UFC London: Betting & DraftKings

UFC London: Betting & DraftKings Breakdown 7/23/2022

UFC London: Betting & DraftKings Breakdown 7/23/2022

Four Favorite Fighters

• Diakiese $9100

• Amirkhani $7500

• Krylov $8600

• Blaydes $7900

Two Dogs Worth A Second Look

• Goldy $6900

• Nelson $7200

Parlay of The Week:

• Claudio Silva +210 
• Muhammad Mokaev -450
• Volkan Oezdemir -155
• Makwan Amirkhani +170 

Total: +1583

UFC London: Betting & DraftKings Breakdown 7/23/2022

If you follow me on Twitter, you know I am taking some big shots this week! But if you aren’t, like seriously, what are you doing with your life??? Give a brother a follow and keep up with the picks in real time! @therealgc9

Oezdemir $8500 Vs. Craig $7700

Vegas Odds: Oezdemir -155, Craig +135, -360 Fight to End by KO/TKO/DQ/Submission

The line on the fight ending by finish is juiced! Both fighters are priced reasonably, given both fighters have nice ceilings. I see this fight ending by finish as it is +240 to go to decision telling us that is not what the odds makers think will happen. Also, Craig is a submission stud coming off a big submission win against Krylov in RD 1. If he can get the win here, that is how he does it.

However, I think Craig’s four-fight win streak ends here at the hands of Oezdemir. I think it ends by Oezdemir getting the KO priced at +120 and +275 to get it in Rd 1. If he can hit this, he will pay his salary for sure! On the Dog side, Craig will be optimal if he can get a finish and the upset, especially if he can replicate the Rd 1 finish he just got against Krylov.

That said, I am ALL IN on this fight for DFS, and I am betting the under 1.5 at -105.

UFC London Pick: Oezdemir $8500

UFC London: Betting & DraftKings Breakdown

UFC London: Betting & DraftKings Breakdown

Krylov $8600 Vs. Gustafsson $7600

Vegas Odds: Krylov -200, Gustafsson +170, Under 2.5 -135

This is another fight where both fighters are priced well given the Under and chance of someone landing a finish. As mentioned earlier, Krylov was finished by Craig recently, but I think this is a nice bounce-back spot for him as he could land a KO/TKO at +240 or a submission at +330. With the under being what it is and Krylov being priced below 9k, I am all over him for DFS as I think he has an excellent chance to pay off his salary in this spot.

Gustafsson will not be a walk through the park and carries a +400 tag to land a KO/TKO and +700 to finish the fight in Round 1. With the odds being what they are, I am saying YES PLEASE to a $7600 fighter with that much upside. If I see he is way low owned, I may even elevate ownership in him more across GPP lineups as I think he will be an excellent dog play. As I have said several times, I am chasing value when I make these picks, and I believe Gustafsson is a DFS value.

Nonetheless, I am picking the favorite to win, and I think he gets it done with the under 2.5, which is -135.

UFC London Pick: Krylov $8600

Pimblett $8900 Vs. Leavitt $7300

Vegas Odds: Pimblett -265, Leavitt +225, Under 2.5 -180

WOOF WOOF!!!

I have to say, value is with the dog here, but the favorite is a favorite for a reason! Regardless, someone is getting finished with the under 2.5 set at -180; I like that even more!

The pick is Leavitt, which is against the grain, but I think the line on Paddy is excessive. However, DFS Wise, I will have more ownership on the favorite as Paddy is likelier to set a crazy pace and score big! Again, we are more after scoring potential with DFS than trying to pick the winner.

I like Leavitt, though, and will have elevated ownership on him because I could see him getting the Submission here at +600. If he can do that at $7300, he will be an excellent way to get leverage on the field and put your lineups in a position to get that 1st place finish and pay big!

Therefore, I am picking Leavitt, but I will have elevated ownership of him. I will not have Leavitt in 50% of my lineups because I think he could win here and not score well.

UFC London Pick: Leavitt $7300

FIGHT to FADE

Leonardo $7800 Vs. Bohm $8400
Vegas Odds: Leonardo +120, Bohm -140

This is a fight that is not exciting on any level. Regardless of who wins, I do not see them scoring well as I think this will make a greasy decision.

UFC London Pick: FADE!!! 

Want to get all the fight breakdowns from the guys who have taught me?!

Join the DFSARMY today and see all the picks and breakdowns from the professionals here at DFSARMY. DFLGENO in the promo code will give you 10% off as well 🙂

Check out my Full breakdown on YOUTUBE!

UFC London: Betting & DraftKings Breakdown 7/23/2022

Reference:

Cheat Sheets.

Research Station

Happy hunting, everyone, and thank you for reading!!!

Thanks for hanging in, and feel free to reach out with any questions!

Talk to me! I am in the discord 24/7 and value connecting with people.

Twitter: @therealgc9

Pricing for DFS Army VIP
Coupon Code for 10% off DFLGENO

UFC Long Island DraftKings DFS Picks