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Week 14 College Football Friday Night Slates (November 30, 2018)

AFriedman15 – Aaron Friedman researches and writes college football articles for DFS Army. Aaron is a lifelong resident of the Chicago suburbs and a Northwestern alum and football season ticket holder. College football was Aaron’s first DFS sport and he was thrilled to see it return in 2018. He believes that the thrill, pageantry, and the importance of every game are unparalleled in sports. Aaron enjoys betting on the games and watching everything from #Pac12AfterDark to #MACtion, and especially enjoys the Tuesday-Friday games with so much happening on Saturdays. In real life, Aaron is an IT analyst and with his wife, is the parent to three small dogs. Find Aaron on Twitter at @AFriedman15DFS.

Slate Overview:

Welcome to Championship Friday as we have a 2-game slate on both sites, with the MAC Championship in Detroit, where Northern Illinois and Buffalo will face off at 7pm ET. Shortly after, the Pac-12 Championship will take place, matching up Utah and Washington at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara at 8pm ET.

  • Northern Illinois  vs, Buffalo (O/U 51, -3.5), 7pm ET
  • Utah vs. Washington  (O/U 45, -5.5) 8pm ET 
Team Spread ITT Time(ET) and TV S&P Rank Off S&P Rank Defense S&P Rank
Northern Illinois  vs. +3.5 23.75 7pm ET 80 120 13
Buffalo -3.5 27.25 ESPN2 49 35 48
Utah vs. +5.5 19.75 8pm ET 14 34 24
Washington -5.5 25.25 FOX 9 30 8

Quarterbacks:

DraftKings:

Cash: I think DK has the QBs priced in the correct order, I would rank them Jackson, Shelley, Childers, and Browning. I feel the best about Jackson. Utah-Washington should be an extremely physical game.  In cash, I will start my builds with Jackson and Childers, who himself has not been the model of consistency, but I still think he provides an ok floor.

GPP:  I think the chalk narrative is that how can Utah keep up, when they lost to Washington 21-7 with their then-starting QB Huntley and starting RB Moss. Not so fast, I say. In GPP, I am interested in Shelley. I am even willing to roll him out as a naked piece. Since Huntley and Moss were lost for the season, the Utah offense has been dramatically different, and other then Shelley and Shyne, there has not been must consistency so that is my rationale for a naked Shelley in GPPs.  This is a great GPP slate to consider 3/4 RBs and 1 QB. and I will discuss the RBs below.

FanDuel:

Cash: Mostly the same priorities here: I love Childers and Jackson in cash

GPP:  I am fine with 1 QB (naked Shelley and/or Childers are options) and fitting in a third running back.

Running Backs:

DraftKings:

Cash: Myles Gaskin will be in every lineup I make tonight for both DraftKings and FanDuel, so for me, the question is who else? I’d probably start with NIU’s Tre Harbison as the second best cash play here, but MAC Freshman of the Year, Jaret Patterson is right behind.

GPP: In GPP’s, the RB slate is very interesting here. I really going 4-RBs and pairing Gasking with Salvon Ahmed and Patterson with Kevin Marx, forgoing the 2nd QB. Utah’s Armand Shyne some as he will likely be the lowest owend  of the four starting RBs. Moving down the list even more TJ Green is in play for large field GPPs and has gotten more work each week since Moss has been out.

FanDuel:

Cash: Again mostly the same priorities here: with Harbison nearly $1,000 cheaper than Patterson, I like Harbison along with Gaskin in cash.

GPP: In GPPs, with only a maximum of 3 RB slots, I am more include to stack a backup RB (Gaskin/Ahmed, Patterson/Marks), but I don’t mind Shyne here either, or Gaskin-Harbison-Patterson, but beware of vulture potential if you go the three-starter route.

Wide Recievers:

DraftKings:

Cash: My top priority is, well, the top receiver on the slate in Buffalo’s Anthony Johnson. There is enough value to fit him in comfortably in cash builds.  In general, I am not very excited about the Washington passing attack, but Aaron Fuller, at $4600, sticks out like a sore thumb. With Utah’s passing game somewhat all over the place, Fuller presents some structure to cash builds. Yes, Fuller has been very quiet, but we’re talking about a $7,000-type talent at a steep discount. I would probably think about rounding out my cash builds with Nacua, Covey, or NIU’s D.J. Brown, who all have defined roles in their offenses and reasonable floor  and target expectations.

GPP: The $3,000-$4,000 range of receivers is fascinating. Washington TE Hunter Bryant ($3500) led the team in receiving last week. Bryant, a TE, has been recovering from an injury that has caused him to miss most of the season.  Utah’s Dixon is the big-play outside receiver for the Utes with 16 catches for 407 yards.  Dixon could get a 0 or go ham, and is probably only in play if you believe he can get past the Washington defense.

FanDuel:

Cash: Johnson, again, is still worth paying for, even as by far the most expensive receiver on the slate. I want Johnson and NIU’s DJ Brown in every cash lineup. Brown is ultra-reasonable at just $6,000. Fuller, Nacua or Covey are viable in cash, as well.

GPP:  Bryant is intriguing, and he will be under owned compared to the cash receivers listed above. Dixon is in play here too, but even more of a boom-bust play then DK, given the touchdown dependency of FD.