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Every week of the year the PGA Tour plays on a new course. There are some examples in other DFS Sports of environments impacting performance, such as Coors Field in Baseball; Golf, however, offers an entirely unique environment each and every week. This article will break down the week’s PGA course and attempt to find what skill sets are needed for success. This article will then combine the course breakdown with the DFS Army Domination Station and give a few players to target in both Cash Game and GPP formats. For more updates throughout the week follow me on twitter @_bschnarr
Quicken Loans Picks Review
Justin Thomas – GPP – (MC – 27.5 DK Points)
For the second straight week, I have been wrong on Thomas. Traditionally, Thomas has been a player able to rebound from on off week. However, when watching his rounds this week it seems like his game just isn’t all there. After last week I thought Thomas was unplayable in cash but still viable in GPP’s but he just could not pull together the rounds to make it into the weekend.
Brendan Steele – Cash – (MC – 20.5 DK Points)
Steele was a lock for me and nearly everyone in the fantasy golf community. Steele saw ownership around 80% in large double-up formats, which is well beyond any players I can ever think off. Ultimately, Steele did not perform but if you only took him in cash formats any and all lineups were still viable; and if you avoided him and his sub 35% ownership in GPP’s you were laughing. Steele reminded us all this week how even the surest bet in PGA Golf is not a guarantee.
Danny Lee – All Formats – (T22 – 64 DK Points)
I felt as if Lee provided a solid enough floor with great upside given his price. I think DFS golf is unique in that every player is truly an individual. Well, some players might miss multiple straight cuts and randomly find themselves at the top of leaderboards others show form and continually make cuts when they show they have the ability too. Danny Lee falls into the second category as a player that consistently shows form before his results. I felt given this form Lee provided cash game stability well simultaneously providing GPP upside. Lee’s performance provided both as his finished helped propel cash line-ups into the money and gave GPP lineups a solid shot at a higher payout.
Nick Taylor – GPP Punt – (T29- 67.5 DK Points)
Taylor came in under-priced at a course that fit his playing style. Taylor did not disappoint given his price finishing with the 19th most DraftKings points for the week.
Greenbrier Course Preview
The Greenbrier Classic sees the tour head to West Virginia for one of the most underwhelming fields of the year. No offense to Patrick Reed, but with no players inside of the top 20 of the world golf rankings the tournament lacks the star power to draw in significant attention. As a result of many top players skipping the week we see lots of players we are not used to/do not know as well. This is perfect from a DFS perspective as we can get a leg up on the field with DFS Army VIP tools like our Spreadsheet with tour adjusted stats so you know how the players you don’t recognize have done this year in relation to the field; or our Domination Station line-up optimizer where you can see how we project each and every player in the field to do for the week.
As far as the course goes, Old White TPC is a 7,287 yard par 70 that has seen a certain type of players perform well in the past. Old White TPC has played host to The Greenbrier Classic sense 2010, aside from flooding in 2016 which caused the cancellation of the event. Although the course is long for a par 70 and sees wider than average PGA fairways players don’t need to be bombers to perform here. Yes, the extra yardage helps but finding areas of the fairway that provide the angle to attack the pin is crucial with lots of bunkers surrounding the greens this week.
Over the years we have seen ball strikers win here. Guys with great approach games have stood out for their ability to make up strokes through hitting greens and avoiding the trouble that surrounds tough pin placements.
As a result, I will be heavily prioritizing Shots Gained: Approach and Greens in Regulation for the week. With a weaker field and many players, we have seen little of this year I will be relying a lot on our VIP Spreadsheet with field adjusted stats that can show me exactly who has been gaining strokes within these categories for the year.
Greenbrier Classic Picks!
Tony Finau – All Formats – DK: $9100 FD: $8900
All season watching Finau play I have been waiting for the inevitable breakout win and where better than this weak field. Finau has been exceptionally statistically this season but has struggled to put together the four rounds needed to come away with a victory. The weakest part of Finau’s game is accuracy off of the tee; according to our VIP PGA Spreadsheet, we can see it is the only category he significantly loses stroked to the field in. However with very wide fairways that weakness is mitigated greatly. Aside from driving accuracy Finau has been tremendous Tee to Green this season and is second in the field with field-adjusted statistics. With his price, I’d expect high ownership but Finau is not a player I want to fade this week as I think he sets up great for this event.
Danny Lee – Cash – DK: $9500 FD: $8400
Last week I picked Danny Lee and discussed how he is the type of player that consistently plays well when he shows good form; this week I see no reason to jump off the train. Lee combines good form with great course history (defending champion) and although he will see high ownership he is a lock for me in any cash game format. According to our Domination Station Lee is projected to finish with the second-highest fantasy points per dollar of salary for players costing over $8000 behind only the aforementioned Tony Finau.
Harris English – GPP – DK: $7000 FD: $7100
I will not be going anywhere near English in cash games but I do think he makes a great play to round out GPP lineups. English has recovered from his midseason missed cut stretch with 4/5 straight made cuts. Looking at his Vegas odds English stands out in his price range and I think he does without a crazy high level of ownership. Much like Finau the weakest part of his game is minimized at this course. Finally, our Domination Station line-up optimizer has him as the second-best fantasy points per dollar value of any player in the field which makes sense given his key stats and the course layout.
Billy Hurley – GPP Punt – DK: $6200 FD: $5800
If you’re looking for a low 6K salary to fill out some rosters I think Billy Hurley is a viable option. Hurley has good recent course history with a T37 and T4 the last two years and showed his game returned a little with a made cut last week. Hurley has the best Vegas odds of anyone priced under $6300 and there’s good reason for that. The best part of Hurley’s game is Shots Gained: Approach where he is gaining 0.44 strokes to the field according to our VIP PGA Spreadsheet and I think if you’re going to take a chance on a low priced player go with one who strikes the ball well at a course which requires ball striking.
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