Here is your weekly sharp line analysis for week 6.
SF @ WAS
If you have been paying attention to the lines all week you may have noticed that the line in this one moved from -10 to -11 in favor of Washington. What would get lost in that is that the sharps are on the 49ers. The moneyline even dropped 50 points in the span of 1 hour this morning. Yes, Washington is expected to win but there is something else at work here.
There is an interesting trend I learned when reading about this game. The OVER is 41-20-1 in the last 12 seasons in any game where the visitor is playing their 3rd consecutive road game. The total in this one has had a slight rise from 45 to 45.5 and the sharps really like the 49ers to go over their implied total.
DFS Takeaway: This seems like a big downward tick for the washington defense, especially with Norman out, and a big upward tick for the 49ers offense.
LAR @ JAX
Sharps have been in love with the Rams all week. They have bet them at LAR +2.5 and now the line stands at LAR +1. As I write this, big bets are coming in on the Rams to win outright. Their implied team total just rose 2 whole points. The total for the game, has dropped from an opening of 43.5 down to 42.
DFS Takeaway: This is a bit of a boom to the Rams offense.
PIT @ KC
Everyone is loving this new look KC offense and the soap opera that Pittsburgh is becoming, but sharps are cutting through the noise a little bit. Public money came in on KC but the sharps have bet Pitt down to +4. Money is still looking at pittsburgh so they are expecting a tight game. The total has even come down from 47 to 46.
DFS Takeaway: This is a little bit of a downward tick to KC on both sides of the ball and a little bit of an upward tick to the Pittsburgh offense.
CLE @ HOU
Houston opened as 10 point favorites, but the sharps are moving in on Cleveland. The line now sits at Houston -7.5. I am even seeing some big bets coming in on Cleveland to win outright. It is tough to fathom, but the sharps did make bets on the Jags last week in Pittsburgh. This game has also seen the biggest move in terms of game total from 44 to 47 points.
DFS Takeaway: This is a big blow to the Houston defense and big boom to the cleveland offense. For you crazy GPPers, maybe this is one to target.
CHI @ BAL
Som late money coming in on Chicago to win outright. The line has dropped from BAL -6.5 to BAL-5.5. At about 11 am EST the total also moved up from 38.5 to 39.5.
DFS Takeaway: In the very least, this is a slight uptick to the chicago offense, with the potential for more. Slight downward tick to the baltimore defense.
MIA@ATL
The sharps have bet the under in this one, mostly because of the miami offense. The Atlanta offense gets a boost.
Good luck in week 6, Army!