The skies a gloomy as we had to Dover this weekend. The weather my effect things as the weekend progresses so make sure you stay tuned. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.
Top Plays
Kyle Busch – KB has won three of the last four and is well positioned to have another good day. He rolls off a 4th, but clearly has the car to back it up. His track history at Dover isn’t the best – but it’s hard to be consistently good in the snake pit that is Dover. KB should compete for a top five and a win should he stay out of trouble.
Jimmie Johnson – Listen – 2018 hasn’t been good to Jimmie Johnson, but JJ could win at Dover with hot wheels toy. He is that damn good. He rolls off 19th but has top 10 speed and top 1 talent. Let the others forget about JJ, I’m going to play him, and play him a lot.
Kyle Larson – When it comes to short concrete tracks, few are more impressive then polesitter Kyle Larson. Larson should compete for a top five pretty easy. The question is how many laps can he lead before Truex/Harvick and KB reach his back bumper. My guess is at least enough to make him a valuable play.
Martin Truex Jr or Kevin Harvick – These two are a coin flip for me. MTJ has the better track history, but Harv has been much more impressive in 2018. They seem to have similar speed, and similar talent. Play them both, but I wouldn’t have many lines with both of them.
There not Top Plays or Value plays, but I think Chase Elliott and Clint Bowyer are worth a look too.
Fades
My fades have been near useless this year, so I am going to refrain from giving them out for a while. Everyone is in play.
Values
Kasey Kahne – I still believe in Kasey Kahne. Week after week he runs well and then gets into trouble late in the race. Dover has been one of his better tracks, and he starts 25th with top 20 speed. He is still underpriced at $6200, so play him well you can. Don’t go over board, though. He seems to be snake bitten this year.
William Byron – William Byron is going to win a race this year. It may not be this week – but he will win a race. In the meantime, week after week Willy B gets better and better. He has run well at Dover in other series, and has shown good speed in practice this weekend. I can easily see a top 10 for him this weekend, against a 17th starting spot.
Jamie McMurray – This is borderline not a value pick at $7400 – but I think he needs to be noted. He starts 20th, but Big Man is a serial top ten finisher at Dover. He hasn’t shown much speed in practice so don’t go crazy, but chances are he’s going to get that Kyle Larson setup by race time.
David Ragan – Ragan had a miserable qualifying effort and will roll of 32nd. I think his floor is a 25th place finish, and his ceiling is as high as 14th. Thats enough for me to sprinkle him in.
Corey Lajoie – I don’t even love this play, but if you need a punt, Lajoie is your guy. He finished 25th at Bristol in this car, and starts 35th this weekend. Worth a try I guess.
So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.