2018 New Year’s Eve Bowl Slate (December 31, 2018)

AFriedman15 – Aaron Friedman researches and writes college football articles for DFS Army. Aaron is a lifelong resident of the Chicago suburbs and a Northwestern alum and football season ticket holder. College football was Aaron’s first DFS sport and he was thrilled to see it return in 2018. He believes that the thrill, pageantry, and the importance of every game are unparalleled in sports. Aaron enjoys betting on the games and watching everything from #Pac12AfterDark to #MACtion, and especially enjoys the Tuesday-Friday games with so much happening on Saturdays. In real life, Aaron is an IT analyst and with his wife, is the parent to three small dogs. Find Aaron on Twitter at @AFriedman15DFS.

Slate Overview:

 

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Quarterback:

Core:

In the Liberty Bowl, Missouri QB Drew Lock and Oklahoma State QB Taylor “Corn Dog” Cornelius will battle in each other in their final collegiate game. Missouri is a 9/9.5 point favorite with a huge O/U of 74, which dwarfs the other 5 bowl game O/Us on the slate.  On DraftKings, I love Stanford QB KJ Costello, he is way too cheap there, but no need for him on FD.

GPP:

Texas A&M QB Kellen Mond is another play I really like, he is a dual-threat QB and NC State has allowed 271.2 pass yards per game. I also like that  they are a sizeable favorite over Texas A&M. I will have a few shares of pro prospects NC State QB Ryan Finley and Oregon QB Justin Herbert. Herbert is very interesting going up against a terrible Michigan State pass D. Michigan State’s run defense is very solid solid so many teams have had to take to the air against the Spartans. Across the industry, Pitt QB Kenny Pickett is super cheap, and he admittedly has mostly struggled this season, but Stanford’s pass defense has been terrible (122nd in FBS with 274 pass yards allowed per game), and he will allow you to spend up in other positions versus just going with Lock and Cornelius. The winner of the FanDuel’s $40k CFB Bowl Mania on Saturday had Ty Gangi (9.7 FDP) at QB and 6th place had Shea Patterson (11 FDP), so you can get away with a cheaper QB.  

Running Back:

Core:

On FD, I love starting out with Cincinnati RB Michael Warren II and you can spend down for Michigan State RB LJ Scott, or move onto one of the other more expensive backs. Virginia Tech bleeds rushing yards, so Warren is my favorite play and LJ Scott has been sorely missed by the Michigan State offense, and is cheap enough not to kill you on either site. I am hoping final send off for him as he is leaving for the 2019 NFL draft.  Texas A&M RB Trayveon Williams has a bad matchup on paper, but I think he is as talented as any back on the slate. Northwestern RB Isaiah Bowser is the guy for Northwestern. Utah has a good defense, but Bowser has been very productive even against good defenses. I think Bowser is fair to underpriced on DK, but slightly overpriced on FD.  Oklahoma State RB Chuba Hubbard will start with Justice Hill off to the NFL, so he is in play for me too.

GPP:

I am still trying to figure out the Missouri RB situation. Right now Damarea Crockett and Larry Rountree III are listed as co-starters on the teams depth chart.

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Wide Reciever:

Cash:

On DK, JJ Arcega-Whiteside is way too cheap, and he will be my highest owned receiver. Otherwise, I will fill out my core with Missouri-Oklahoma State receivers. Tylan Wallace and Emmanuel Hall are the studs on their respective teams. Oklahoma State WR Dillon Stoner is my favorite value on the Cowboys, and Missouri WR Jalen Knox is my favorite value on the Tigers. Knox was the primary receiver when Hall missed several weeks during the season.

GPP:

Missouri WR Kam Scott is the heir apparent to Hall and he is minimum price on DK. The Michigan State WRs Cody White and Darrell Stewart Jr. have a little value to them with Brian Lewerke back and likely starting, but they are strictly GPP. NC State WRs Jacobi Meyers and Emeka Emezie will likely be way underowned. Meyers will take the lead role with Harmon sitting out and Emezie is the likely beneficiary for the distributed targets.

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