10 under 10 – 10 GPP Options Under 10% Owned

Welcome to another edition of the 10 Under 10 article here at DFS Army! My name is Josh Thomas (@dfsupnorth), and I love GPP’s, and more importantly I love winning GPP’s. My DFS Motto when it comes to playing contests each week is very similar to famous philosopher Richard Bobby’s quote “If you ain’t first your last” (and it even rhymes with it):

“First or last, I ain’t here to min cash!”

We know through back testing in our Domination Station Optimizer, that winning lineups in the biggest GPP’s almost always have multiple players in their lineup under 10% owned and often even one or two guys sub 5%. Which ones do we play though, because being low owned isn’t enough to get you over the hump, they actually have to be good! This article each week will help you identify 10 players who have GPP winning upside based on all the underlying metrics AND are low owned!

 

Let’s Recap last week’s 10 under 10:

Carson Wentz – 16% – 31.78 DK pts

Rashaad Penny – 2.2% –  1.5 DK pts

Donovan Peoples-Jones – 3.35% – 0 DK pts

Michael Carter – 3.16% – 10 DK pts  

Juwan Johnson – 6.29% – 8 DK pts

OJ Howard– 6.8%  – 1.7 DK pts 

Ja’Marr Chase – 13.98% – 10.8 Dk pts 

Russell Wilson – 6.09%% – 12.06 DK pts

DJ Chark Jr. – 4.47% – 0 DK pts

Seattle Seahawks – 1.67% – 9 DK pts

 

Woof. Not great Bob! That is if my counting is correct (which I tend to doubt after last week’s results) two, count em’ TWO zeros and TWO guys under TWO points. Welp. I guess I’d be REALLY wrong then only sort of wrong. Process wise I think all of those guys were in great spots. Donavon Peoples-Jones went from 10 targets to ZERO and Amari Cooper had a smash game in his place. Amon Ra St. Brown smashed and while Chark had a couple end zone looks, he never got anything going. The one bright spot was Carson Wentz crushing and he was one of the best points per dollar plays on the slate, but our ownership projections were way off on him. Chalk has tended to smash the first two weeks but I don’t believe that is going to be the case all season, so we are going to stick to the process here and hopefully identify a few more guys that are in the milly maker winning lineup again this week!

Speaking of Milly Maker winners, HUGE shoutout to my boy RapidFireXD  for taking down the MILLY ON DRAFTKINGS Week 1!!!

UNREAL WIN and I couldn’t be happier for him and the entire DFS Army Community who just crushed in week 1!

RapidFireXD really took the ‘First or Last I Ain’t Here to Min Cash’ motto to heart!

Want to be the next DFS Army Millionaire? Join Today and use code NFL2022 for 20% off a VIP Membership!!

 

Below you will find my favorite GPP plays under 10% owned to help you gain leverage on the field and hopefully take down a big pay day!

 

Joe Flacco QB New York Jets

Ownership: DK 2%/FD 1%

Salary: DK $5300/FD $6800

Anyone know who is leading the league in pass attempts so far for the 2022 season? Your boy Joe Flacco. 14 more attempts than second place, Joe Burrow. 3rd in yards per game. 5 TD passes and only ONE interception. I don’t know if he found a time machine or what but this guy looks like Joe Flacco from the year the Ravens won the Super Bowl. So not only is Flacco just smashing right now, but he gets to go up against a defense that’s been gouged by Mitchell Trubisky and Cooper Rush and passes almost as much as he does (which stops the clock and gives team more plays) which can lead to some massive fantasy games.

Look, I know it’s not a sexy play but if you want to pay up for the likes of Kelce, Ekeler, and Diggs, then you need salary relief somewhere and what better spot than with a QB who is hucking it up 50 times a game (and being smart with it). I love Garrett Wilson as a stack piece after his performance last week and he was close to making this list too. I don’t think you need a run it back but I do like the idea of Joe Mixon potentially having a big game here.

