DabbingPuggle’s NFL DFS “Draw Plays” for The Divisional Round

 

Welcome everyone, to this weeks edition of Draw Plays!! I’m your host DabbingPuggle, bringing you this weeks insights on the best WR/CB match-ups. It’s been an outstanding year and as we enter the playoffs I want to take a moment to thank you all for your feedback and support this season. Draw Plays gets a bit of a format change for the rest of the season and I hope you enjoy. Just because the regular season is over, doesn’t mean that our DFS journey ever ends and here at DFSArmy we have content for EVERY.SINGLE.SPORT.

COLTS vs. CHIEFS

Woot, woot! A game total of 57, we kick off this weekend with a bang! This will be a very popular game to target so let’s not fall into any traps as we identify the best matchup, best value, and best GPP target so we can get your helmet on our wall of fame!

Best Matchup: T.Y. Hilton. Charvarius Ward is expected to get more snaps in coverage this Saturday but won’t necessarily be the primary right corner for the Chiefs. It’s extremely difficult to game plan for a receiver like Hilton because the Colts shift him all over the place. This KC secondary has been getting torched this season allowing the second most receiving yards in the league.

Best Value: Tyreek Hill on both DK and FD. Listed at $7400 and $8400 respectively, Hill represents the best value for receivers in this game because of his big play ability. While the Colts defense did an excellent job of keeping DeAndre Hopkins in check, Hill represents a different receiver type unlike any in the league.

Best GPP Target: Dontrelle Inman. I strongly prefer him on DK for his discounted price, but Inman also represents a nice pivot off of Amari Cooper on FD in a similar pricing tier. It is likely he goes under-owned again giving the high profile pricing of this weekend’s studs and is unobtainable for many who use a stars and scrubs approach. He has been a dependable target for Andrew Luck down the stretch and there is little reason to believe he won’t be given the opportunity to produce here.

COWBOYS vs. RAMS

Best Matchup: Robert Woods. While lining up across from this Dallas defense has been daunting for opposing players this season, they are not bullet proof. Woods gets Anthony Brown in the slot, and it has not been a place offenses have attacked often. Brown yields only a 14% target rate but is still an attractive matchup for Woods because of his skill set. Robert Woods, get’s no respect for being a multi-talented receiver type and is commonly tagged with being a possession receiver. That is not untrue, but his capabilities also extend to those big play go routes which can cause Brown headaches. 

Best Value: Brandin Cooks on DK is way too cheap. He likely cannot hit his ceiling in this matchup but at $5600 Cooks can have 3-4x upside as all he needs is a few catches and to break loose once. With his speed and superior route skills, it would not be surprising to see him beat Byron Jones a couple of times, you just have to hope Goff will have the time to find him. Yes, the same Byron Jones I told you all last week not to target is likely to be tested here.

Amari Cooper is the FanDuel value here as he is still only $6500 with tremendous upside. I like him exclusively as a GPP play because his home/road splits have been for lack of a better word, atrocious. I don’t think Dallas is able to slow this game enough with the high powered Rams offense which should force them into passing more often. Cooper will be the most popular of the 6K receivers on FD, but he is also the best value on the slate in this range.

Best GPP Target: Nobody. Really this is the truth here as this game features two of the best running backs in the game and will likely play through them and the big name receivers a lot. If you take any shots, It’s Michael Gallup who has slowly been building toward a breakout game but will probably have to wait until next year. Josh Reynolds can be a sneaky play on DK but I would only be inclined to use him in large field tournaments.

CHARGERS vs. PATRIOTS

Best Matchup: Keenan Allen. Allen doesn’t have an easy task of beating Jason McCourty, but this game reads as anything but easy. On paper, it is still as close to 50/50 as it gets and none of the receivers in this game especially excite me. I lean with Keenan, but I think it to be more likely the Chargers take shots downfield with both Williams if trailing early. I’m not going to try and sell you here, Allen is in the best spot in a plethora of difficult spots.

Best Value: Julian Edelman on both FD and DK. He is accurately priced but comes with a very safe floor due to his extremely consistent volume. He has a little bit of upside as well but I think New England really funnels this game passing through their running backs. 

Best GPP Target: Phillip Dorsett is going to see Michael Davis on the outside and is a matchup that New England should look to exploit. Davis was on the wrong end of a 22% opposing target rate this season and while Dorsett’s name doesn’t raise our eyebrows, his price ($4600 FD, $3800 DK) coupled with a decent matchup on a short slate should garner some exposure when paying down in your tournaments.

EAGLES vs. SAINTS

Best Matchup: Michael Thomas… and it’s not very close. Thomas has the best matchup in any of the divisional games this weekend against Rasul Douglas. He is both cash and tournament viable as he dominates Douglas by skill, length, and most importantly route instinct. I’m going to go full man crush here the same way I did when I said 200 yards and a score was possible back in week 9. I’ll go with 8 catches for 125 yards and a touchdown as my bold call in this one. While Thomas has been less dependable down the stretch, this is a spot the Saints should make it a point to get him the ball. By the way…. I was also right in week 9.

Best Value: Projections want you to believe that the underpriced value play in this game is Golden Tate. He had the biggest catch last week and is a name we know, and a name I went after a bunch this year. He is a little discounted on DK at $4600 but overpriced on FanDuel at $5900. The real value play in this game is Ted Ginn Jr. who is min priced on FanDuel and one of my favorite plays on the slate as he can destroy his price there. He is just $200 less than Tate on DK but has a similar floor in this matchup.

Best GPP Target: Alshon Jeffrey is an uncomfortable player to pay for after being limited yet again with a rib injury in practice on Wednesday. He’ll play, but people will be scared to play him being banged up and in a matchup with Marcus Lattimore. Philly is going to need to throw in this game and Nick Foles likes to make it a point to get Alshon the ball. I’ll make it a point to find ways to get some exposure and hopefully a nice ownership edge too.

Curtains and Blinds

Don’t be afraid to peek behind the curtain and dabble in some other sports. We do this year round as I noted earlier and can help you improve in many different sports and contest types. You know the saying, what can the army do for you? It applies here too, but allow us to help you reach your full potential. If you’re not ready for another sport just yet and still exclusively in NFL mode you should head back into the content areas and read the next VIP article….I bet it’s there now.  See the NFL Pages for even more content!