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On to the second half of the season and Gameweek 20!
Brighton v Everton
Brighton comes into this match having won 11 of 18 possible points in their last 6 home matches. All season they have played a gritty game at home and they have another opportunity against the 16th road defense in the premiership. Everton has won 4 of a possible 18 points on the road. These ratings come from my own model. Everton seems a little overrated off their massive beat-down of Burnley. Not lost on me is also their lucky draw against Watford a few weeks ago. I don’t think they are playing well enough, overall, to catch up to the moment. On Draftkings, I am considering Solly March in my cash games. He’s been the facilitator, even with Pascal Gross back in the lineup.
Fulham v Huddersfield
The respective home and road defenses are on par with each other. The difference in this match is the skill of the offenses. Fulham had been unlucky in weeks past, but last week they really looked the part. I like the home side in this one. Huddersfield tends to play it tight on defense and, while I expect them to fight harder in this match than other road tilts, I think Fulham will be too much. That said, my favorite player in this game is Sergio Rico. I might lean GPP, but I don’t hate him in cash.
Leicester v Cardiff
Unlike the previous match, the difference in this game is on the defensive end. The offenses are relatively on par, but Leicester plays much better defense. Kasper Schmeichel is your cash keeper on the slate. There isn’t much to say about Cardiff. Their road game is weak. They don’t play defense and they can’t get their offense to gel. Leicester solidifies their defense at home and should play out of the back a bit. There are a couple other plays you can use in cash. James Maddison is viable on any site and Ben Chilwell is the other the cash viable play. He is better for Draftkings but should provide many crosses. I don’t mind him in GPP, either.
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Tottenham v Wolverhampton
You should fully expect Tottenham to be the chalk. They have put up 11 goals in the past 2 matches. I don’t mind Christian Eriksen in cash but Wolverhampton boasts the number 1 road defense in my model. Tottenham has the number 3 home offense. I can’t wait to see what gives. On Fanduel, I think we can expect to see someone like Willy Boly or Conor Coady be very useful, as Wolverhampton will look to soak up the Spurs pressure.
Watford v Newcastle
This match feels like a really even match. If I had stake my claim, it feels like a draw. Watford is a better road team than at home. Newcastle has been pesky on the road. While I contend that Watford usually goes overlooked, they will likely garner more favor than their opponents. Watford does have a better offense but they lack a killer instinct at home. The 5-4-1 that has worked so well for Newcastle should show up again. That counter should benefit Salomon Rondon, as he should be the target of any counter. Kabasele is out for Watford and that leaves the Watford defense thin in defending aerial duels.
Liverpool v Arsenal
As always, the hammer game will be dissected in our soccer coaching channel but the overall outcome will depend, in part, on the health of the Arsenal defense. They have been thin at the back for some time and the injuries are starting to pile up for the entire team. Arsenal will miss Mesut Ozil and Henrikh Mkhitaryan. Their offensive punch should be hampered with 2 of their top 3 facilitators on the shelf.
That’s the game breakdown for this week. Remember, this is a top-level view and things can change. Of course, you know about the most important hour in the soccer DFS world. We will always have free content but the good stuff is saved for the ones who are willing to go the extra step. We will stand with you if you stand with us. Good luck this week!