Austin Ekeler RB Los Angeles Chargers

Ownership: DK 6.7%/FD 9.6%

Salary: DK $8000/FD $8700

No one is going to spend up and play Austin Ekeler this week and I think that is a mistake and one that I will be avoiding. As I write below in my blurb about Gerald Everett, Justin Herbert is dealing with his rib cartilage injury and at best will be limited and at worst be out, handing the reigns over to Chase Daniel. Both of those scenarios bode well for Ekeler’s usage. I also think this game is more competitive than Vegas projects and think that the Jags will keep it close.

Ekeler saw a season high 10 targets last week and those dump offs are likely to occur even more often this week with the issues at QB as either Herbert or Daniel look to get the ball out quickly to avoid taking hits. There’s massive potential for a ceiling game for Ekeler here and with high priced RB’s failing at a pretty high clip this year the field is going to be scared off of him.

Drake London WR Atlanta Falcons

Ownership: DK 5%/FD 6%

Salary: DK $5800/FD $6000

London was the number one receiver for the Falcons last week (and really only receiver), bringing in 8 catches on 12 targets for 86 yards and a TD. Mariota isn’t airing the ball out a ton but when he does it’s going to London. London’s WOPR (weighted opportunity) is better than guys like Tyreek Hill and Diontae Johnson and is pretty similar to a guy like Stefon Diggs which is really all you need to know about his upside. Mariota has shown come competence throwing the ball and I think this game against the Seahawks, despite being two bad teams, has potential to have a ton of scoring. London might just be the best WR in this draft class and he’s going to have a MASSIVE game at some point this season so it might be worth just being over the field on him every week and if he continues to be in this 5-6% ownership range it won’t be hard to do.

My super sleeper of the week is on the other side of this game in Tyler Lockett. Lockett went over 100 with Geno Smith last week and looked to have some real chemistry and he’s almost doubling up DK Metcalf in air yards. Receivers have smashed this Atlanta secondary in each of the first two weeks and I think there’s a good chance Lockett has himself a game at almost no ownership.

Christian Kirk WR Jacksonville Jaguars

Ownership: DK 8.38%/FD 6.7%

Salary: DK $6200/FD $7100

Christian Kirk has been one of the better off seasons so far this season in the entire NFL. Went over 115 yards in the first game of the year and brought in two tuddies in week 2. Operating out of the slot, he’s found a real connection with 2nd year QB Trevor Lawrence, and is the #6 PPR receiver in the NFL through 2 weeks. Matchup against the Chargers is tough. Will likely line up across from Bryce Callahan who has been tough in the slot all season so far, but Kirk does have a big height (5 inches) and any contested balls should go his way.

This game has sneaky shoot out potential and I think it’ll be closer than the spread indicates, especially if Herbert is out/limited, but the Jags are likely to be down regardless and will have to throw the ball to catchup which bodes well for Kirk’s prospects and he’s in a bit of a dead zone for WR’s.

Jared Goff QB Detroit Lions

Ownership: DK 4.4%/FD 2.7%

Salary: DK $5800/FD $7100

As I said above when writing up D’Andre Swift, I love this game and I love the Lions side of it in particular. As a Vikings fan that’s hard to say but Kirk Cousins is likely to be the highest owned QB on the slate and I really think the best way to attack the Lions is on the ground with Dalvin Cook. We can get access to this game environment with arguably the better option at QB at 1/3 the ownership, and that’s something I like to try to do whenever I can in GPP.

Goff has been surprisingly good so far in 2022 and that’s in part due to the way the offense has been structured but also due to him having some serious weapons at his disposal. The offensive line has been good and he hasn’t been throwing the ball to the opposing team like he has in previous seasons. 6 TD’s to 1 Interception so far. The Vikings secondary is poor and I think we get an absolute shoot out at US Bank Stadium. This is the one spot where I really think a run back makes sense, and I honestly don’t hate a super stack with Goff +2 and Cook and a WR coming back from the Vikings. This is potentially the game of the week and I want lots of it.

