AFriedman15 – Aaron Friedman researches and writes college football articles for DFS Army. Aaron is a lifelong resident of the Chicago suburbs and a Northwestern alum and football season ticket holder. College football was Aaron’s first DFS sport and he was thrilled to see it return in 2018. He believes that the thrill, pageantry, and the importance of every game are unparalleled in sports. Aaron enjoys betting on the games and watching everything from #Pac12AfterDark to #MACtion, and especially enjoys the Tuesday-Friday games with so much happening on Saturdays. In real life, Aaron is an IT analyst and with his wife, is the parent to three small dogs. Find Aaron on Twitter at @AFriedman15DFS.
The day before Playoff Saturday, we get a nice three-game bowl slate, chock full of CFB teams that were in the regular season. Below is a list of the teams, spreads, Implied Team Totals (ITT), QB’s, and opponent yardage allowed.
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Once again, DK’s pricing algorithm was pretty sharp. Washington State QB Gardner Minshew and his mustache is the QB I feel best about, and I will have next to none of Auburn’s Jared Stidham. My other two core plays are Syracuse QB Eric Dungey, a talented yet somewhat injury-prone dual threat QB. You cannot go 100% Dungey, but you need around 30-40% exposure yet the same. Purdue is my edge on the slate. I think they are just going to extremely excited to be at the bowl game and play an SEC team, with the added motivation of keeping Coach Jeff Brohm, when it was widely expected that he’d leave, and that Tyler Trent (the cancer patient/superfan) will be at the game. With that said, I love Purdue QB David Blough.
West Virginia QB Jack Allison will start for the Mountaineers with Will Grier sitting out the bowl game. He is priced fair across the industry and I think I would do about 15-20% because that is still a decent team total. (UPDATE: I am concerned that WVU treats the game like a spring game. WVU is expected to split QB reps between Jack Allison and Trey Lowe. It is the smart thing to do–Coach Holgerson has nothing to lose, so I am downgrading Allison). I like Iowa State QB Brock Purdy generally, but this is a tough matchup for him. I respect the Washington State defensive. They have really improved on that side of the ball.
There are a lot of ways you can go with running backs on the slate on this slate. My two favorites are Washington State RBs James Williams (552 rush, 16 rush TDs, 76-560-4 through the air) and Max Borghi (353 rush, 11 rush TDs, 47-352-4). They are all-purpose weapons for WSU and they are great for DK with the PPR scoring, but I still like them a lot for FD. There are a lot of RBBCs, with West Virginia, Syracuse, and Purdue splitting carries. Iowa State RB David Montgomery is in play for cash too, it’s not the best matchup, but he is one of the only bellcow backs on the slate, and we’ve seen good talents do well in bad matchups on paper.
As much as I don’t like Auburn in the bowl, Auburn RB JaTarvious Whitlow is intriguing and worth a flex play on DK or RB2 on FD. He had some injuries throughout the season, and appears to be healthy for the first time in several weeks. Syracuse RB Dontae Strickland is playing in his last game for the Orange. I think he will be under owned and is a very affordable way to get exposure to the highest ITTT on the slate.
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Purdue WR Rondale Moore is phenomenal and my favorite play of the day. I will lock him into my builds. Washington State WR Easop Winston Jr. has not dropped a pass in 2018. That is the kind of safety that you like to see in cash games.
West Virginia WR David Sills is also elite, and will benefit from Greg Jennings not being in the lineup, but again, I am worried about their offense, so he is GPP only for me.
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