I am REALLY liking the look of this slate, and am PRAYING the rain holds off. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.
Top Plays
Kevin Harvick – It seems like the DFS world is fawning over KB this week, which is fair. However, I LOVE Kevin Harvick this week, he has good speed, a 14th place starting spot but most importantly – he is a machine at NHMS. He constantly finishes in the top five, and should compete for a win this weekend. Don’t be scared off by his lackluster performance last week – Harvick is still the guy.
Kyle Busch – Now we can talk about KB, who is another guy who always performs at New Hampshire. He starts third, which isn’t ideal, but I think he has the fastest car, and seems to be able to run both the bottom and the middle groove really well. I expect KB to lead some laps before competing for a win.
Kyle Larson – I’ll be honest, if Larson qualified any better I wouldn’t be talking about him at all. He didnt show much speed in practice, and has never been a real stand out at New Hampshire, despite a 2nd place finish last year. However, starting 20th is just too juicy to pass up. I am confident in Larson ability to tune on his car and his line, and we should see him inside the top 5 at some point tomorrow. If thing get nutty, he could even compete for a win.
Martin Truex Jr – I am pretty sure my top four plays have been the same the last couple weeks, but you just can’t move away from these guys. MTJ has a top two car this weekend, and rolls off in 2nd. There is a good chance he could dominate this race, but I have never loved Truex at New Hampshire. He is my least favorite play of these four (Harvick and Larson are probably my favorite).
I also don’t mind Joey Logano and Clint Bowyer as top plays.
Fades
I don’t see Kurt Busch staying up front for long.
Value Plays
Matt Kenseth – I don’t care how bad his car is, Matt Kenseth will finish top 15 if he stays out of trouble. He is SO good at NHMS, and would be a top play if he was in better equipment. Alas, he is stuck in the 6 car. He rolls off 31st. This almost feels like a free square.
Bubba Wallace – Bubba Wallace hasn’t shown much speed this week (or any week recently), but he has a great chance to gain some momentum this week. He is very good on flat tracks, and seems to think his race trim is good. He rolls of 27th and should compete for a top 20.
Ryan Newman – Newman starts 23rd this week, and honestly probably doesn’t have much better than a top 15 car. However – NHMS tends to be a hard track to pass on, and there is no one harder to pass than Ryan Newman. Newman’s floor, sans incident, is 23rd. I expect him to move into the top 15 and maybe even compete for a top 12.
Ross Chastain – My punt of the week. It is amazing what Chastain can do with poor equipment. He has been able to drive the 15 machine to top 30s consistently this year, and this week should be no different. A solid salary saver.
So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.