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PITCHERS
Alex Wood (vs CHW)
Massive -360 favorites on the moneyline today against a young and inexperienced White Sox team.
Danny Salazar (@MIN)
Don’t love his history against the Twins, but Salazar has at least 8 Ks in each of his last four starts while averaging 47.5 FDP per game over that span.
Dinelson Lamet (vs PHI)
Solid strikeout upside against a free-swinging Phils team that looks mentally drained right now.
Sonny Gray (vs NYM)
Good numbers, but still hasn’t received a single run of support as a Yankee.
Tyler Skaggs (@WSH)
Intriguing Vegas numbers and an 8.5 total are all in his favor… he is your #1 option for cheap pitching.
Mark Leiter (@SD)
16 Ks in his last 9.1 innings of work…are we looking at the new Brad Peacock?
STACKS
Baltimore Orioles (@SEA)
Top hitting offense in the league for the month of August- lead MLB in hits, runs, doubles, batting average, slugging percentage and OPS over that span. Tonight, they are facing a lefty in Andrew Albers, who will be making his 18th MLB appearance since 2014…his numbers against right-handed batters in that time leave a lot to be desired.
Boston Red Sox (vs STL, Mike Leake – R)
* Splits against Leake this season:
LHB: 22 XBH (6 HR), .289 avg, .348 OBP, .421 SLG, .769 OPS – 291 PA (10.3% K-rate)
RHB: 23 XBH (9 HR), .256 avg, .286 OBP, .411 SLG, .697 OPS – 283 PA (23.0% K-rate)
Cleveland Indians (@MIN, Bartolo Colon – R)
* Splits against Colon this season:
LHB: 25 XBH (8 HR), .307 avg, .351 OBP, .521 SLG, .872 OPS – 206 PA (13.6% K-rate)
RHB: 26 XBH (7 HR), .345 avg, .373 OBP, .553 SLG, .927 OPS – 216 PA (13.9% K-rate)
Colorado Rockies (vs ATL, Sean Newcomb – L) – Great numbers against LHP
* Splits against Newcomb this season:
LHB: 5 XBH (1 HR), .292 avg, .378 OBP, .446 SLG, .825 OPS – 74 PA (23.0% K-rate)
RHB: 16 XBH (5 HR), .223 avg, .337 OBP, .389 SLG, .725 OPS – 185 PA (23.8% K-rate)
Milwaukee Brewers (vs PIT, Ivan Nova – R) – Nova has an ERA two runs more on the road and has allowed 21 hits in 13 innings against the Pirates this season.
* Splits against Nova this season:
LHB: 31 XBH (13 HR), .301 avg, .327 OBP, .513 SLG, .840 OPS – 280 PA (11.1% K-rate)
RHB: 28 XBH (9 HR), .253 avg, .289 OBP, .413 SLG, .702 OPS – 328 PA (19.2% K-rate)
Pittsburgh Pirates (@MIL, Zach Davies – R) – Davies has been much worse at home (6-6, 6.44 ERA, .316 opp avg) than on the road (7-0, 2.52 ERA, .238 opp avg)
* Splits against Davies this season:
LHB: 26 XBH (10 HR), .257 avg, .337 OBP, .441 SLG, .777 OPS – 294 PA (16.7% K-rate)
RHB: 22 XBH (7 HR), .299 avg, .339 OBP, .438 SLG, .777 OPS – 291 PA (14.4% K-rate)
St. Louis Cardinals (@BOS, Rick Porcello – R) – Crushing RHP over the last 30 days
* Splits against Porcello this season:
LHB: 38 XBH (15 HR), .281 avg, .316 OBP, .507 SLG, .822 OPS – 323 PA (22.0% K-rate)
RHB: 35 XBH (13 HR), .294 avg, .330 OBP, .495 SLG, .826 OPS – 331 PA (20.5% K-rate)
Tampa Bay Rays (@TOR) – 7 HR, 16 runs, 25 hits in 14.1 innings against Estrada this season
* Splits against Estrada this season:
LHB: 25 XBH (10 HR), .229 avg, .291 OBP, .432 SLG, .732 OPS – 258 PA (26.0% K-rate)
RHB: 38 XBH (11 HR), .277 avg, .353 OBP, .488 SLG, .840 OPS – 325 PA (22.5% K-rate)
CATCHERS
Tyler Flowers/Kurt Suzuki (@COL)
Either player will have the platoon advantage in ideal hitting conditions
Jonathan Lucroy (vs ATL)
You know it’s a bad day at the catcher position when I offer up Lucroy. I’m not a big fan of his, but he will have the platoon advantage at Coors Field…just like the Braves combo will.
