Black Friday FD CFB Slates (November 23, 2018)
AFriedman15 – Aaron Friedman researches and writes college football articles for DFS Army. Aaron is a lifelong resident of the Chicago suburbs and a Northwestern alum and football season ticket holder. College football was Aaron’s first DFS sport and he was thrilled to see it return in 2018. He believes that the thrill, pageantry, and the importance of every game are unparalleled in sports. Aaron enjoys betting on the games and watching everything from #Pac12AfterDark to #MACtion, and especially enjoys the Tuesday-Friday games with so much happening on Saturdays. In real life, Aaron is an IT analyst and with his wife, is the parent to three small dogs. Find Aaron on Twitter at @AFriedman15DFS.
Main FD Slate (12pm ET) Overview and Picks:
Quarterbacks:
Cash: With FD including the Oklahoma/West Virginia game, the obvious cash pairing is WVU’s Grier and OU’s Murray with a game O/U sitting at 85 points.
GPP: There are a few good options I like here. Drew Lock gets a great matchup against an Arkansas defense that has lost their top 2 corners. Houston’s defense is shaky, so I like Brady White at 8400, ECU’s Ahlers. Milton and Minshew are in play as well, but I don’t like their matchups as much.
Running Backs:
Cash: OU’s Kennedy Brooks may be the team’s only scholarship RB at 8800, with Sermon and TJ Pledger both injured and questionable. Houston’s Tony Carr may be my favorite per dollar cash play, with the offense having radically transformed with King and several receivers out. I am very interested in the Houston/Memphis game as well, which stands at a 75 O/U. CJ Verdell is the third guy I am looking at against Oregon State’s porous defense. Also, Arkansas’ Boyd is in play.
GPP: If you can fit them in, Memphis’ Darrell Henderson and Cincy’s Michael Warren II are both viable, but I like the 3 guys above all better per $.
Wide Receivers:
Cash: My top play is Mizzou’s Emmanuel Hall, going against an Arkansas defense that has lost its top 2 QBs. There are a few guys around the 8000s that I like for cash: ARK’s Cheyenne O’Grady, ECU’s Sneed, and CIN’s Lewis.For 6400, you could do a lot worse than WVU’s Trevon Wesco who has been more involved lately or Raelon Singleton who has come on strong in the past few weeks.
GPP: I mentioned Oregon State’s defense, so I am going to try to fit Oregon’s Mitchell when I can. I also really like ECU’s Trevon Brown (9500) and Snead (8200). There are a few ok tight ends in the low $6,000s like Magnifico and Brooker,if you are looking for a budget receiver. This late in the season, there is not going to be much cheaper than 6k. All of the normal OU/WVU targets are in play too.
Early Only FD Slate (12pm ET) Overview and Picks:
Quarterbacks:
Cash: Lock is probably elevated to prime cash play here and I also am looking at Ohio’s Nathan Rourke.
GPP: White and Tune are interesting too if you are thinking about a game stack. Austin Hergott (6000) will start for CMU against Toledo which does not have a great defense. I am kind of interested in in a Buffalo stack with Tyree Jackson.
Running Backs:
Cash: Boyd and Carr are my favorites per $ and I am also fine with Henderson and Ohio’s Ouellette (9800) if you can fit them in.
GPP: Buffalo’s Patterson (9100) did not do much last week, but was a beast the past several weeks.
Wide Receivers:
Cash: Hall, Toledo’s Diontae Johnson, Iowa’s TJ Hockenson, and Ohio’s Meyer are all solid, mid-tier options;.
GPP: I think people will overlook Buffalo’s Anthony Johnson at his high price tag, but he could pay off, if the Bulls go ham. Watch out on Memphis’ Coxie who was in a walking boot earlier in the week. If he is out tomorrow that could open up some more Memphis WR value. Singleton, Brooker, and Magnifico could also round out a lineup
Afternoon Only FD Slate (3:30pm ET) Overview and Picks:
Quarterbacks:
Cash: Milton and Perkins are a great pair here.
GPP: i like Herbert, Barnett, Ridder, and Ahlers. We need to keep an eye out on Quincy Patterson II news
Running backs:
Cash: CJ Verdell is my favorite play against Oregon State’s porous defense and Warren II likely has the most guaranteed carries here..
GPP: Cronkrite and Ford are an interesting GPP pair, but I like their prices much better on DK.
Wide Reciever:
Cash: UCF’s Tre Nixon is a lock here and there are a few nice options in the low $8000s like Sneed, McCants, I don’t hate Dubois price here. If the Patterson value opens up, I love Mitchell and Zaccheaus
GPP: St. Felix is the ultimate boom/bust guy. Tre Turner could be viable as well.
Afternoon Only FD Slate (8pm ET) Overview and Picks:
Quarterbacks:
Cash: Murray and Grier will be the chalk, and for good reason.
GPP: Not the best matchup vs. the Huskies, but Minshew still in play
Running Backs:
Cash: Brooks is a lock here and I’d probably go McKoy vs. Oklahoma’s defense.
GPP: Williams and Borghi are viable and Gaskin in play too
Wide Receivers:
Cash: I am taking a shot on Washington State’s Calvin Jackson Jr. or Jamire Calvin for cheap. Washington State spreads the ball a lot so there is some value to be had, which is imperative on this cash slate. One of these two guys will allow you to fit in one of David Sills or Marquise “Hollywood” Brown. As far as volume and safety, they the 1a/1b options here. Then you can round out your build with Trevon Wesco.
GPP: Washington State’s recievers are harder to figure out, but there is volume to be had. Also, you can not go wrong with any of the other OU/WVU pieces such as Greg Jennings Jr., CeeDee Lamb, Lee Morris, or Marcus Simms.