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The Sway Bar: NASCAR DFS Fades and Values for Kentucky 2018

The chaos has settled and we are on to Kentucky – where the winners tend to, well – win. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Before we get started I wanted to congratulate a member on a huge, life-changing win last week in the Daytona race. VIP Member Hall-D took down 1st place in the NAS $300k Firecracker winning $100,000! He won this very same contest last year winning $50,000! DFS Army Members took 1st, 4th, 6th, 8th, and 10th places in this contest!

 Top Plays

Denny Hamlin – Starting 36th. Good speed. Elite equipment. Need I say more?

Kevin Harvick – While it seems the Toyotas may have brought some speed this weekend, it is going to take a lot more than a few good practices to pull me away from old faithful. While Kentucky has never been one of Harvick’s best tracks, it is hard to imagine he won’t be a contender this weekend. He rolls off 3rd, so he will need to dominate to be valuable. I don’t think that will be much of a stretch, though.

Martin Truex Jr – MTJ, the defending winner at Kentucky, will roll of 1st tonight. He didn’t look that good in practice, but chances are everyone was working on “sun-down” setups, so we cant take much from that. There is a good chance MTJ leads a bunch of laps on the way to competing for a win.

Kyle Busch – Surprise! The big 3 are all top plays. Kyle Busch is one of the best Kentucky drivers in the field, and it appears that the Toyota’s are getting better. However, KB starts 5th and will have to fight Harvick and MTJ for dominator points. I actually love Busch this week, and he could go under-owned as the public chases the other two big 3 members.

Jimmie Johnson – JJ looked horrible in practice in qualifying, but there is no way he is that bad come race time. I have no doubt Chad Knaus is working on a nighttime setup and that car will come to life under the lights. He may not compete for a win, but he should end up in the top 15 against a 27th starting spot.

They are not Top Plays or Value plays, but I think Joey Logano and Kyle Larson are worth a look too.

Fades

My fades have been near useless this year, so I am going to refrain from giving them out for a while. Everyone is in play.

Values

Matt Dibenedetto  – Matty D struggled in his first couple goes at Kentucky, but turned in a solid performance in 2017. This week he shows pretty decent speed and rolls of 37th, making him a pretty attractive play.

Kasey Kahne – Kentucky tends to have lots of cautions, and Kahne’s veteran status should serve him well.

Jamie McMurray – Big Mac starts back in 22nd, but tends to run very well at Kentucky. 2018 hasn’t been a friend to Jamie, but 1.5 milers have been the one bright spot.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.