On the Deep Dive today I am going to look at using X Value to help make your decisions, focusing on Dmen today. All stats come from the dfsarmy.com’s “VIPs only “NHL Research Station ( RS) and leftwinglock.com. From there I am getting Adjusted Corsi For (ACF) Adjusted Corsi Against ( ACA) ( which is for the last 3 weeks) the Implied Team Total (ITT) Shots on Goal and Blocked Shots ( SOGBS). The “x” is a points/$1000 ratio. The RS has much more information than just this and is worth your time. From leftwinglock I am getting line matchup information. Hopefully this gives you a taste and you come try out the Army for help and coaching for your dfs needs for all sports. The army really can make you a better player.
Below is a chart showing the Dmen who have been averaging 10 or more FD points the last 21 days. The Value is found by dividing their Fantasy Points/Game over the last 21 days (FP/G L21) by a 2 digit value for their salary. So for John Carlson we divided 19.71 by 6.0. For Pietrangelo we divide 24.88 by 5.8. This gives us the X Value found in the chart.
This value is a an easy way to compare what each player brings to the table, and whether you want to pay up at a certain position or not. For example if you decided there was good value elsewhere and wanted to pay up on D, in simplest looks this shows that Pietrangelo along with either Carlson or Doughty or Reilly gives you the best bang for your buck. Similarly if you wanted to pay down, guys like Gustafsson and Pulock give you the best numbers.
From here, you could make a list of core players you want to look at for today, then take your own deep dive into corsi numbers, matchups, ITT , discovering which players are overpriced or underpriced on the slate to make your final decisions. You can do this at each position to help get a sense of their value compared to other players.
Good luck today. See you in SlackChat.
JD
Name | Team | Opp | FD Cost | FP/G L21 | Value |
John Carlson | WAS | CAR | $6,000 | 19.71 | 3.3X |
Alex Pietrangelo | STL | VGK | $5,800 | 24.88 | 4.3X |
Victor Hedman | TB | NYR | $6,400 | 16.4 | 2.6X |
Tyson Barrie | COL | CHI | $5,700 | 15.51 | 2.9X |
Drew Doughty | LA | ANH | $5,800 | 19 | 3.3X |
Morgan Rielly | TOR | NYI | $5,200 | 20.89 | 3.6X |
Erik Johnson | COL | CHI | $4,700 | 14.8 | 3.1X |
Jake Muzzin | LA | ANH | $4,600 | 12.29 | 2.7X |
Ryan McDonagh | TB | NYR | $4,800 | 10.22 | 2.6X |
Colton Parayko | STL | VGK | $4,600 | 12 | 2.1X |
Ryan Pulock | NYI | TOR | $4,200 | 18.32 | 4.4X |
Neal Pionk | NYR | TB | $4,500 | 17.12 | 3.8X |
Justin Faulk | CAR | WAS | $4,700 | 12.8 | 2.7X. |
Jake Gardiner | TOR | NYI | $4,900 | 13.51 | 2.8X |
Johnny Boychuk | NYI | TOR | $4,500 | 11.29 | 2.5X |
Erik Gustafsson | CHI | COL | $3,900 | 16.65 | 4.3X |
Hampus Lindholm | ANH | LA | $4,600 | 10.96 | 2.9X |
Jaccob Slavin | CAR | WAS | $4,700 | 15.92 | 3.2X |
Shea Theodore | VGK | STL | $4,300 | 13.53 | 3.1X |
Matt Niskanen | WAS | CAR | $4,300 | 12 | 2.9X |
Nate Schmidt | VGK | STL | $4,100 | 11.12 | 2.7X |
Brandon Montour | ANH | LA | $4,100 | 10.64 | 2.6X |
Mikhail Sergachev | TB | NYR | $4,200 | 11.44 | 2.7X |
Brent Seabrook | CHI | COL | $4,900 | 11.27 | 2.3X |
Dmitry Orlov | WAS | CAR | $4,200 | 10.76 | 2.6X |