DFS Army – NHL Breakaway Advice and Strategy for FanDuel and DraftKings – April 15th

Welcome to the DFS Army NHL Game Break!!  You have to start your research somewhere, and often times going game by game thinking about matchups and key players is the first step in our process.  I’m your buddy @LowOwnedWR and you can find me out on Twitter talking hockey and football, even a little WNBA.  But, you’ll really find me in our VIP coaching forums inside coaching and detailing plays and strategic hockey maneuvers in an attempt to make our members better, more fundamentally sound players.  If you are looking for it, we cover it as a team!  Follow me, follow us, interact with me, interact with us, we welcome it all.

NHL DFS At A Glance

The first thing I do when starting my research is to look for strong teams facing weak defenses.  I want the best odds I can find to score goals.  I like the old Corsi number, as it denotes any shot attempt directed towards the net.  It doesn’t matter if this shot attempt goes wide, gets blocked, or finds the back of the twine.  You can’t score if you don’t shoot.  I also love the “High Danger” metrics.  These shots come from the slot (between the dots) and off quick passes or rebounds.  They are what they say they are, and teams allowing a lot of high danger chances also tend to give up goals in bunches….perfect for the DFS player to attack.

If you have questions regarding these numbers or this chart, don’t hesitate to ask me on our coaching forums.  Simply tag me (same name as my twitter name) and let’s get on the same page.  First and foremost, I’m here to teach people wanting to learn the DFS side of this glorious frozen sport.

 

 

 

Boston Bruins @ Toronto Maple Leafs

 

Odds:  TOR -125, 6.0 o/u

 

Boston Bruins: Boston looked like the better team last game and now the Leafs will be without Kadri which takes them from 3 scoring line to 2. The big 3 of Bergeron, Marchand and, Pastrnak are where I am looking once again for exposure here. Bergeron is a lock for me, between Marchand and Pasta, Marchand should lower owned making him the GPP play in a mini stack.

 

5 star plays – Bergeron, Pastrnak, Marchand

 

4 star plays – DeBrusk

 

Cash viable – Bergeron, Marchand, Pastrnak,

 

GPP Sleeper – Coyle

 

Toronto Maple Leafs:  Toronto is at home and managed to take a game in Boston. They haven’t really been producing and Anderson has kept them in the game. Tavares and Marner mini stack is where I would go as Matthews line will remain the chalk from Toronto because of their value despite their lack of production. Johnsson is now on PP1 with Kadri out, making him a great value and a cash lock.

 

5 star plays – Tavares, Marner

 

4 star plays – Matthews, Johnsson, Reilly

 

Cash viable – Johnsson, Matthews

 

GPP Sleeper –  none

 

Washington Capitals @ Carolina Hurricanes

 

Odds:  CAR -130, 6.0 o/u

 

Washington Capitals: Washington’s underlying numbers have not been great but the production of their first line and PP1 cannot go unnoticed. Backstrom-Oshie-Ovechkin PP1 stack is the move here to me.

 

5 star plays –  Backstrom, Ovechkin

 

4 star plays – Oshie, Carlson, Kuznetsov

 

Cash viable – Backstrom, Ovechkin

 

GPP Sleeper – Vrana-Wilson-Orlov

 

Carolina Hurricanes: Aho and Niederreiter have not been getting it done so I am calling it quits on them for this game. However, being 2nd in shots for in the playoffs and playing their first playoff game at home, I still want some exposure here. I like a PP2 stack of Staal-Svechnikov-Slavin, it helps you cover your bases instead of going all in on one line.

 

5 star plays – none

 

4 star plays – Staal, Svechnikov, Slavin

 

Cash viable – Slavin

 

GPP Sleeper –  Svechnikov, Staal, Slavin

 

Nashville Predators @ Dallas Stars

 

Odds:  DAL -120, 5.0 o/u

 

Nashville Predators:  With the 4th most shots but the 13th most HDCF in the playoff’s, Nashville needs to find a new identity. Bishop has been playing stellar, so just putting the puck on net is not going to be enough. This team struggled to produce offense coming into the playoffs now they are having trouble producing it in the playoffs as well. Hard to like Nashville on the road in a game with a 5.0 over/under.

 

5 star plays – none

 

4 star plays – none

 

Cash viable – none

 

GPP Sleeper – none

 

Dallas Stars: For how bad Nashville has been offensively Dallas has been even worse, ranking almost dead last in shots for and high danger chances for. Based on that I will not be looking any further than Seguin and Radulov from the forwards.

 

5 star plays – none

 

4 star plays – Seguin, Radulov, Heiskanen

 

Cash viable – none

 

GPP Sleeper – none

 

Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche

 

Odds:  CGY -130, 6.0 o/u

 

Calgary Flames: Game 1 Calgary was -230 (albeit at home) and are now -130, making some value for them in GPPs. A full stack of CGY1 with Monahan-Lindholm-Gaudreau stands to give you some leverage as I think other players will look to Toronto, Boston, Washington to spend up on.

 

5 star plays –  Monahan. Gaudreau

 

4 star plays – Lindholm, Tkachuk, Giordano

 

Cash viable – Lindholm

 

GPP Sleeper – Frolik, Backlund, Tkachuk, Brodie

 

Colorado Avalanche: Look to the PP1 here for your exposure. Rantanen-MacKinnon-Landeskog will be a very unique way to spend up your salary on this slate, and being unique is important. If you are not looking to break the bank here Compher or Kerfoot can be subbed in for Landeskog or Rantanen.

 

5 star plays – MacKinnon

 

4 star plays – Landeskog, Barrie, Rantanen

 

Cash viable – Kerfoot

 

GPP Sleeper – Barrie-Landeskog-MacKinnon

 

Quick Read:  NHL Cash Game Basics – Get The Fundamentals First

DFS NHL Goalies for Today:

Ben Bishop (BOTH): With the Predators just throwing pucks on net he is able to rack up the saves without breaking a sweat, on top of Dallas being at home, Bishop is best goalie play on this slate.