So uh…hi. We have no practice. no qualifying. and nearly no hope of racing tommorrow. But here we are! This article will be more about history and who is primed to have a good week. At the end of the day, it will be a very whacky (or boring…) race. So play within your limits and trust your process. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.
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Top Plays
Kyle Busch – No surprise here. Kyle Busch OWNS Indy. KB has to wins and a second in the last four years – and he may well have won last year if not for a midrace crash with corporate teammate Martin Truex Jr. Busch has an average running position of 3.5 at Indy – insane. I don’t expect him to fall outside the top five all day, and he will likely lead a whole bunch of laps. An easy play.
Kevin Harvick – Harvick, who starts second, may well be the only person who has anything for Kyle Busch tomorrow. He has a average running position of 3.9 and a average finish of 2.4 on large flat tracks in 2018. He needs to get around Kyle Busch to hit value, and I fear that will be a tall order given no practice. I am a little less bullish on Harv – but he is still a strong play.
Martin Truex Jr – I hate to be basic, but I have to put the big three as the best plays. The field was set by points, so the best drivers start at the front AND it is a pure speed track where best equipment wins. Truex is solidily in third of the big three, and the 78 team got some bad news this week and I am sure morale is low. Will that effect things? Unlikely. I think MTJ value is as a pivot of KB and Harv.
Ryan Blaney – This is a risky pick, but I a pick I kind like. Blaney has been sneaky fast all year, and has been gaining speed every week. He is way too expensive to go all in on, but considering how brutal it is to find differential points this week, Blaney provides some upside.
Fades
Honestly, with as strange as this week could get – no one is out of play. That said – I don’t trust Larson will have enough speed to be a true contender this week. He starts too high and is too expensive. Skill won’t be enough at Indy – gotta have the equipment.
Value
Matt Kenseth – Kenseth rolls off way back in 29th. Kenseth is super saavy and will have no problem weaseling his way into the top 20 this week. Love this play.
William Byron – Byron’s less than stellar season will do us good this weekend. He starts 22nd, but has the equipment to finish much higher than that. Hendrick is getting faster and Byron is getting better every week. He has an average finish of 16th on big flat tracks in 2018 – and those +6 positional points will be valuable.
Ty Dillon – Dillon gets a lot of love in the value section of my articles, but it is because he can do a lot with a little. His season has stunk, so he starts 30th. But he finished tenth here last year, and has had consistent runs before that, barring one bad year. Look for Dillon to survive all day and be in the top 20 at the end of the day.
Chris Buescher – He is too good not to mention. Problem is he is a little too good so he starts 23rd. He could legit finish in the top ten this week, though. Play with caution.
Jeffrey Earnhardt – Punt of the week. The 96 car will attempt to run the whole race. Thats enough to take a chance on.
So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.