10 under 10 – 10 GPP Options Under 10% Owned

Welcome to another edition of the 10 Under 10 article here at DFS Army! My name is Josh Thomas (@dfsupnorth), and I love GPP’s, and more importantly I love winning GPP’s. My DFS Motto when it comes to playing contests each week is very similar to famous philosopher Richard Bobby’s quote “If you ain’t first your last” (and it even rhymes with it):

“First or last, I ain’t here to min cash!”

We know through back testing in our Domination Station Optimizer, that winning lineups in the biggest GPP’s almost always have multiple players in their lineup under 10% owned and often even one or two guys sub 5%. Which ones do we play though, because being low owned isn’t enough to get you over the hump, they actually have to be good! This article each week will help you identify 10 players who have GPP winning upside based on all the underlying metrics AND are low owned!

 

Let’s Recap last week’s 10 under 10:

Davis Mills – 2% – 9.88 DK pts 

Justin Fields – 2.5% –  26.04 DK pts matched his ceiling projection

Raheem Mostert – 15% – 7.7 DK pts

Christian McCaffrey – 9% – 40.26 DK pts  6 points over his ceiling projection

Michael Carter – 3% – 10.1 DK pts

Adam Thielen – 7.5%  – 12.7 DK pts 

Parris Campbell – 4% – 9.1 Dk pts 

Wan’Dale Robinson – 10% – 3.5 DK pts 

Dalton Schultz – 6.8% – 13.4 DK pts Just under his ceiling projection

Washington Commanders– 12% – 7 DK pts

A couple of home run calls and a couple of swinging strikeouts this week, but all in all a pretty good slate for the 10 under 10 article.

While the Giraffe looked like he was better on a game preserve, my boy Justin Fields continued to smash, running another TD in and throwing for two, putting up a massive, slate winning score that matched his ceiling projection.

Christian McCaffrey became one of the only players in history to throw for a TD, catch a TD, and run one in in the same game, all while at under 10% ownership. Loved having him in my tournament lineups this week. Michael Carter meanwhile hit his projection and didn’t really hurt you but wasn’t a smash by any means. Chalk Raheem Mostert never got anything going all day, and got vultured at the goal line by the fullback.

WR was a bit of a disaster, and all the chalk WR’s went off, which kept me from a take down on both sites. Wan’Dale Robinson just had nothing going with Daniel Jones all day.

Dalton Schultz exceeded his projection and was just under his ceiling and is a guy that I’m going to continue to go back to every week that he lines up with Dak Prescott under center.

The Commanders had a good day against Sam Ehlinger who surprise surprise, wasn’t very good in his debut (the fact that he thought would be is a little ridiculous, I get the price point but woof) but they couldn’t turn a pick or a fumble into a TD which kept them out of the optimal lineup.

Another week, another big win for a DFS Army VIP! Big shout out to Scott for taking down an early slate contest on Fanduel for a cool 30k!

Want to be the next DFS Army big winner?! ? Join Today and use code UPNORTH for 10% off a VIP Membership!!

 

Below you will find my favorite GPP plays under 10% owned to help you gain leverage on the field and hopefully take down a big pay day!

 

PJ Walker QB Carolina Panthers

Ownership: DK 1%/FD 1%

Salary: DK $5200/FD $6500

The Bengals just got tore up by Jacoby Brissett and the Browns and I think the Panthers profile very similar to the Bengals, with Walker being a potentially better, more mobile QB.

The former XFL MVP has looked pretty solid so far in his starts for the injured Baker Mayfield and I think they have a legitimately tough decision on their hands for when Sam Darnold returns, and given that will be potentially next week, I expect PJ to ball out here.

Super cheap in the mold of Justin Fields last week in a game that has potential blow up potential. If he can run one a la field (or Brissett on Monday night), he is going to smash value here. Threw for 317 yards last week in a tight game against the Falcons and a similar sort of output can be projected here. Love pairing him with DJ Moore but he will be fairly popular. Terrace Marshall Jr, the second year player out of LSU looked really good last week, and had 9 targets and he’s almost min price on both sites. Super GPP/Milly maker special stack with those two and if you do it you can play whoever else you want, regardless of ownership.

Justin Fields QB Chicago Bears

Ownership: DK 3%/FD 1%

Salary: DK $5300/FD $7400

Back to the well with the best QB in the league!!!! (That was for BobbyWow). Maybe not the best QB in the league but over the past two weeks, Fields has smashed value. I’m confused to as to why, with very little price increase, especially on DK, that he’s still projecting this low owned.

Has ran for a TD in each of his last two games, while also putting up 60+ yards in 3 games straight. Never going to wow you with his passing stats, but does enough to get you there in GPP. I’m really excited to see what Chase Claypool does for this offense. He’s not going to smash, but he can really open up this offense for guys like Darnell Mooney and Cole Kmet. Remains to be seen how much he plays this week, but needless to say I’m excited about what it does for Fields going forward and raises his ceiling even higher.

Naked Fields will be the most common way people play him this week, but this is a prime matchup for Darnell Mooney against the Dolphins mediocre secondary, don’t hate that in big GPP.

Cordarrelle Patterson RB Atlanta Falcons

Ownership: DK 1%/FD 4%

Salary: DK $5800/FD $7200

I’m not 100% sure what’s going on with the Chargers but they have been hot garbage at stopping the run (and the pass) so far this season. RB’s are scoring 7 points above average against the Chargers this season and with Cordarrelle Patterson making his return to the lineup after a lengthy injury to his knee, this is a smash spot.

Atlanta runs more than anyone in the league and with the Chargers being terrible I expect them to run it even more in this game. There’s potential that Cpat doesn’t get a full workload here but this is a massive mismatch given his skill set and the price is outstanding given the possible upside he brings to the table.

