Welcome to the DFS Army NBA Full Court Press. Here we will break down every game of the day for you to help get you started on your research each day. We’ll cover everything from Vegas Lines to Injury situations for each team on the slate each morning. The goal here will be to provide you with a solid base to start your research from each day. Let’s dig in shall we?
NBA Full Court Press for Sunday, April 21st
— MAIN SLATE (4 Games) 1:00 pm est LOCK —
Boston Celtics 102.8 at Indiana Pacers 101.0
Vegas – BOS -2.5
Total – 204.0
BOS Marcus Smart – Out
Boston surprised a lot of people and handled business on the road last game out, as Jaylen Brown was almost perfect from the field (even more surprising) and led the team with 23 points. The Celtics are favored in this one, but I just have a gut feeling this will be a let down game and that they won’t sweep Indiana, especially if Oladipo makes an appearance as it would really energize this Pacers crew.
For the Celtics, Kyrie Irving is going to be my favorite target once again, the Pacers tried to keep the ball out of his hands as much as possible, but the Celtics showed that if you double him they have enough other options that they can still hurt you. With Smart out, Baynes continues to start, but like I said last time he’ll only get 15-20 minutes and that isn’t enough to make him playable enough for me. Jaylen Brown also moved into the starting 5 and didn’t do squat the first two games, but he showed what happens if you leave and NBA player wide open all game. He’s a value play again tonight, but don’t expect a repeat performance from last game. Gordon Hayward also makes for a solid play, as he’ll see over 30 minutes off the bench and dominate the second unit usage once again. He hasn’t had his welcome back yet game, and I expect that it is coming soon. Jayson Tatum has been playing better and is solid for cash, but his ceiling is really capped when Kyrie is on the floor. He’s a decent play but I won’t be going out of my way to roster him. Al Horford also makes for a solid play as he’ll play heavy minutes and help the C’s stretch the floor, he’s priced right at value for me. The only other guy I’ll roster is Marcus Morris as a Drop Score play, but his minutes continue to trend downward.
On the Pacers side of the ball, they’ve begun to tighten up their rotation, as they only played 9 guys, 8 of which saw over 20 minutes, which means solid minutes for those guys. Thaddeus Young and Bojan Bogdanovic are going to be my two favorite plays from this game, as they’ve both shown that they can take advantage of the matchup and Bojan hasn’t been shooting well so he is due for some positive regression. Myles Turner is always a GPP option as we know, he finally didn’t suck last game out and I expect they’ll need him to play big minutes down low. The main guys they had coming off the bench are Sabonis, Joseph, and Tyreke Evans. Joseph and Evans are solid value plays, and Sabonis is your play if you’re looking for a lesser owned 4 as a pivot of Thad Young.
NEWS: Victor Oladipo has been cleared by doctors and may or may not play in this game. It will likely not be significant minutes if he plays, but it is something to watch as it will affect Indiana’s starters.
💥💥💥 5 star play – Kyrie Irving, Thaddeus Young, Bojan Bogdanovic
💥💥 4 star play – Myles Turner, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Gordon Hayward, Domantas Sabonis
💥 Value – Cory Joseph, Tyreke Evans, Marcus Morris, Jaylen Brown, Wesley Matthews
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Toronto Raptors 107.3 at Orlando Magic 102.5
Vegas – TOR -5.5
Total – 210.5
TOR Chris Boucher – Questionable
TOR Patrick McCaw – Out
TOR OG Anunoby – Out
ORL Isaiah Briscoe – Out
Last game’s outcome was once again pretty predictable, Orlando was hanging around all game, but in the end they came up short at home. I’m still confident in my prediction that Toronto takes this one in 5, but I have a feeling we have another close one on our hands.
For Toronto, we know what their rotation is going to be. I’ve said it for the first three games of this series already but just to burn it in, he starters will play close to 35 minutes, with Siakam getting a few additional minutes as well as he gets some run with the second unit as well. Siakam is a great play again tonight, as he has a 50 FP ceiling and he should play over 40 minutes once again (42 last game). He bounced back from his so-so game 2 and put up 30 actual points. The Most Improved Player of the Year award should be a lock for him. Kyle Lowry makes for another solid play, especially on FD where he is right at 8K below your top tier guys. I have a feeling he’ll be the least owned of those higher priced PGs tonight and has a decent ceiling. Gasol will play heavy minutes again to matchup with Vucevic, who finally came back to life last game which makes him for a solid play as well. Kawhi Leonard is also a great play again tonight, as he’s going to see heavy minutes and will be relied on to take on the scoring load for this Raptors team along with Siakam. Normal Powell will once again be a Drop Score candidate for me on a slate really lacking value once again. But I’d prefer a Drop from Indiana such as Tyreke Evans.
On the Orlando side of the ball, their rotation is pretty predictable, Aaron Gordon, Jonathan Isaac, Nikola Vucevic, and Evan Fournier are going to play close to 35 minutes each. Michael Carter-Williams is likely going to see the 2nd most minutes off the bench, as D.J. Augustin doesn’t usually play over 30 minutes per game as I’ve stated for the first three games of this serious. I’m avoiding Evan Fournier again tonight as well, as Danny Green has really been making life tough on him throughout this series. Isaac bounced back just like I thought he would, as he had himself a solid game and the Magic will need that from him again moving forward. I don’t think he crushes value but I think he’s priced right around 5x which makes him a viable play that likely won’t be highly owned again. I’m stuck on whether or not I want to roster Vucevic, as he had himself a game last time out against Gasol. He definitely is more comfortable at home which was apparent from the start, so today I’ll have some shares once again even in this tough matchup. Aaron Gordon is also tough to pass up, as he’ll see close to 40 minutes again and play significant time with the second unit. Terrence Ross is always a GPP option as he can score in bunches when his shot is falling, and his minutes are likely blowout proof as he should see close to 30 minutes off the bench either way. The Magic are going to need Ross to score again tonight if they want to win this game.
