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Forslund’s Full Mount – UFC Fight Night 129 – DFS MMA Breakdown for DraftKings

Welcome back again.  First off congratulations to our big winners in here last week.  Let’s keep it rolling this week.  We have a 13 fight card in Chile.  Remember to pay attention to odds as value could present itself even after reading this.  As always check out the Research Station and listen to the pod that will be coming out later tonight.  If you ever have any questions hop into the Slack Chat and either myself or 1 of our other coaches will help you out.  

Before we get started I wanted to congratulate another DFS Army Member on massive, life-changing wins in the last week!  DFS Army Staff Member Fighton took down part of 1st place for $11,750 in the MMA $150k Uppercut on Draftkings and VIP Member nfhs04 took down 3rd for $10,000 in the MLB $175k Home Run on DraftKings! Congratulations to both of you!

Let’s get on with the breakdowns.

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Silva (-340) 9.4k vs Puelles (+280) 6.8k

 Silva is a good striker and has decent power.  He works well in clinch and has decent knees.  Puelles is moving up a weight class for this fight and has ok Jiu-Jitsu.  I like Silva in this matchup.  He is playable in all formats.  Puelles will most likely be a fade for me.

Saenz (-335) 9.1k vs Briones (+275) 7.1k

 Saenz is an ok grappler and wrestler.  He also has decent takedowns (TD’s).  Briones is tough with decent power.  I don’t care for either of these 2 in cash.  I think both are solid GPP plays.  If Saenz wins it will most likely be wrestling and grappling based.  Which would most likely yield a solid DraftKings score.  Briones is in play as well.  In a win he would exceed his value.  Not a fight I will be all in on but, worth having some exposure to both.

Barzola (-225) 8.9k vs Davis (+185) 7.3k

  Barzola is a decent striker and has solid leg kicks.  He is a decent wrestler and has solid TD’s.  Davis is aggressive and has good leg kicks.  He is a solid striker and is high output (lands 6.36 Significant Strikes per minute).  Barzola is a tournament play only for me.  There are other fighters I think have a safer floor in cash games.  Davis is playable in all formats. I especially like him in cash.  He lands a high enough output that even in a loss he should score well for his price.  Plus he has the upside we like to look for in GPP’s.

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Benitez (-225) 8.5k vs Bandenay (+185) 7.7k

 Benitez has very good leg kicks and decent submissions.  Bandenay is aggressive and a decent striker.  He has ok leg kicks.  It’s worth taking note that he has shown in previous fights that he is susceptible to TD’s and submissions.  I think Benitez is in play in all formats.  He has a solid floor we like in cash and the upside we want with his wrestling.  Bandenay is worth some exposure in tournaments as well.

Botelho (-170) 8.7k vs Kondo (+150) 7.5k

   Botelho is a decent wrestler.  She has solid leg kicks and a decent jab.  Kondo is a solid striker who likes to throw a lot of punches.  She has solid cardio.  Kondo is playable in cash.  I like that she throws at a high volume and has shown she has the cardio to do so for 3 rounds.  I will have exposure to both in tournaments.

Pantoja (-120) 8.2k vs Moreno (+100) 8k

 Pantoja is taking this fight on short notice.  He is a solid striker.  Moreno has good submissions.  This is a fight I want exposure to in tournaments.  I am not super confident in who I think wins.  I will most likely have equal shares to both just to play it safe.

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Cummings (-170) 8.4k vs Prazeres (+150) 7.8k

 Cummings has decent TD’s.  He also has good ground and pound.  Prazeres has good Jiu-Jitsu and good submissions.  It’s also worth noting Prazeres is moving up a weight class for this fight.  I like Cummings in all formats.  He will have a size and reach advantage (8 inches).  I think Prazeres is playable in GPP’s.  I will wait to see how he looks at weigh-ins and give any more thoughts I have about him on the pod.

Luque (-220) 8.8k vs Laprise (+180) 7.4k

 Luque has a decent jab and good leg kicks.  He has solid power and decent submissions.  Laprise is solid overall.  He is a decent striker and has good cardio.  I will have exposure to both in GPP’s.  I haven’t decided on my exposures to either yet.

Lee (-320) 9.2k vs Macedo (+260) 7k

 Lee is an aggressive fighter.  She is a decent striker and has solid submissions.  Macedo is a decent striker and has decent leg kicks.  I think this fight is worth targeting in tournaments.  It looks like Lee could end up being popular.  If that’s the case in GPP’s I will have more exposure to Macedo.  It’s strictly a leverage play.  I will have exposure to Lee as well.  I don’t love either for cash games.

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Rivas (-170) 8.6k vs Cannetti (+150) 7.6k

  Rivas is athletic and a decent striker.  He has good knees and decent submissions.  Cannetti is a wild striker.  He has shown cardio issues in the past.  I will only be targeting this fight in tournaments.  My preferred play is Rivas.  He is fighting in front of his home country and has the edge everywhere.  I will have a small amount of Cannetti if any.

Reyes (-260) 9k vs Cannonier (+220) 7.2k

 Reyes is decent all-around.  He is a solid striker and has decent submissions.  Cannonier is a decent striker and has ok power.  I think both are playable in tournaments.  My preferred play is Cannonier.  Mainly because he is 1 of the few dogs I actually think has a chance at winning.  Reyes is very much in play as well.

Suarez (-900) 9.3k vs Grasso (+600) 6.9k

 Suarez is a good wrestler.  She has decent TD’s and ok submissions.  Grasso is a decent striker.  With odds value alone Suarez is in play.  I am not quite sure how I will use her in tournaments just yet.  She does make more a decent pivot off of Usman.  I will give more thoughts in Slack for this.

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Usman (-750) 9.5k vs Maia (+525) 6.7k

  I am going to reserve this fight for VIP’s and will give my thoughts in the Slack Chat and our pod.  Not a member?  What are you waiting for? Sign up below!  

Remember to try out the Domination Station for MMA for this card and join us in the Slack ChatGood Luck DFS Army!

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