AFriedman15 – Aaron Friedman researches and writes college football articles for DFS Army. Aaron is a lifelong resident of the Chicago suburbs and a Northwestern alum and football season ticket holder. College football was Aaron’s first DFS sport and he was thrilled to see it return in 2018. He believes that the thrill, pageantry, and the importance of every game are unparalleled in sports. Aaron enjoys betting on the games and watching everything from #Pac12AfterDark to #MACtion, and especially enjoys the Tuesday-Friday games with so much happening on Saturdays. In real life, Aaron is an IT analyst and with his wife, is the parent to three small dogs. Find Aaron on Twitter at @AFriedman15DFS.
Main FD Slate (12pm ET) Overview and Picks:
|DK Price||FD Price|
The above graph shows the 8 projected starting quarterbacks and their prices on the two sites. I like comparing the two sites because you can take advantage of the different price discrepancies. My two favorite guys to target are Wake Forest QB Jamie Newman and Army QB Kelvin Hopkins. Even with the news that Wake Forest WR Greg Dortch is out for the bowl game, I still love Newman versus a shaky Memphis defense (plus the Memphis DC just took the Northern Arizona job) . Houston’s defense is even shakier, allowing nearly 200 rushing yards per game. That bodes well for Army QB Kelvin Hopkins Jr. who is basically a running back playing QB in Army’s triple option.
At 6900, you have to run a line with Louisiana Tech QB J’Mar Smith. Hawaii is 121 in Pass Defense S&P, so I want to pair Smith, with his stud monster receiver Adrian Hardy (69-1052-6). I am nervous about Hawaii QB Cole McDonald coming out flat, but there is no denying his upside. I do like Buffalo tomorrow, so I have some interest in Buffalo QB Tyree Jackson –a potential NFL prospect– and his lead receiver Anthony Johnson. Outside of McDonald/Ursua, this is the best QB/WR stack on the slate.
Zach mentioned this in his article, and I am in complete agreement: Army RB Darnell Woolfolk makes an excellent stacking partner with Hopkins as they go against the Houston defense missing several key players. With star RB Darrell Henderson out of the game, Memphis RB Patrick Taylor Jr. will be very popular, and I will eat the likely chalk here as he gets the lead role in Memphis’s lead back.
Taylor’s teammate Memphis RB Tony Pollard is in play too, and could be in line for extra work. Memphis has the highest ITT on the slate, so I do not hate Pollard with Taylor, or Pollard as a third RB. On DK, Pollard is a WR and a must-play for me. Wake Forest RBs Matt Colburn and Cade Carney are interesting. Colburn was the starter and missed the last two games, so just a caveat to stay tuned to the news if you decide to go here.
I feel the best about Louisiana Tech WR Adrian Hardy (69-1052-6), who is the lead receiver in a pass-happy offense. His teammate Louisiana Tech WR Teddy Veal (62-609-1) is just 6700, and while he might be better on DK, 6700 is very cheap for 62 receptions and for one bowl game, it does not matter how many touchdowns they have had on the season. If you pair Hardy and Veal, you are effectively blocking the Louisiana Tech passing attack. With Wake WR Greg Dortch out of the bowl game with an injury, Wake Forest WRs Alex Bachman (30-370-6) and Sage Surratt (39-568-3) become cash playable. If choosing one, I like Bachman and the TDs.
Normally, Buffalo WR Anthony Johnson would be a cash play, but he is very priced up in not a great matchup, but he is still very talented. For cheap, Wake WR Scotty Washington (18-190-3 could be in play as well, given the number of targets Dortch was commanding. To me, all the Hawaii receivers are GPP. At $8000, Hawaii WR Cedric Byrd is a interesting boom-or-bust play.