Welcome to the DFS Army NBA Full Court Press! You have to start your research somewhere, and often times going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Michael aka @MadnessDFS on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article. But, you’ll mostly find me in our VIP coaching forums where I provide detailed lineup maneuvers and answer all lineup questions. With that said, let’s get it started!
DFS Army is an affiliate partner of Monkey Knife Fight, click this link to take advantage of our special promotion!
Full Court Press:
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers
Vegas Total: 220.5
Vegas Spread: Ind -1.0
Pace: Ind +5.4
We start things off with the Thunder who see a big pace down spot here against the Pacers. The Pacers rank 22nd in the league against opposing centers which puts Steven Adams into play. However, Adams has been kind of blah lately, he hasn’t gone over 30 fantasy points in any of his last four games. When it comes to Russell Westbrook and Paul George I would prefer Westbrook. Ever since one of our coaches (BoomersDaddy) talked me off of George last weekend and said he hasn’t recovered from his injury yet, I’ve been completely off of him. With that said, he is coming off back to back 40 point fantasy games, but those need to over 50 for him to meet value. The only other guy I have interest in is Jerami Grant who is a fine last piece into your lineup. The Pacers draw an extreme pace up matchup against the Thunder who have actually been one of the worst defensive teams in the league over the past month or so. As many of you know, I don’t target big men against Steven Adams. But, Myles Turner has gone for 40+ fantasy points in three of his last four games and that certainly can’t be ignored. Darren Collison is always kind of hard to trust for me, he always seems to be priced right, but given the up pace matchup, I don’t mind if you go there. Domantas Sabonis’s minutes are trending downward right now, so until those pick back up I’ll be avoiding him. Thad Young and Bojan Bogdanovic both make for fine mid-range plays if you need to go there. Lastly, Wesley Matthews is a viable punt in this matchup.
5-star play: Russell Westbrook
4-star play: Paul George, Steven Adams, Myles Turner, Thad Young, Bojan Bogdanovic, Darren Collison
Deeper Value/FD Drop Candidate: Wesley Matthews
GPP Sleeper: None
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic
Vegas Total: 211.5
Vegas Spread: Orl -8.5
Pace: Cle +1.2
The Cavs travel to Orlando in what should be a good ole barn burner between these two teams. Starting with the Cavs, we will need to keep an eye on the availability of Larry Nance and Tristan Thompson, they’re both questionable. I will operate under the assumption that they will play but keep an eye on the Breaking News Feed for updates. Kevin Love is my favorite play from this team, he has gone over 40 fantasy points in three of his last four games. Jordan Clarkson and Colin Sexton draw the best matchups here, as the Magic rank 28th in defense against point guards. They are both playable here given their price tags. Ante Zizic becomes an elite value play if the big men end up sitting as well. From the Magic, Terrence Ross and Evan Fournier draw the best matchups here as the Cavs rank 24th in defense against opposing shooting guards. I like Ross for GPP and Fournier for cash games. Nikola Vucevic is averaging 48.1 fantasy points per game in two matchups against the Magic this year, he’s in play. Jonathon Isaac and Aaron Gordon also make for solid mid-range plays. DJ Augustin has gone over 20 fantasy points in his last five games which puts him in play as a value option.
5-star play: Ante Zizic (If Thompson and Nance are out), Kevin Love, Jordan Clarkson, Colin Sexton, Nikola Vucevic
4-star play: Jonathon Isaac, Aaron Gordon
Deeper Value/FD Drop Candidate: DJ Augustin
GPP Sleeper: None
Sacramento Kings @ Boston Celtics
Vegas Total: 227.5
Vegas Spread: Bos -7.5
Pace: Bos +4.3
The Kings draw a tough matchup as a whole, as the Celtics are a very tough, very deep defensive team. Along with the tough matchup, they are all priced pretty correctly. Using the Research Station, we can see that none of the Kings players are projected to hit 5x value on their price tag.
With that said, you can certainly target Buddy Hield, De’Aaron Fox, Bogdan Bogdanovic, and Willie Cauley-Stein in GPP, but I won’t be going there in cash games. The Celtics are a different story, we can target a number of these guys tonight. The Kings rank 29th in defense against opposing point guards, which puts Kyrie Irving in play as one of the best point guards on the slate. Marcus Morris scored 32.3 fantasy points against the Kings earlier this season and is priced at a decent price here. Jayson Tatum and Al Horford are in play as well, you can target most of this Celtics team.
