Full Slate Breakdown for MLB DFS 10/8:
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My Take on a Consistent MLB DFS Process – Looking at Pitchers
I always start an MLB slate by looking at pitching, not only do you get a grasp on who the pitchers are that you want to target, but gives you a holistic look at the slate as well. Breaking down pitching also gives you an idea of what offenses are in good spots against bad/vulnerable pitchers. I start my research by going straight to the MLB Carnage Report this is where we can analyze all the pitchers on the slate in a compact, yet detailed manner. For the postseason, I have created a new sheet under our Cheat Sheets. I look into the Pitch Profile match-ups for each game, a definite MUST READ!
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Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians (-115)
Pitchers:
Rays – Tyler Glasnow
Guardians – Triston McKenzie
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 6. We get a ton of pitchers duels during the postseason. I like both in this one but can’t guarantee that Glasnow goes deep. He threw 64 pitches in his last start so 80 is probably the number. He racks up pitches so I would guess he probably goes 5. McKenzie has been great for CLE and while he is the favorite, I think one of the tops of the TB order takes him deep today.
TB 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Wander Franco, Ji-Man Choi
GPP Note: Team ISO of .135 over the last week.
CLE 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Jose Ramirez, Josh Naylor
GPP Note: Team ISO of .112 over the last week.
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Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays (-160)
Pitchers:
Mariners – Robbie Ray
Jays – Kevin Gausman
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 7. When I looked at the initial pitch profile, I really noticed how important Gausman’s elite splitter will be. The Mariners do not hit the splitter well at all. I like the way TOR matches up with Ray but they didn’t look very good yesterday, in a spot that they should have been solid in. They do have the highest IRT on the slate.
SEA 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Ty France, Adam Frazier
GPP Note: Team ISO of .167 over the last week.
TOR 5-star plays: Teoscar Hernandez
4-star plays: Matt Chapman, Bo Bichette
GPP Note: Team ISO of .178 over the last week.
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San Diego Padres @ New York Mets (-190)
Pitchers:
Padres – Blake Snell
Mets – Jacob deGrom
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 6. It’s impossible not to love both pitchers in this one. We know how elite deGrom is AND has to be in this one. Snell can put up monster numbers as well. The Mets need their stars to step up so I look to Alonso to play with focus and energy, potentially going deep today.
SD 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Manny Machado, Juan Soto
GPP Note: Team ISO of .130 over the last week.
NYM 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Pete Alonso, Starling Marte
GPP Note: Team ISO of .182 over the last week.
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Philadelphia Phillies (-120) @ St Louis Cardinals
Pitchers:
Phillies – Aaron Nola
Cardinals – Miles Mikolas
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 6.5. The Cards are in trouble in my eyes. They are similar to the Mets as they NEED Goldschmidt to be the MVP. Mikolas has been great at home and they need him to be his best. I think the Phillies get it done today, in a shocking “sweep” of the Cards. The Cardinals bullpen is ugly right now.
PHI 5-star plays: Bryce Harper
4-star plays: Nick Castellanos, Kyle Schwarber
GPP Note: Team ISO of .170 over the last week.
STL 5-star plays: Paul Goldschmidt
4-star plays: Nolan Arenado, Albert Pujols
GPP Note: Team ISO of .125 over the last week.
Stack of the Day
- Toronto Blue Jays
MLB Dinger of the Day – Bryce Harper
As always I appreciate everyone who gave the article a read! Feel free to mix it up with me in our coaching forums as news breaks and lock approaches.
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