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Utah at Houston (207.5)(-12)
New Orleans at Golden State (228)(-11.5)
Point Guards
- Chris Paul
- Steph Curry
- Rajon Rondo
- Raul Neto (value)
- Ian Clark (value)
- Quinn Cook (punt)
I like Chris Paul as my top option tonight. The blow to Rubio really hurt Utah. They just can’t compete with Houston without him. The good thing about Houston is they usually play their starters down the stretch even in a 20 point blowout. Look for CP3 to do work tonight and close this game out at home. Rondo’s price on FD finally crept up to 8k. This game will be very hard for Rondo but if the Pelicans can keep this game close he will be a big part of it. I’ll make sure to have exposure to both Curry and Rondo just in case this game does stay close. One thing I did notice last game is Curry did wave off Cook when the game was out of hand. He was the last person to leave the court in that game so tonight you could see Curry just launch 3s and use this game as a “warm-up” game. The 3 value options are Neto/Clark/Cook. Cook will be low owned and is your true punt. Neto and Clark will actually see 15-25 minutes and both would play in a blowout. Neto did show signs of playing well and involving Gobert. With Exum and Rubio out he will be your chalkier value option tonight.
Shooting Guards
- James Harden
- Jrue Holiday
- Klay Thompson
- Donovan Mitchell
- Eric Gordon
- Alec Burks
Same as above with Cp3. I believe Houston takes care of business tonight but will still play their starters down the final stretch of the game allowing Harden to score more. He has scored 55+ in 3 of 4 games against Utah and I see more of the same tonight. Jrue Holiday is the heart of the Pelicans and he will give it his all tonight. It just won’t be enough. Thompson is affordable and I don’t mind him for his price. Mitchell is going to hoist up 20-25 shots and I like that kind of usage. Eric Gordon and Burks are more value type plays. My ownership of this position is going to be extremely spread out.
Small Forwards
- Kevin Durant
- Andre Iguodala
- PJ Tucker
- Joe Ingles
- Royce O Neale
- E’Twaun Moore
- Trevor Ariza
Kevin Durant will garner a lot of ownership tonight and rightfully so after that big game. Out of the top dollar guys tonight I’ll have the most KD. He is just more affordable and has great upside. We’ve got playoff Iggy who keeps performing beside the one dumpster fire where Pelicans blew the Warriors out. PJ Tucker has been a model of consistency throughout the playoffs. I love him at his price. Joe BoJangles price has come down a bit and I don’t mind him at all here. He goes under-owned and keeps dropping 30s. I really like him here. Royce O Neale will continue to start but he very well might not do anything with his minutes. Moore’s minutes seem safe no matter what happens but he needs to score to get fantasy points. He had 20 real points and still only managed 21 fantasy. I like the chance Ariza has a bounce-back game but I’ll still have the lowest ownership for him amongst the SFs. He just isn’t utilized that much. However, he still can outscore the rest of the mid-tier SFs and will have the lowest ownership amongst them. If he does get to 25 or so he will be in the winning lineup.
Power Forwards
- Draymond Green
- Anthony Davis
- Nikola Mirotic
- Jae Crowder
- Kevon Looney
- Luc Mbah Moute
Draymond is my favorite player on the whole board tonight. He had that 1 bad game which we predicted here at the DFSArmy. He will continue to pound the stat sheet and make sure the Warriors win. Anthony Davis is my least favorite stud on the board tonight but that doesn’t mean I won’t have any exposure to him. He is capable of willing his team to a victory and going for 70+. I don’t see that happening but I’ll have him in lineups just in case. Mirotic will go a bit under-owned tonight and I don’t mind him knowing he has 50 point upside if his shot falls. After that, you have Jae Crowder who is still too cheap. Kevon Looney/Luc Mbah Moute are you value plays. I’m not in love with either of them but they are both playable options getting 20 minutes.
Centers
- Capela
- Gobert
I’ve been on Capela all series and I won’t be moving off of him tonight. He is dominating. I’ll keep riding that train. I’ll have some Gobert but mainly I will be on Capela. You can throw a dart with NeNe but he will only get 10 minutes and most likely drop a 5 for you. If you are ok with that then go ahead. Any other option you play at Center is fully capable of giving you a zero. I’m looking at you McGee/Pachulia. Both might get minutes late in the 4th if you really wanna get squirrely and hope you sneak 10 points out of them in 2-4 minutes.
Good Luck Tonight Gentleman!