Martin Maldonado (@WSH)
Angels have a surprisingly good outlook in Vegas… Maldonado is cheap and has the platoon advantage against Gio
Yasmany Grandal (vs CHW)
Homered last night for the first time in August… Great matchup tonight with Miguel Gonzalez
FIRST BASEMEN
Logan Morrison (@TOR)
6-for-18, 5 XBH (3 HR) vs Estrada
Justin Smoak/Kendrys Morales (vs TB)
Both players have much better numbers against left-handed pitching
Miguel Cabrera (@TEX)
6-for-13, 4 XBH (3 HR) vs Griffin
Joey Votto (@CHC)
7-for-13, 2 HR, .700 OBP vs Hendricks
Joe Mauer (vs CLE)
9-for-21, 5 XBH (1 HR) vs Salazar
CJ Cron (@WSH)
11-for-24, 5 XBH (3 HR), 7 RBI over the last six games… 2-for-3, HR vs Gio
Eric Thames (vs PIT)
I know he’s not playing the Reds, but this is still a good matchup for Thames
Josh Bell (@MIL)
Surprisingly showed up on the HR prop list today at +375
SECOND BASEMEN
Brian Dozier (vs CLE)
12-for-29, 8 XBH (2 HR) vs Salazar
Jason Kipnis (@MIN)
3-for-9, 3 XBH (1 HR) vs Colon… Great value on FanDuel
Neil Walker (vs PIT)
Lefties have been crushing Nova
Josh Harrison (@MIL)
Righties have the better splits against Davies… Harrison is 6-for-9 with 2 doubles vs Davies
THIRD BASEMEN
Travis Shaw (vs PIT)
10-for-13, 5 XBH (3 HR) vs Nova… once again, lefties vs Nova are good
Nolan Arenado (vs ATL)
Death, taxes and Arenado against left-handed pitching…
Kris Bryant (vs CIN)
13-for-24, 5 XBH (2 HR), 1.679 OPS over the last six games
Josh Donaldson (vs TB)
10-for-24, 4 HR, 11 RBI, 1.492 OPS over the last seven games
Rafael Devers (vs STL)
.316 avg, 3 HR, 6 RBI over the last five games… nice matchup against Leake
Corey Spangenberg (vs PHI)
.385 avg, 3 HR, 6 RBI, 7 runs over the last seven games… From the Philly area #NarrativeStreet
Ryon Healy (vs KC)
Very surprised to see him on the HR prop list today at a nice +350 value
SHORTSTOPS
Corey Seager (vs CHW)
Unbelievable matchup against M.Gonzalez and the White Sox bullpen
Andrelton Simmons (@WSH)
7-for-24, 4 XBH (2 HR), .419 OBP vs Gonzalez
Jonathan Villar (vs PIT)
OK, one last time, a lefty vs Nova…. Villar is leading off and has SB upside as well
OUTFIELDERS
Giancarlo Stanton (vs SF)
10-for-27, 6 HR, 13 RBI over the last seven games… 8-for-16, 6 XBH (1 HR) vs Bumgarner
Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi, Jackie Bradley Jr (vs STL)
The Sawwwx are poised to have a big night, a 1-3-9 wrap-around stack could be sneaky
Tommy Pham, Dexter Fowler, Randall Grichuk (@BOS)
There should lot of runs scored at Fenway tonight and all three of these Cards are consistently putting up fantasy points over the last seven games
Mike Trout, Cameron Maybin (@WSH)
Trout has a fantastic +275 HR prop while Maybin is leading off, making him great value play on FD
Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario (vs CLE)
– Kepler: 3-for-7, 2 HR vs Salazar
– Rosario: 11-for-23, 6 XBH (4 HR), 1.679 OPS over the last six games… 2-for-9, HR vs Salazar
Chris Taylor, Joc Pederson, Yasiel Puig (vs CHW)
All of them are in a great spot against M.Gonzalez… Pederson and Puig are great values on FD
Avisail Garcia (@LAD)
He’s been hitting well lately and crushes left-handed pitching… Showed up with a favorable +375 number on the HR props
Corey Dickerson, Mallex Smith (@TOR)
-Dickerson: 8-for-17, HR vs Estrada
– Smith: Oddly batting in the middle of the Rays lineup, but still a nice value play on FD
Curtis Granderson (@NYM)
9 HR lifetime against the Yankees… +400 HR prop tonight
Andrew McCutchen, Starling Marte (@MIL)
Righties are better to attack Davies with… Both guys have good short-term numbers against him
Brandon Moss, Alex Gordon (@OAK)
Value plays on FD
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