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The Sway Bar: NASCAR Draftkings Fades and Values for Phoenix

It seems like just yesterday we were panicking about the Daytona 500, and just like that – 2 races left. This week we head west to Phoenix for the last race of the round of 8. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Top Plays

Kevin Harvick – I am sure you have heard the hype about Kevin Harvick, and it’s all true. He is a real beast on the dog-leg. The last two races he has shown some vunerability, but even when hes not at his best he is a lock for the top ten. I think Harvick has the fastest car this weekend, and with a win last weekend he has nothing to lose by going for broke. Lock and load with KH this weekend.

Brad Keselowski – The practice times aren’t pretty – but the 16th starting spot is. Brad K has shown time and time again he can take a 10th place car and make it a 5th place track, and I expect more of the same this weekend. Phoenix isn’t his best track by any means – but he knows his way around. I am super comfortable with Brad this weekend.

Kyle Busch – Kyle Busch has a rocketship starting back in 8th. He is the odds on favorite to win this race, and for good reason. A fast car, a good starting spot, and nothing to lose with his ticket already punched to Homestead. I love this play.

Martin Truex Jr – Nothing I see gets me super excited about MTJ this weekend, but it is MTJ, and he’s an animal. I think he has top five speed and a top ten track history. However, Cole Pearn brings top one cars to the track every weekend and if Truex gets in front – it will be for a big chunk of laps.

Worth Considering

Ryan Blaney has some upside, but I haven’t seen anything that shows me he can maintain a lead at Phoenix. His Saturday practice times were a little lackluster, and his track history is a lot lack luster. Play him sparingly this week.

Values

Erik Jones – Jones has top five speed this week, and Phoenix is his favorite race track. He can lead laps, and compete for a win. Its a shame his price is so high and he qualified so well, but he is worth giving some exposue.

Aric Almirola – Aric is a great Phoenix driver and has top 2 average place differential in the desert (behind only Kevin Harvick). He rolls off 22nd, but I think he can sneak into the top 15 pretty easily, and even compete for a top ten if things get hairy.

Kasey Kahne – Kahne didnt qualify great, but he showed some really good short and long run speed in final practice. Look for him to move forward and hopefully avoid trouble.

Landon Cassill – Phoenix is one of Cassills best tracks, and he showed a significant improvement in speed during Saturdays practices. He rolls off 32nd, but probably has top 25 speed. I am a little worried about his survival ability, so dont go overboard – but I will have a big dos of Cassill this weekend.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.