💥💥💥 5 star play – Kawhi Leonard, Pascal Siakam
💥💥 4 star play – Kyle Lowry, Aaron Gordon, Jonathan Isaac, Marc Gasol, Nikola Vucevic
💥 Value – Norman Powell, Michael Carter-Williams
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Golden State Warriors 121.6 at Los Angeles Clippers 112.7
Vegas – GSW -9.5
Total – 235.5
DeMarcus Cousins – OUT
Damian Jones – OUT
The Warriors put on a show last game out, after their brutal 31 point collapse in game 2. I don’t think they took the Clippers seriously and it showed in that game. They crushed them by 27 in game 3, and I expect that type of intensity the rest of the series. I think it’s a bit closer today, but I still think they win by double digits.
For the Warriors, Steph sees the biggest usage bump with Boogie out, and Bogut will likely slide into the starting 5 again tonight. Andrew Bogut makes for a solid value play, as he saw 25 minutes last game out and almost double doubled. I actually prefer him over Kevon Looney today but it is basically a toss up between the two. Klay Thompson is also wayyyyy too cheap on FanDuel for this matchup, and he gets a solid boost with Boogie out. KD balled out last game, and I expect him to be aggressive again tonight. Both him and Steph make really solid plays, it just depends on whether or not you think they’ll play into the 4th quarter as Klay was the only starter to see over 30 minutes last game out. Draymond Green is a really solid play tonight again, as his usage is low but he’s too overpriced on FanDuel for me once again. Andre Iguodala makes for a decent value play as well if you think this game gets out of hand.
On the Clippers side of the ball, Lou Williams is their go to guy right now, and they’re going to continue to rely on him for scoring and he’ll need to continue scoring in bunches if they want to keep this game competitive. The good news is that he should see 30+ minutes off the bench, blowout or not, which makes him safer than a lot of the Clippers. He’s my favorite Clipper of the bunch because his minutes are safe either way. Montrezl Harrell is my second favorite play, but if I’m in that price range I’d rather go with Pascal Siakam for a few hundred dollars more in salary. He should see 30+ minutes off the bench as well and they’ll need him to come up big as well. Danilo Gallinari is a really solid play here again today as well, but his minutes aren’t as safe as Lou and Montrezl. SGA and Pat Beverley will also be pretty low owned here and both have a decent matchup. Beverley is just that annoying type of player that can get under opponent’s skin, especially KD’s so that is something to monitor as well. That’s about all I’m willing to risk with the Clippers as I think the Warriors will continue to make a statement for the rest of this series. However, I think it will be closer than last game.
💥💥💥 5 star play – Steph Curry, Lou Williams, Klay Thompson, Kevin Durant
💥💥 4 star play – Montrezl Harrell, Danilo Gallinari, Draymond Green, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
💥 Value – Andrew Bogut, Kevon Looney, Andre Iguodala
Portland Trailblazers 108.1 at Oklahoma City Thunder 114.3
Vegas – OKC -6.0
Total – 223.5
OKC really stepped up last game out, as it was a must win for them at home, and I feel that they’ll bring the same intensity and grit to this game in order to show everyone that they will defend their home court, I think they even the series tonight.
We’ll start with Portland, Damian Lillard in the playoffs is currently on another level and him and George are my two favorite plays from this game once again. CJ McCollum has also really elevated his play during this series and his price continues to come up, with the other SG options on this slate I think you can fade him and be safe, but he is definitely a good option again tonight. Him and Dame are my two favorite plays from this team. Kanter came back down to earth after his unreal first game, but he played much better than I expected. At his price tag I think he’s a bit overpriced so I won’t be going out of my way to roster him, but he is definitely worth a shot in GPPs as he showed that ceiling from game one. Moe Harkless also makes for a decent play and should get more run if he stops getting into foul trouble as he showed last game by seeing over 30 minutes. He’s a bit underpriced on FanDuel and he could get you 30+ FPs which will really boost your lineups. Rodney Hood is a decent Drop Score play on FanDuel but is really scoring dependent right now and his shot hasn’t been there.
Paul George’s still hasn’t topped 50 FPs in this series yet, and has been under 40 the last two games, so his price tag is hard to swallow on FanDuel, but tonight I think he’s worth it. Westbrook is also tough to pass up considering he averages a triple double, but his shot really hasn’t been falling the past few weeks so if you have to pick one, I’m going with PG13 once again! Westbrook just hasn’t shown that ceiling that he has in the past with PG13 on the court next to him, and Schroder lowers that ceiling even a bit more. It’s really tough for me to pay almost 12K on FanDuel when I have just as good a shot at getting 50 FPs from Damian Lillard or Steph Curry who is almost $2,000 less. Steven Adams also makes for a decent play here as I don’t think he’ll be too highly owned and Kanter is just average on D. Jerami Grant also makes for an intriguing play as he’ll continue to see 30+ minutes but he just really hasn’t been involved on the offensive end at all during this series. If he hits he’ll be low owned for sure. Dennis Schroder got back over 30 minutes last game, and really put up some solid value, I like him again tonight at his price tag. Nerlens Noel also makes for an intriguing Drop Score play here as he should see 15-20 minutes off the bench once again. This is the hammer game once again, so I’ll be stacking it pretty heavily as it also has the second highest total on the slate.
💥💥💥 5 star play – Damian Lillard, Paul George, Russell Westbrook
💥💥 4 star play – CJ McCollum, Enes Kanter, Dennis Schroder, Moe Harkless, Steven Adams
💥 Value – Nerlens Noel
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