I actually don’t mind going Marcus Mariota at QB and pairing him with a pass catching back and hopefully getting all the TD’s in this game. The Falcons aren’t any good either at defense so I want as many pieces from this game as I can get. Love playing Austin Ekeler and Patterson in lineups together.

Raheem Mostert RB Miami Dolphins

Ownership: DK 12%/FD 14%

Salary: DK $6100/FD $6500

Right back to the well with Mostert. Mostly in here as a reminder that a one week sample doesn’t make a player. He’s in a similarly good spot, potentially even better against the Bears and their swiss cheese run defense and he’s still the guy here.

Ran the ball really well last week averaging over 4.5 yards per carry but just got on the wrong side of variance with the touchdowns, as FB Alec Ingold got one at the goal line and the passing game was firing on all cylinders taking big chunks of yardage. That should change a bit this week as the Bears are a bit better defending the pass.

Has upside in the passing game as well that just wasn’t realized last week. We saw Pollard absolutely smash in this spot last week and I expect Mostert to do the same.

Dalvin Cook RB Minnesota Vikings

Ownership: DK 6.5%/FD 9%

Salary: DK $7800/FD $8500

Cook is my favorite pay up RB this week and it just so happens that he’s going to be under owned against a Washington Defense that is struggling to stop anyone.

Cook has been a workhorse this season and has put up solid performances 3 weeks in a row, scoring 4 TD’s in that time span. Typically doesn’t get as much work in the passing game but had 6 targets last week. The addition of TJ Hockenson who is not only an elite pass catcher but a good blocker too, will only serve to benefit him and create space.

He’s a 20+ point guy on both sites with an average game and two TD’s which is definitely possible gets him in the nuts. We also get a little leverage here off a super chalky Justin Jefferson (who is a great play regardless of ownership).

Join the DFS Army today and gain access to our daily/weekly cheat sheets, Domination Station Optimizer, Research Stations, Free and VIP Articles, Coaching, and more! Code UPNORTH saves you 10% on a VIP or Core4 Membership!

Want to try a free month of DFS Army VIP Membership? See How

Romeo Doubs WR Green Bay Packers

Ownership: DK 9%/FD 8%

Salary: DK $5300/FD $6100

Aaron Jones is going to be massive chalk against this awful Detroit defense, but don’t sleep on the Packers WR’s here. Aaron Rodgers is going to get his swag back at some point, and when he does I expect either Romeo Doubs or Allen Lazard to have a MONSTER game.

Lazard is dealing with an injury but he has logged limited practices, honestly him being back makes me like Doubs more. The Packers aren’t good, they aren’t going to smash the Lions so I expect them to have to throw here, and Doubs has been Rodgers favorite target thus far. Elite at contested balls, and a big time red zone target, which gives him tons of upside.

Tyler Boyd WR Cincinnati Bengals

Ownership: DK 8.5%/FD 9%

Salary: DK $6300/FD $6000

I was super skeptical about how Boyd would looking having to lineup outside of the slot with Ja’Marr Chase out with injury, but I was pleasantly surprised with his performance against the Browns. 3 for 38 and a TD. Wasn’t massive by any means but in this offense which was completely stymied by the Browns, it’s not bad.

Potential is there for him to play more snaps in the slot and be a quick look option for Burrow whose offense line hasn’t given him any time and the slot matchup against the Panthers is ideal for him. He could put up a monster game here given the right target volume.

DK Metcalf WR Seattle Seahawks

Ownership: DK 7%/FD 7%

Salary: DK $6400/FD $7400

Metcalf is going to be less owned than his WR room partner Tyler Lockett and that my friends is a mistake. Leading the team in targets, air yards, aDOT, and WOPR. (those are all stats that say he’s the number one option here) and he has a prime matchup against an Arizona Secondary that is mediocre at best, having given up the 5th most catches to opposing WR’s this season.

Saw a massive 10 targets last week and he’s a matchup nightmare. Think he smashes at this ownership and I love ping ponging him with a potentially healthy James Conner.

Evan Engram TE Jacksonville Jaguars

Ownership: DK 9%/FD 7%

Salary: DK $3300/FD $5200

Big time week for Engram last weekend as he had 4 grabs for 55 yards and a TD and was only behind Christian Kirk in targets for the Jags. Raiders are one of the worst teams in the NFL against opposing TE’s, giving up on average 2.5 more points to opposing TE’s than the rest of the NFL.

He’s starting to find his role here, especially in the Red Zone. Ownership will be up there, especially on DK where at this price he’s cash viable, but I love him regardless and love a good TE/DST stack as you’ll see in a minute.

Jacksonville Jaguars DST (vs. Las Vegas Raiders)

Ownership: DK 5%/FD 5%

Salary: DK $3100/FD $3800

Derek Carr looked god awful last week against the Saints and has had either a fumble or a pick in his last two games. The Jags have been steadily improving as a defense all year and I think they have sneaky upside here. Pair them with Evan Engram or the chalk man himself, Travis Etienne. 

 

That’s it for this week! Good luck in your contests and be sure to check out our other content!

NFL DFS Main Slate Advice | Picks, Stacks, Strategy Projections for Week 9 | FanDuel & DraftKings

DFS ARMY VIP MEMBERSHIP

Do you want access to the most advanced Daily Fantasy and Season Long NFL content in the industry? How about the chance to talk player picks and lineups with our NFL DFS Pros and like-minded players? DFS Army VIP Members get all of that PLUS access to our best in the industry projections and optimization tools. Go to DFS Army VIP membership and use promo code UPNORTH to lock in at 10% off the monthly membership fee. You won’t find a better deal or a better DFS team.