5-star play: Kyrie Irving, Marcus Morris
4-star play: Jayson Tatum, Al Horford
Deeper Value/FD Drop Candidate: None
GPP Sleeper: Buddy Hield, De’Aaron Fox, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Willie Cauley-Stein
Los Angeles Lakers @ Toronto Raptors
Vegas Total: 231.0
Vegas Spread: Tor -10.0
Pace: Tor +2.8
Starting with the Lakers, I can’t play LeBron James until his price comes down given his minute’s restriction. Rajon Rondo has been playing well as of late, but can be a bit too volatile for cash games. Josh Hart is currently questionable, if he is unable to go it will be a boost to Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, who scored 38.5 Draftkings points over 31 minutes in their last game out. Kyle Kuzma has been getting good minutes, but hasn’t been doing a whole lot with them considering his price tag. The last guy I would have interest in here is JaVale McGee for GPP, he’s coming off a 33 point fantasy outing in his last game. From the Raptors, Marc Gasol is one of the better center plays on the slate for me. He gets a Lakers team who struggles with opposing centers. I’ll like him a lot more if he’s starting, which I expect him to with Ibaka our, but he’s a good play regardless. Kawhi Leonard at under $9k on Draftkings, LeBron has shown he’s pretty much given up on defense. As long as this game stays close, Kawhi has 55-60 point upside here. Pascal Siakam also feels too cheap, he’s scored 35+ in four of his last five games. He may see an extra minute or two with Ibaka off the court. Kyle Lowry is also a fine option, should you land on him.
5-star play: Marc Gasol, Kawhi Leonard, Pascal Siakam
4-star play: Kyle Lowry, LeBron James, Rajon Rondo, JaVale McGee
Deeper Value/FD Drop Candidate: Josh Hart, JaVale McGee
GPP Sleeper: None
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Utah Jazz
Vegas Total: 222.0
Vegas Spread: Utah -8.0
Pace: Utah +0.4
Karl-Anthony Towns is our top projected scorer of the and yet his price went down a couple hundred bucks on DK to $10,200. In three games versus the Jazz this season, KAT has averaged 27.7 PPG, 10.7 RPG, 5.0 APG for an average of 57 DK points. Derrick Rose, Jeff Teague, and Andrew Wiggins all enter tonight’s game as questionable, so this game is key to monitor. If Wiggins is out again, I will be very interested in the Wolves rookie Keita Bates-Diop, and who’s price has hardly budged despite getting 33+ minutes in the last three. If Wiggins is in, I will look elsewhere for value. Meanwhile, Tyus Jones started Tuesday and I like him again here if Jeff Teague is out, although Tyus’ price jumped $500 on DK to $4200. Tyus and Bates-Diop are somewhat interesting on FD as drop candidates, as most people will want more certainty before lock. For Utah, with Ricky Rubio back, the Jazz are pretty much at full strength. Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert are interesting in GPPs, but they are fairly priced and I will look elsewhere for cash.
5-star play: Karl-Anthony Towns
4-star play: Donovan Mitchell, Rudy Gobert, Keita Bates-Diop, Tyus Jones.
Deeper Value/FD Drop Candidate: Keita Bates-Diop, Tyus Jones
Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets
Vegas Total: 220.5
Vegas Spread: Den -11.5
Pace: Den+ 0.9
Amidst weather troubles, Dallas arrived late to Denver on gameday (today). Luka Doncic is dealing with knee pain and honestly there is just no point of Dallas trotting him out to tonight’s late game hammer. Potentially without Doncic, I do not see this is a close game, so I am worried about Jokic here. Needless to say, this is not my favorite game of the night, but there are some intriguing value pieces. Monte Morris is sub $4,000 across the industry and has 27+ minutes the past two games, he is my favorite all-format value piece in this game. Also, on DraftKings, Dorian Finney-Smith has seen 30+ minutes the last two games, and the Nugget’s Gary Harris had 28 minutes and is also below $4,000. Both “DFS” and Harris are GPP only to me.
4-star play: Nikola Jokic, Monte Morris
Deeper Value/FD Drop Candidate: Gary Harris (DK GPP only), Dorian Finney-Smith (DK GPP only, Monte Morris
GPP Sleeper: Gary Harris (DK), Mason Plumlee (DK),