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JD’s Deep Dive for Fanduel NHL DFS for Friday Mar 30th

On the Deep Dive today I am going to look at using X Value to help make your decisions, focusing on Dmen today.  All stats come from the dfsarmy.com’s “VIPs only “NHL Research Station ( RS) and leftwinglock.com.  From there I am getting  Adjusted Corsi For (ACF) Adjusted Corsi Against ( ACA) ( which is for the last 3 weeks) the Implied Team Total (ITT) Shots on Goal and Blocked Shots ( SOGBS). The “x” is a points/$1000 ratio.   The RS has much more information than just this and is worth your time.  From leftwinglock I am getting line matchup information. Hopefully this gives you a taste and you come try out the Army for help and coaching for your dfs needs for all sports.  The army really can make you a better player.

Below is a chart showing the Dmen who have been averaging 10 or more FD points the last 21 days.  The Value is found by dividing their Fantasy Points/Game over the last 21 days (FP/G L21) by a 2 digit value for their salary.  So for John Carlson we divided 19.71 by 6.0.  For Pietrangelo we divide 24.88 by 5.8. This gives us the X Value found in the chart.

This value is a an easy way to compare what each player brings to the table, and whether you want to pay up at a certain position or not.  For example if you decided there was good value elsewhere and wanted to pay up on D, in simplest looks this shows that Pietrangelo along with either Carlson or Doughty  or Reilly gives you the best bang for your buck. Similarly if you wanted to pay down, guys like Gustafsson and Pulock give you the best numbers.

From here, you could make a list of core players you want to look at for today, then take your own deep dive into corsi numbers, matchups, ITT , discovering which players are overpriced or underpriced on the slate to make your final decisions.   You can do this at each position to help get a sense of their value compared to other players.

Good luck today.  See you in SlackChat.

 

JD

Name Team Opp FD Cost FP/G L21 Value
John Carlson WAS CAR $6,000 19.71 3.3X
Alex Pietrangelo STL VGK $5,800 24.88 4.3X
Victor Hedman TB NYR $6,400 16.4 2.6X
Tyson Barrie COL CHI $5,700 15.51 2.9X
Drew Doughty LA ANH $5,800 19 3.3X
Morgan Rielly TOR NYI $5,200 20.89 3.6X
Erik Johnson COL CHI $4,700 14.8 3.1X
Jake Muzzin LA ANH $4,600 12.29 2.7X
Ryan McDonagh TB NYR $4,800 10.22 2.6X
Colton Parayko STL VGK $4,600 12 2.1X
Ryan Pulock NYI TOR $4,200 18.32 4.4X
Neal Pionk NYR TB $4,500 17.12 3.8X
Justin Faulk CAR WAS $4,700 12.8 2.7X.
Jake Gardiner TOR NYI $4,900 13.51 2.8X
Johnny Boychuk NYI TOR $4,500 11.29 2.5X
Erik Gustafsson CHI COL $3,900 16.65 4.3X
Hampus Lindholm ANH LA $4,600 10.96 2.9X
Jaccob Slavin CAR WAS $4,700 15.92 3.2X
Shea Theodore VGK STL $4,300 13.53 3.1X
Matt Niskanen WAS CAR $4,300 12 2.9X
Nate Schmidt VGK STL $4,100 11.12 2.7X
Brandon Montour ANH LA $4,100 10.64 2.6X
Mikhail Sergachev TB NYR $4,200 11.44 2.7X
Brent Seabrook CHI COL $4,900 11.27 2.3X
Dmitry Orlov WAS CAR $4,200 10.76 2.6X