The Sway Bar: NASCAR Draftkings Plays, Fades and Values for Richmond 2019

There is nothing better than a little Saturday night short track racing! As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Top Plays

Kyle Busch – KB is just the best. Dating back to last season he has finished in the top ten TEN times in a row. This weekend he returns to Richmond where he has won the last two races. He starts 5th, which tends to be a bit of a deadzone, but it shouldn’t take too long for him to make it to the front. I dare say he has the fastest car and I don’t think it is particularly close. Expect KB to dominate a big chunk of this race.

Kevin Harvick – Polesitter Kevin Harvick has had somewhat of an underwhelming 2019 campaign, at least compared to year prior. However, he is tremendously consistent at Richmond and should be able to hold the lead off the jump and lead a bunch of laps on the way to competing for the win. His long run speed is second to only Kyle Busch.

Clint Bowyer – Bowyer was absolutely terrible in in practice, but I am hoping that only serves to push his ownership down. Richmond is an okay track for him, and he starts way back in 21st. A top ten should be very attainable and if he gets some institutional help setup wise, he could compete for a top five.

Denny Hamlin – Denny Hamlin has been fantastic on the short tracks so far in 2019, and is legit one of the best short track drivers in the field. This week he rolls off 18h with a top five car. I expect Hamlin will compete for a win, and his starting spot gives us a little leeway. This is one of my favorite plays of the weekend.

Fades

Until the Chevs show me they can keep up, I just can’t trust them. They have good speed in practice pretty much every week, but it doesn’t seem to translate to the race.

Value

Ryan Newman – Newman has a lot of tracks that he is sneaky good at – and this is one of them. He rolls off 31st and has too much experience and too much grit to fall any lower than that. He is damn near a lock for me.

Ty Dillon – Ty Dillon has an average of +5 positions in his last five goes at Richmond. This time he starts 30th but seems to be pretty comfortable with his car. I expect a top 20 is very realistic. This team is making strides and could be a consistent top 20 team by the end of the year.

Matt Debendetto – Matty D – who starts 27th – is a risky play. He had some short run speed in practice but was miserable on the long run. When he makes it to the end, he tends to run pretty decent here, and thanks to the JGR alliance, his odds of finishing go way up. He is a decent play but I wouldn’t go overboard here.

Ryan Preece – I don’t have much to back this up, but Preece is always a threat on short tracks if he can keep out of trouble. He looked really solid in practice, but his 23rd starting spot is a little concerning. Alas, he is worth a look.

Ross Chastain – Chastain starts dead last and has pretty consistently finished din the top 30 this year. Easy pick for punt of the week.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.