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The Sway Bar: NASCAR Draftkings Plays, Fades and Values for Martinsville

BYRON FAILED QUALIFYING INSPECTION. HE WILL START 34th OFFICIALLY. HE IS VERY PLAYABLE.

Short track time! This week we head to Martinsville for some short track action.  As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Top Plays

Kyle Busch – KBs 2019 has been nothing short of spectacular and it appears he has not intentions of slowing down. Busch qualified 14th, but practiced inside the top five in every metric. Busch rarely finishes outside the top five here, and should have no problem getting to the front and staying there.

Joey Logano – Logano will roll off P1 and will do so at a track where he has really excelled – including a win here last fall. Joey had to five long run speed in final practice, and should be without challenge at the front until Kyle Busch shows up. Remember its 500 laps tomorrow – that is a lot of dominator points to go around, and I expect Logano to claim a fair amount of them.

Brad Keselowski – Rolling off directly behind Logano, teammate Brad Keselowski rolls in with an even more impressive track record. He was a little slower than Logano in final practice, but has been much more consistent at Martinsville in his career. I would hesitate to play both Logano and Kes in the same line, but I think one of them ends up in the optimal.

Martin Truex Jr. – MTJ hasn’t always been a short track stud, but recently has been a threat everytime we take the short way round. This week, he will start 9th, but pretty clearly has one of the fastest cars in the field. We haven’t seen MTJ dominate like usual so far in 2019, but I do expect him to be inside the top five all day, and lead some laps.

Fades

No clear fade – I probably wont have much Almirola exposure due to his past Martinsville struggles, but he does have a fast car and isnt 100% fadeable.

Value

Austin Dillon – AD isn’t very good at Martinsville, save for a couple outlier top fives. However, he starts 30th this week, and that’s just too juicy to pass up. He had around top 15 speed in practice, and if he can avoid the trouble that has oft plagued him at Martinsville, he should make his way into the optimal fairly easily.

Ryan Newman – Newman will start 21st this week – you’d have to go all the way back to the spring of 2016 to find a race at Martinsville that Newman finished worse than that. Newmans aggressive no nonsense driving style makes him a beast at Martinsville (so long as he doesn’t annoy anyone off TOO much). His long run speed has gotten alot better as the weekend progressed and I expect to see him inside the top 15 all day.

Daniel Hemric – Hemric has been something of a hot lap hero thus far in 2019 – showing tremendous speed in practice and qualifying every week, but struggling come racetime. This week, luckily enough for us, his hot laps have cooled off. He rolls off 29th, and though his single lap speed has been less than stellar, he has shown some really decent long run speed. If he can keep that speed up, he can legitimately work is way to the top ten.

Corey Lajoie – Punt of the week. Despite his crash in practice, he is still the best option in the $5500 range. I’d try to avoid this range in general, though.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.