Taylor Moore leaned on an elite short game at the Cognizant Classic, gaining over 10.6 strokes combined putting and around the green on his way to a T2 finish. He now heads to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where he has three prior starts with results of T42, T39, and T48. Bay Hill typically rewards strong ball striking and accuracy off the tee, areas where Moore has struggled. He ranks 32nd in strokes gained off the tee (+0.426 per round) but is just 138th on approach (-0.540) and 141st in driving accuracy. Where he separates himself is around the greens, ranking second on Tour in strokes gained (+1.066 per round) and is also second in bogey avoidance. Despite his elite short game, Bay Hill's emphasis on ball striking may limit his ceiling, making him a bit of a risky option at $6,400 on DraftKings.

Robert MacIntyre has opened 2026 with four straight top-40 finishes, including a T4 at the Sony Open. He now heads to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where he finished T11 last year. Bay Hill rewards ball striking and accuracy off the tee, areas MacIntyre has seen mixed results. He ranks 35th in strokes gained off the tee (+0.400 per round) and 73rd in driving accuracy, but is only 141st on approach (-0.575) . His long irons have also struggled, sitting 155th in proximity from 175-200 yards and 143rd from 200+. On a more positive note, during last year's T11 finish here, his ball striking was solid, as he gained over 5.5 strokes combined off the tee and on approach. Recent form and course history make MacIntyre a high-upside play at $9,000 on DraftKings, though he carries slightly more risk than others in this price range given his approach struggles so far this season.

With two wins in the last four years of this event, there is no surprise to see Scottie Scheffler atop the betting board and DFS pricing. He has dominated the Arnold Palmer Invitational since making his debut in 2020, with an absurd +2.801 total strokes gained average over his last 16 rounds played at Bay Hill. His most overwhelming individual stats come from the driver, as the 29-year-old has averaged +1.025 in strokes gained off the tee. Interestingly, ball striking has been the lone inconsistency to begin this year. Moreso from the approach, but accuracy off the tee has certainly been evident as well. It clearly isn't stopping him from still being virtually a top-15 lock, but as the most expensive DFS player by a pretty wide margin, it almost has to be a top-3-or-bust mentality with him. And with some of the most important events coming up--including this week--it's probably time to expect him to return to his dominance soon.

After a slow start to the season for Xander Schauffele, he has begun figuring things out over his last couple of events. The 32-year-old finished T19 at Pebble Beach and posted a T7 finish the following week at the Genesis. It wasn't like he was far off to begin with, but things have certainly gotten more controlled as of late. He still hasn't been quite the same ball striker as his 2024 form, but he did manage to rank third on the week at Riviera in strokes gained from tee to green (+1.58). Bay Hill plays longer, but there is a similar correlation in approach distances between the two venues. Aside from the putting slump, he'll need to have better driving accuracy and par-5 performance to have a real chance. However, it's reasonable to expect he will better his current best tournament finish of T25.