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Terry McLaurin WR Washington Commanders

Ownership: DK 1.47%/FD 3.2%

Salary: DK $6400/FD $6900

Every other receiver for the Commanders has had their day in the first two weeks besides their number one. It’s coming at some point here and potentially this week against the Eagles. Now I know that the secondary for the Eagles is solid and they shut down the Vikings WR’s on Monday, but McLaurin is a monster and the Commanders ‘should’ pound the rock a little more than the Vikings did and as much as I hate to say it, Wentz has looked really solid (and Cousins was AWFUL Monday night). Ownership is SO LOW considering the upside he brings to the table and we know that this offense can be explosive. Ultimate GPP Boom or Bust play this week so I had to include him in this article!

Chris Olave WR New Orleans Saints

Ownership: DK 3.42%/FD 2.59%

Salary: DK $4500/FD $5500

Another rookie WR who will be under owned here and has shown some serious signs of life the last two weeks. NUMBER ONE in the NFL in air yards for WR so far through 2 weeks. NUMBER ONE. 320 yards through the air in targets but it’s only accounted for 120 total yards in receptions. Potential is there for a SMASH game. Jameis Winston has been dealing with some back injury issues but that hasn’t held him back and this is a fantastic matchup against a good not great Panthers defense.

This being a potentially low scoring game has a bit concerned but a guy like Olave only needs one pass to smash value here as he is really more of a deep threat than anything.

D’Andre Swift RB Detroit Lions

Ownership: DK 4.8%/FD 5.5%

Salary: DK $7200/FD $8000

Pretty high on Swift and all of the Lions not named Amon Ra St. Brown in this game. St. Brown’s a good play but he’s just going to be high owned and while I don’t think you should avoid him, I think there is real leverage to be had in playing some of the other pieces from this offense, like Swift. D’Andre has been dealing with an ankle injury, but has been limited all week in practice and reportedly looks better. The Vikings can be gashed by the run and Swift’s pass catching ability in the flat makes him an even better option against a Vikings secondary that can’t handle anything out in the flats. Would expect that he gets closer to his full workload this week, which we will need if we want to pay up here.

I really think the Lions give the Vikings a game here and I’m also going to go RIGHT BACK TO THE WELL with DJ Chark Jr. at almost 0% ownership. Got 4 targets last week and one was in the end zone. Vikings aren’t great on the outside and Chark should have some success on contested balls against their undersized DB’s.

Gerald Everett TE Los Angeles Chargers

Ownership: DK 5%/FD 3.5%

Salary: DK $4400/FD $5800

Really high on Everett this week regardless of what happens with Justin Herbert and his banged up ribs. Scenario A – Herbert is banged up and relies on Austin Ekeler and Gerald Everett in tight to catch a bunch of passes. Scenario B – Chase Daniel is the QB and he relies on the steady eddie TE that is Gerald Everett. Both win wins for my guy and he has looked really strong so far this season. 10 targets last week. A TD in Week 1. Jacksonville has been ‘OK’ against the TE but they’ve played Matt Ryan with no weapons and Logan Thomas had potential for a big game with 6 targets but didn’t do much. I think with Mike Williams and Keenan Allen (hopefully) and Ekeler rushing the ball, we will see Everett open early and often in the middle of the field and that could result in a big 20+ DK point game if he finds the end zone.

New Orleans Saints DST (vs. Carolina Panthers)

Ownership: DK 2.3%/FD 6.1%

Salary: DK $3500/FD $4300

I’ve come to the realization over the last 5 years that I’ve spent at DFS Army that the Domination Station Optimizer is smarter than me. It’s tough to admit, but it is. And in particular the last 2 weeks, the DS has been spitting fire with the defenses it’s putting in lineups. Week 1 it was hammering in 80% Steelers in my builds and I had to cut it down to 20% (and cost me a ton of money). Last week it loved the Buccaneers when no one else was talking about them and they smashed. This week it LOVES the Saints against Baker Mayfield and the Panthers. Christian McCaffrey popped up on the injury report today which makes me even more excited to play them if he’s banged up and limited. I typically like to pay down with my defense as low as possible, but I’m trusting the DS this week and am going to smash this who dat defense.

 

That’s it for this week! Good luck in your contests and be sure to check out our other content!

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