. This has been a hard week to handicap, but Ill do my best. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.
Top Plays
Kyle Busch – Dover is by no means Kyles best track, but his 22nd starting spot makes him a near lock. He should pretty decent speed in practice, but I imagine that car will come to life once the green flag flies. Love this play.
Chase Elliott – I am going to put Chase here, because he ticks alot of the boxes for a top play. Starting on the pole, which makes him a high probability dominator, he had good short run speed in practice, and he has a phenomenal track record at Dover. However, I still don’t trust the Chevs. They had good short run speed, but seemed to lack any consistent long run speed. Alas, I think Chase is talented enough to lead a bunch of laps from the jump and compete for a top five.
Kevin Harvick – When it comes to Dover, there is Harvick and then there is everyone else. He has dominated this race time and time again, and while he has struggled to close the show – alot of his poor finishes here can be chalked up to variance. I was super impressed with his long run speed and think he gets out front by the end of stage two. Harvick is my favorite to win this race, the only issue is he starts 6th – so he is kind of a boom or bust type of play.
There not Top Plays or Value plays, but I think Kyle Larson and Kurt Busch are worth a look too.
Fades
The Chevs are not fades by any means, but I am hesitant to go all in on them. Those practice speeds may look nice, but they have yet to show us an ability to dominate a race.
Values
Chris Buescher- Compared to the other tracks on the circuit, Buescher has run below average at Dover. However, a 30th place starting spot is just too juicy too pass up – especially when Buescher has been having a breakout type season and has shown ability to outrun his equipment time and time again. He was pedestrian in practice, so this play is 100% based on his starting spot. I wouldn’t go overboard on CB, but I believe he is the best value on the board.
Ryan Newman – Don’t let Newmans practice times fool you, as long as he stays out of trouble he is going nowhere but up. He has had some really solid runs at Dover, and his 21st starting spot provides lots of protection against a less than stellar day. I think Newman could compete for a top ten if everything falls into place.
Ryan Preece – I love playing Ryan Preece, but I fear the secret is out on him. He is so much better than his equipment and he proves it time and time again. He starts 29th, and just staying out of trouble should throw him into the top 20. This is a good play.
Reed Sorenson – Punt of the week. The fact that Ross Chastain is $6000 kind of takes him out of “punt range”, so lets go with his teammate who starts 37th. I THINK this car will attempt all the laps, but I havent confirmed that – so dont go overboard.
So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.