The Sway Bar: NASCAR Draftkings Plays, Fades and Values for the Kansas 2018

Finally! A normal Sway Bar article! It is shaping up to be an interesting week with lots on the line. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Top Plays

Kevin Harvick – Harvick wasn’t quite quick enough to start on pole, but big picture I don’t think that will matter in the big picture. I want overly impressed with Harvick in practice, but I was super impressed with the Fords as a group. I expect Joey will lead for a bit, but I don’t think it will take long for Harvick to take control. He won this race in the spring, and is my favorite to do it again this week.

Aric Almirola – Coming off the biggest race of his career, Aric Almirola is posied to have another career day at Kansas. He is sneaky good here, and showed top two speed in practice. His third place starting spot is a little troublesome, as he has to get around Harvick. I think Aric is a nice pivot of Harvick and Joey and could be a valuable play.

Kyle Larson – The situation is pretty dire for Larson, who got hit with a big penalty last week and found trouble in first practice. He will start 27th and his practice times weren’t stellar. However, he ran well here in the spring and Larson is a great driver under pressure. I am sure he will be quite highly owned, so there is some merit to fading him. I’m playing him though.

Kurt Busch – Starting 11th, I actually think Kurt Busch is a bit of a dark horse to win this race. He showed tremendous speed in race trim, and while he has never won at Kansas he is consistently inside the top ten. Kurt may be my favorite playof the week.

Worth Mentioning

Joey Logano, Martin Truex Jr and Jimmie Johnson are all worth taking a look at this week.

Value Plays

Matt DiBenedetto – Matt is starting 31st at a track where he as actually performed quite well in the past, most recently a 22nd in the spring. If he can repeat that performance this weekend he will be in the optimal.

Regan Smith – Smith did a little too good of a job in qualifying and will roll of 26th. However, there appears to be some measure of speed in the 95 this weekend. Smith is a wiley vet and should have little trouble keeping it pointed foward. I look for Smith to score a top 20 pretty easily this weekend.

Ty Dillon – Ty had some trouble here in the spring, but before that had a couple top 20 finsihes in a row. That car hasn’t been what we had hoped in 2018 – but Ty is a good enough driver to have a shot at another top 20.

Corey Lajoie – Punt of the week. This car pulled out a 25th here in the spring. He starts 34th, and just completing all the laps should be enough to get some positive place differential.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.